Is the ANZ (ASX:ANZ) share price a buy with its 8% dividend yield?

Are ANZ shares a buy with its 8% dividend yield?

| More on:
a hand places the number five on top of a pile of ascending wooden blocks, numbered 1 to 4 respectively. The number 5 pile is the tallest.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Could the Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ASX: ANZ) share price be a buy with its high dividend yield?

As one of the big four ASX banks, being ANZ, Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) and National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB), ANZ is one of the biggest businesses in Australia.

The big four banks typically have lower price/earnings (p/e) ratios and higher dividend payout ratios compared to plenty of other industries. This combination of factors leads to banks usually having quite a high grossed-up dividend yield, which includes the franking credits.

What is the dividend yield expected to be?

Every analyst has different thoughts for what dividends ANZ is going to pay over the next year or two.

For example, in FY22 the broker Morgans thinks that the big bank is going to have a grossed-up dividend yield of 7.6%. Then, in FY23, that dividend yield is expected to grow to 8.5%.

But the brokers at Macquarie Group Ltd don't think the dividend is going to be quite as big. Analysts there think that ANZ is going to pay a grossed-up dividend yield of 7.5% in FY22 and then 7.6% in FY23.

Other brokers have different estimates too.

How do those estimates compare against the ANZ dividend yield for the last 12 months?

In the past year, ANZ has paid shareholders a grossed-up dividend yield of 7.4%.

Both brokers are expecting the big four bank to grow its dividend in FY22 and also in the following year in FY23.

What is the ANZ share price valuation?

As mentioned, banks typically trade on quite low price/earnings ratios.

According to Macquarie, ANZ shares are valued at 14x FY22's estimated earnings.

Morgans' profit forecast puts the ANZ share price at 12x FY22's estimated earnings.

ANZ suffered a large profit hit during FY20 as the full impact of COVID-19 effects were felt on the business.

However, FY21 was a year of rebuilding the headline profit.

FY21 continuing operations cash profit increased by 65% to $6.2 billion. However, profit before credit impairments and tax was flat at $8.4 billion. Excluding large/notable items on top of that, profit actually dropped 6% to $9.5 billion in FY21.

However, the bank's leadership recently admitted that the bank has been too slow in processing mortgage applications which led to ANZ losing market share.

The big four bank said that it took urgent action to fix those processing issues by materially increasing its assessment capacity as well as simplifying and automating processes.

Whilst it's still "early days" with these changes and there is much to do, ANZ said it is seeing improvements in its processing times and a modest return to balance sheet growth.

Is the ANZ share price a buy?

The two brokers mentioned above – Morgans and Macquarie – both think that ANZ is a buy, with price targets that are approximately 10% higher than where it is today.

However, there are quite a few other analysts out there – such as the ones at Credit Suisse and Citi – that think that ANZ is only a hold/neutral at this stage.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Bank Shares

A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop.
Dividend Investing

Are CBA shares still a good buy today for passive income?

Looking to earn passive income from ASX dividend stocks? Here’s my take on CBA shares.

Read more »

Shocked office worker staring at computer screen with colleagues working in the background.
Bank Shares

The ASX bank share beating CBA in 2025

Many investors might not realise this smaller bank stock is leading the pack this year. 

Read more »

man thinking about whether to invest in bitcoin
Bank Shares

Here's what needs to happen for the CBA share price to try and reach $200

What could drive the CBA share price higher?

Read more »

A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop.
Bank Shares

Why now could be an opportune time to sell CBA shares

A leading expert offers his verdict on the outlook for CBA shares.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Bank Shares

The Westpac share price is a buy – UBS

The broker is optimistic on Westpac shares.

Read more »

Bank building with the word bank on it.
Bank Shares

The biggest buyers and sellers of ASX 200 bank stocks revealed

Macquarie breaks down who’s been buying and who’s been selling the ASX 200 bank stocks.

Read more »

A young woman sits with her hand to her chin staring off to the side thinking about her investments.
Resources Shares

Should I switch my ASX 200 banking stocks for ASX 200 miners before earnings season?

The ASX 200 Index is dominated by Australia's bank and materials/mining sectors, which together account for around half of the…

Read more »

A man sits in contemplation on his sofa looking at his phone as though he has just heard some serious or interesting news.
Bank Shares

Here's when Westpac says the RBA will now cut interest rates

The RBA surprised everyone by keeping rates on hold last week. So, when will the next cut happen?

Read more »