Analysts forced to eat humble pie as CBA (ASX:CBA) share price soars 5%

CBA's shares are surging after a stronger than expected half…

| More on:
A wide-eyed happy woman with long brown hair and wearing a pink top holds her hands up in delight after hearing positive news

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The CBA share price is racing higher today after outperforming the market's expectations
  • Australia's largest bank's cash earnings came in at $4,746 million, well-ahead of the consensus estimate of $4,500 million
  • CBA also announced a $2 billion on-market share buyback, much to the delight of shareholders

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price is storming higher on Wednesday morning.

At the time of writing, the banking giant's shares are up 5% to $99.28.

Why is the CBA share price storming higher?

Investors have been bidding the CBA share price higher today after it delivered a half year profit well-ahead of the market's expectations.

For the six months ended 31 December, Australia's largest bank reported a cash net profit after tax of $4,746 million, which is an increase of 23% over the prior corresponding period.

As a comparison, the market was expecting cash earnings of approximately $4,500 million and the team at Goldman Sachs was forecasting cash earnings of $4,295 million. The latter means CBA outperformed the broker's estimates by over 10%.

Its analysts note that the outperformance was driven largely by its non-interest income, which rose 4.1% over the prior corresponding period. This reflects improved volume related lending and deposit fee income, the non-recurrence of prior period aircraft impairments, and higher net profits from minority interests.

Goldman commented: "CBA's 1H22 cash earnings (company basis) from continued operations of A$4,746 mn were 10.5% ahead of our expectations, and up 22.7% on pcp. The beat was driven by outperformance on non-interest income (albeit components of this appear somewhat one-off in nature), expenses and BDDs, and expenses, partially offset by lower NIMs. Net net, this drove a +5.5% beat at the PPOP [pre-provisioning operating profit] line."

Goldman Sachs, like many brokers, has been tipping CBA's shares as a sell and to sink notably lower. But today's outperformance could force many brokers into amending their price targets and even their recommendations.

CBA to return more capital to shareholders

Also giving the CBA share price a boost today was news that it will follow up its $6 billion off-market buyback with a new $2 billion on-market buyback.

Management advised that it is undertaking this buyback due to its strong capital position. This strength has put the bank in a position to support customers and manage ongoing uncertainties, while continuing to return surplus capital to shareholders.

This buyback is expected to reduce CBA's CET1 capital ratio by approximately 42 basis points to 11.4%, which is still well-ahead of APRA's unquestionably strong benchmark of 10.5%. It will also remain well-placed to accommodate changes under APRA's new capital framework effective in 2023.

As well as the buyback, CBA will be returning capital to shareholders via its fully franked interim dividend. The CBA board has increased its interim dividend by 17% to $1.75 per share. This will be paid to eligible shareholders on 30 March.

Following today's gain, the CBA share price is now up almost 14% over the last 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Earnings Results

Man pointing at a blue rising share price graph.
Earnings Results

Guess which ASX All Ords share is soaring on 21% FY 2024 growth

Investors are piling into the ASX All Ords share today. Let’s find out why.

Read more »

Girl sliding down on snow with arms spread out.
Earnings Results

Elders shares on ice for a $475 million acquisition after profits plunge 55%

What on earth is going on with Elders shares today?

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face. as he raises his hands up to his face in response to the high fluctuations in the Galileo share price today
Energy Shares

This ASX 200 mining stock just reported a 40% earnings jump

Investors appear pleased with this miner's performance during the first quarter.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Earnings Results

2 ASX All Ords shares surging over 10% on strong results

Investors are buying these shares in response to strong results this morning.

Read more »

A young woman holds her hand to her mouth in surprise as she reads something on her laptop.
Earnings Results

Xero share price rockets to record high on explosive half-year growth

The tech star delivered another impressive half year results this morning.

Read more »

A man cheers after winning computer game while woman sitting next to him looks upset.
Earnings Results

2 high-flying ASX 200 gaming shares splitting ways today

Which gaming giant is winning the admiration of investors amid results?

Read more »

Male building supervisor wearing high vis vest and hard hat stands and smiles with his arms crossed at a building site
Industrials Shares

This $23 billion ASX 200 stock is surging 6% while the market sinks. Here's why

This ASX 200 stock is shrugging off the wider market sell down today and racing higher. But why?

Read more »

Unsure man analysing data on laptop.
Earnings Results

ASX 200 tech stock sees red as investors punish Q3 results

Investors continue digesting the numbers.

Read more »