Do Affirm's warnings raise red flags for the Zip (ASX:Z1P) share price?

What's up with Zip shares today?

| More on:
A wide-eyed man peers out from a small gap in his black zipped jumper conveying fear over the weak Zip share price

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The ASX 200 is having a disappointing day today
  • But Zip shares are faring far worse than the overall market
  • Let's take a look at what might be spooking investors today...

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is, unfortunately, having a pretty depressing end to the week so far this Friday. At the time of writing, the ASX 200 is down by 0.71% after falling a little further earlier in the trading day. But the Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P) share price is putting that move to shame.

Zip shares are currently down a nasty 6.2% at just $2.88 each That's a lot closer to the company's 52-week low of $2.78 than its 52-week high of $14.53 a share. Today's move puts this buy now, pay later (BNPL) company's 2022 performance at a sobering -33.5%.

So what might be behind Zip's share price malaise this Friday?

Well, it's possible Zip shares have just been caught up in the selloff that has gripped the ASX tech shares sector. We've already covered Appen Ltd's (ASX: APX) nasty fall earlier today. So perhaps Zip is just experiencing a similar fate.

But there is some other relevant news out today that might be affecting investor's appetites for Zip shares too.

Last night (our time), the US BNPL company Affirm Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: AFRM) reported its quarterly results for the December quarter. As my Fool colleague Brooke covered this morning, Affirm was forced to release the results early after the company mistakenly gave some of it away on Twitter.

Buy now, pay later? Investors are paying now, but not buying Zip shares…

Affirm reported a 77% increase in revenue over the quarter. But it also reported a net loss of US$159.7 million. Investors evidently weren't too impressed. The Affirm share price promptly crashed 21.4% over last night's US trading session.

So obviously some of this sentiment alone might have flown into the zip share price. Block Inc CDI (ASX: SQ2), the new owner of fellow BNPL provider Afterpay, has also lost a good chunk of change today.

But another warning came out of Affirmt that might have spooked investors even further.

According to reporting in the Australian Financial Review (AFR) today, Michael Linford, chief financial officer (CFO) at Affirm, warned investors that rising interest rates pose a massive risk to Affirm's business. He said that a "1 per cent lift in rates 'beyond current expectations' would result in 20 basis point impact to revenue less transaction costs as a percentage of gross merchant value in FY2023".

Investors in both the US and here in Australia are already arguably on edge over inflation and interest rate rises. So that was probably not what investors wanted to hear. Worryingly for Zip, it's possible that the same factors could affect Zip's own business in a similar fashion.

So that might be why ASX investors are punishing Zip shares today so far.

At the current Zip share price, this ASX BNPL share has a market capitalisation of $1.71 billion. 

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns and has recommended Block, Inc. and ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on BNPL shares

A cool dude looks back at the camera while ziplining above the treetops.
BNPL shares

Up 44% in 2024, can the Zip share price rocket again in 2025?

Will 2025 be a great year for the buy now, pay later stock?

Read more »

A cool dude looks back at the camera while ziplining above the treetops.
BNPL shares

Down 15% in a week, should you buy the dip on Zip shares?

Are Zip shares a good buy after the past week’s 15% fall?

Read more »

A young woman smiles as she rides a zip line high above the trees.
Share Gainers

Up 748% in a year, why a 'long growth runway remains' for Zip shares

Up 748% in a year, these top fund managers remain bullish on the outlook for Zip shares in 2025.

Read more »

Modern accountant woman in a light business suit in modern green office with documents and laptop.
BNPL shares

Co-founder sells $100 million of Zip shares after stepping down

A cool payday.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
BNPL shares

Zip share price sinks on big co-founder news

Some investors are saying bye now, see you later to Zip shares.

Read more »

A young man punches the air in delight as he reacts to great news on his mobile phone.
BNPL shares

Why did the Zip share price smash the market again in November?

This high-flying stock made its shareholders smile again last month.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
BNPL shares

If you'd invested $5,000 in Zip shares this time last year, here's what you'd have today

Let's see how successful an invest in the BNPL provider would have been.

Read more »

A woman sits on a chair smiling as she shops online.
Financial Shares

Zip or Block shares: Which is the more profitable company?

We've crunched the numbers.

Read more »