What brokers are saying about the Treasury Wine (ASX:TWE) share price

Should investors say cheers to Treasury Wine shares?

| More on:
A happy couple drinking red wine in a vineyard as the Treasury Wine share price rises today

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) share price has been one of the best performers on the ASX 50 over the last 12 months.

During the period, the wine company's shares have risen 36%.

Where next for the Treasury Wine share price?

Given the strong performance by the Treasury Wine share price, investors may be wondering what's next.

The good news is that a couple of leading brokers still believe there's room for it to go higher from here.

For example, the team at Citi currently have a buy rating and $13.80 price target on the company's shares. This implies potential upside of 11% over the next 12 months.

In late December, Citi commented: "We attended the GFA 4Q21 update early today, which revealed on-premise and cellar door wine channels in the US are recovering, consistent with recent feedback from [rival] Duckhorn. This is a tailwind for Treasury Americas noting on-premise and cellar door are high margin channels contributing 19% of its NSR."

In light of the above, the broker is forecasting Treasury Americas first half earnings growth of 19% over the prior corresponding period.

Who else is bullish?

Another broker that is bullish on the Treasury Wine share price is Morgans. It currently has an add rating and $14.06 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of 13% for investors in 2022.

While Morgans acknowledges that there are risks with its exit from China, it remains very positive on the future.

Morgans commented: "TWE has the China reallocation risk and it will take 2-3 years to recover these earnings in new markets. However once it comps China earnings, we expect TWE to deliver strong earnings growth from the 2H22 onwards. Organic growth will be supplemented by M&A."

In respect to the latter, the broker was pleased with the Frank Family Vineyards acquisition. Morgans sees it as a strategically important transaction.

It explained: "We view TWE's recent acquisition of Napa Valley luxury wine business, Frank Family Vineyards (FFV) as strategically important. This high margin business should see TWE achieve its US margin target two years earlier than planned."

Overall, the Treasury Wine share price could be destined to have another strong year if these brokers are on the money.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Treasury Wine Estates Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

Three analysts look at tech options on a wall screen
Technology Shares

Up 70%, is it too late to invest in Xero shares?

This ASX tech darling hit a new all-time share price record yesterday.

Read more »

Four people on the beach leap high into the air.
Broker Notes

4 ASX All Ords shares offering 10% to 30% annual growth: brokers

These ASX All Ords stocks have caught the eye of brokers this week.

Read more »

A young woman lifts her red glasses with one hand as she takes a closer look at news about interest rates rising and one expert's surprising recommendation as to which ASX shares to buy
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Here are 2 ASX shares that Morgans rates as buys

Let's see why the broker is feeling bullish on these stocks.

Read more »

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.
Broker Notes

Guess which ASX 200 stock was just upgraded to a buy rating

Why did the broker just turn bullish? Let's find out.

Read more »

Two brokers analysing stocks.
Broker Notes

Don't miss these changes to broker ratings on ASX shares

The verdicts are in.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these stocks.

Read more »