Goldman Sachs names GQG Partners (ASX:GQG) shares as a buy with 32% upside

This fund manager's shares could be heading higher from here…

| More on:
A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The GQG Partners Inc (ASX: GQG) share price has been a disappointing performer since landing on the ASX boards following the completion of its IPO in October.

For example, although the fund manager's shares rose 2% to $1.86 on Thursday, it is still down 7% from its listing price of $2.00.

Is the GQG share price weakness a buying opportunity?

The team at Goldman Sachs believe the weakness in the GQG share price since its listing is a buying opportunity.

According to a note, the broker has initiated coverage on the fund manager with a buy rating and $2.45 price target.

Based on the current GQG share price, this implies potential upside of 32% over the next 12 months.

What did Goldman say?

Goldman advised that it is bullish on the GQG share price for a number of reasons. This includes its positive outlook and attractive valuation.

The broker commented: "Our investment case is underpinned by: Solid investment performance, lowest quartile fee offering among global peers, and strong distribution. Coupled with a scalable business model, this has contributed to robust financial outcomes."

"We see strong alignment between shareholders and staff, and note that i) GQG's co-founders have the majority of their net wealth invested in GQG and its investment strategies, and ii) over time, the company aims for every one of its employees to be both an equity holder in GQG and have exposure to at least one of GQG's investment strategies," it added.

As for its valuation, Goldman sees scope for its shares to rerate to higher multiples.

It explained: "To reflect the weaker organic growth recently, we consider trough levels of NTM EV/EBITDA multiples of its comparable stocks (c.10.4x). If GQG's one-year performance improves and it is therefore able to maintain its very strong organic growth, we think it could trade up towards the average of NTM EV/EBITDA multiples (13.1x). Applying the midpoint of the above multiples (ie. 11.8x) to our 12m fwd EBITDA forecast and using our GS AUDUSD forecast (0.72), we set our 12m TP at A$2.45 and initiate at Buy."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these stocks.

Read more »

A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate
Broker Notes

2 of the best ASX shares to buy in 2025

Bell Potter is feeling bullish on these shares as the new year approaches.

Read more »

Two people having a meeting using a laptop and tablet to discuss Seven West Media's balance sheet
Broker Notes

Why these ASX shares could be top SMSF options in 2025

Analysts are bullish on these high-quality shares. Let's find out why.

Read more »

a man sits at his desk wearing a business shirt and tie and has a hearty laugh at something on his mobile phone.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A young man pointing up looking amazed, indicating a surging share price movement for an ASX company
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 20% to 40% in 2025

Analysts are tipping these shares to deliver huge returns for investors next year.

Read more »

a group of people stand examining a large glowing cystral ball held in the hands of one of the group members while the others regard it with various expressions of wonder, curiousity and scepticism.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Guess which ASX 50 share is a top buy for 2025

Bell Potter has just slapped a buy rating on this stock. Let's see why.

Read more »

a woman holds a facebook like thumbs up sign high above her head. She has a very happy smile on her face.
Broker Notes

Goldman Sachs just put a buy rating on this ASX 200 share

The broker has good things to say about this 'high-quality' company.

Read more »