Why did REX (ASX:REX) shares nosedive 33% in 2021 while Qantas edged higher?

What happened to Regional Express in 2021? We take a closer look

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Regional Express Holdings Ltd (ASX: REX) share price suffered massively in 2021 as COVID-19 continued to impact the travel industry.

Shares in the airline dropped a mammoth 33% during the year, falling from $2.06 to $1.38. In contrast, the Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) share price gained 3.3% in the same time frame.

Let's take a look at what weighed on the REX share price in 2021.

ASX 200 travel shares A man sits on a suitcase with his head in his hands as a plane flies overhead

Image source: Getty Images

Covid-19 travel bans

It was a tough year for the REX share price as the airline dealt with COVID-19 travel bans. However, the final few months of the year provided relief overall for the company's shareholders.

The company's shares dropped nearly 46% between the start of the year and their low point of $1.12 on August 26. Meanwhile, Qantas edged higher from $4.85 to $5.05 during this time, a 4% rise.

After hitting their yearly low, REX shares bounced back to $1.38 on 31 December, a 23% recovery. In the same time frame, Qantas shed 0.6%.

There were a number of low points that hurt the REX share price. These included the company predicting a loss of $15 million before tax for FY 2021, as interstate border restrictions during Covid-19 adversely impacted the airline's revenue projections. Then, in early August, the company further downgraded its revenue forecast to predict a loss of $18 million. The company attributed these losses to the Sydney lockdown and announced it would temporarily stand down staff.

Then came the fightback. In late August, REX released its full-year results. Management kept costs down by 20.9% compared to the previous year.

In September, the airline revealed its staff stand-downs and service suspensions would continue. Despite this news, the share price continued to rise. Hope that borders would open once the population reached 80% vaccination may have been on investors' minds.

In October, the REX share price continued to shine. News that flights between Sydney, Melbourne, and Canberra would resume helped drive this recovery.

However, between 1 November and 31 December, the REX share price fell nearly 14%. This was despite the airline announcing it would fly between Brisbane and Sydney and winning a new regulated flight path in Queensland.

Despite the company launching this new interstate flight route in late December, wider Omicron fears continued to impact ASX travel shares including REX. A Tourism and Transport Australia Forum survey revealed four out of five Australians had either cancelled, or were unsure about, their summer travel plans.

REX share price snapshot

Over the course of the year, the REX share price performed 46% worse than the  S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO), which gained 13%.

The airline has made a steady start to the year, with its shares currently down just 0.3% to $1.38 apiece.

REX has a market capitalisation of about $151 million based on the current share price.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Fallers

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why DroneShield, Hub24, Syrah, and Weebit Nano shares are sinking today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A worried woman sits at her computer with her hands clutched at the bottom of her face.
Share Fallers

These 3 ASX 200 shares have hit fresh multi-year lows: Buy, sell or hold?

One of these stocks has crashed over 50% over the past year alone.

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Brazilian Rare Earths, L1 Group, Silver Mines, and Xero shares are dropping today

These shares are having a poor session on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

A woman looks nervous and uncertain holding a hand to her chin while looking at a paper cut out of a plane that she's holding in her other hand.
Travel Shares

Qantas stock is down 17.7% in a month. Time to buy?

Qantas is back to April prices.

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with a pained expression on his face and a laptop in front of him.
Share Fallers

Why Amplitude Energy, Atlas Arteria, Computershare, and Woodside shares are falling today

These shares are falling on hump day. But why?

Read more »

A rueful woman tucks into a sweet pie as she contemplates a decision with regret.
Energy Shares

Why is this ASX 300 energy share crashing 42% on Wednesday?

Investors are pummelling the ASX energy share on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

Three sky divers 'falling with style'.
Share Fallers

4 ASX All Ords shares at 52-week lows: Buy, hold, or sell?

Three of these stocks have more than halved in value over the past 12 months.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why DroneShield, Guzman Y Gomez, IAG, and Myer shares are falling today

These shares are out of form on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »