Analysts forced to eat humble pie as CBA (ASX:CBA) share price soars 5%

CBA's shares are surging after a stronger than expected half…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The CBA share price is racing higher today after outperforming the market's expectations
  • Australia's largest bank's cash earnings came in at $4,746 million, well-ahead of the consensus estimate of $4,500 million
  • CBA also announced a $2 billion on-market share buyback, much to the delight of shareholders

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price is storming higher on Wednesday morning.

At the time of writing, the banking giant's shares are up 5% to $99.28.

A wide-eyed happy woman with long brown hair and wearing a pink top holds her hands up in delight after hearing positive news

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the CBA share price storming higher?

Investors have been bidding the CBA share price higher today after it delivered a half year profit well-ahead of the market's expectations.

For the six months ended 31 December, Australia's largest bank reported a cash net profit after tax of $4,746 million, which is an increase of 23% over the prior corresponding period.

As a comparison, the market was expecting cash earnings of approximately $4,500 million and the team at Goldman Sachs was forecasting cash earnings of $4,295 million. The latter means CBA outperformed the broker's estimates by over 10%.

Its analysts note that the outperformance was driven largely by its non-interest income, which rose 4.1% over the prior corresponding period. This reflects improved volume related lending and deposit fee income, the non-recurrence of prior period aircraft impairments, and higher net profits from minority interests.

Goldman commented: "CBA's 1H22 cash earnings (company basis) from continued operations of A$4,746 mn were 10.5% ahead of our expectations, and up 22.7% on pcp. The beat was driven by outperformance on non-interest income (albeit components of this appear somewhat one-off in nature), expenses and BDDs, and expenses, partially offset by lower NIMs. Net net, this drove a +5.5% beat at the PPOP [pre-provisioning operating profit] line."

Goldman Sachs, like many brokers, has been tipping CBA's shares as a sell and to sink notably lower. But today's outperformance could force many brokers into amending their price targets and even their recommendations.

CBA to return more capital to shareholders

Also giving the CBA share price a boost today was news that it will follow up its $6 billion off-market buyback with a new $2 billion on-market buyback.

Management advised that it is undertaking this buyback due to its strong capital position. This strength has put the bank in a position to support customers and manage ongoing uncertainties, while continuing to return surplus capital to shareholders.

This buyback is expected to reduce CBA's CET1 capital ratio by approximately 42 basis points to 11.4%, which is still well-ahead of APRA's unquestionably strong benchmark of 10.5%. It will also remain well-placed to accommodate changes under APRA's new capital framework effective in 2023.

As well as the buyback, CBA will be returning capital to shareholders via its fully franked interim dividend. The CBA board has increased its interim dividend by 17% to $1.75 per share. This will be paid to eligible shareholders on 30 March.

Following today's gain, the CBA share price is now up almost 14% over the last 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Earnings Results

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.
Earnings Results

Why are Telix shares jumping 8% today?

The radiopharmaceuticals company's shares are starting the week strongly.

Read more »

Excited couple celebrating success while looking at smartphone.
Earnings Results

Soul Patts shares push higher on profit jump and 28th dividend increase in a row

This stock has lifted its dividend each year for almost three decades.

Read more »

A happy woman smiles as she looks at a tablet in a room with green plant life around her.
Earnings Results

Soul Patts 1H26 earnings: Strong growth, dividend up again

Soul Patts’ 1H26 results show continued portfolio growth, resilient cashflows, and another dividend increase.

Read more »

Two male ASX investors and executives wearing dark coloured suits sit at a table holding their mobile phones discussing the highest trading ASX 200 shares today
Communication Shares

Guess which ASX 200 telco stock is jumping 7% today

Investors have responded positively to the release of this telco's results.

Read more »

An investor looks happy holding a finger to his computer screen while holding a coffee cup in a home office scenario.
Earnings Results

Tuas half-year result: profit leaps as revenue and subscribers grow

Profit rose 173% and revenue increased 26% as Simba drove growth and M1 acquisition advanced.

Read more »

Beautiful young couple enjoying in shopping, symbolising passive income.
Earnings Results

Guess which ASX 300 stock is jumping 17% on strong results

This stock is catching the eye on Tuesday with a strong gain.

Read more »

One girl leapfrogs over her friend's back.
Earnings Results

Premier Investments shares jump 8% on results and big interim dividend

Peter Alexander is performing but Smiggle is struggling.

Read more »

A young woman looks happily at her phone in one hand with a selection of retail shopping bags in her other hand.
Earnings Results

Premier Investments posts $101.7m half-year profit and lifts dividend

Premier Investments delivers steady 1H26 profit and 45c dividend, with growth for Peter Alexander and a strategic reset at Smiggle.

Read more »