When it comes to the Webjet (ASX:WEB) share price, do the brokers or the shorters have it right?

Who's going to win? The bulls or the bears?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Webjet Limited (ASX: WEB) share price is trading lower again on Tuesday.

In afternoon trade, the online travel agent's shares are down 2% to $5.33.

This means the Webjet share price is now down 14% since this time last month.

A woman looks nervous and uncertain holding a hand to her chin while looking at a paper cut out of a plane that she's holding in her other hand.

Image source: Getty Images

Where next for the Webjet share price?

The market appears incredible divided on where the Webjet share price will be going next.

In one corner you have a number of bullish brokers such as Goldman Sachs and Morgans, whereas in the other corner you have a growing number of short sellers better against the company.

In respect to the latter, earlier this week Webjet's short interest rose to 9.4%. This makes Webjet one of the most shorted shares on the Australian share market alongside Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT), which has 13.9% of its shares held short.

Short sellers appear to have concerns over its valuation and the travel market's stuttering recovery from COVID-19, particularly given the emergence of the Omicron variant.

All in all, the bears appear confident there's more chance of the Webjet share price falling than rising from here.

What about the bulls?

Last week Goldman Sachs retained its buy rating but trimmed its price target on the company's shares to $6.90. Whereas a week earlier, Morgans upgraded Webjet's shares to an add rating with a $6.60 price target.

Based on the current Webjet share price of $5.33, these price targets imply potential upside of 24% to 29% over the next 12 months.

Goldman commented: "Overall, WEB continues to make progress in the right direction through the reopening with the 20% cost savings target remaining intact for the Webbeds division. We continue to see a long term growth story in this business and view WEB as net beneficiaries of the post COVID recovery. We slightly lower our 12m Target Price to A$6.90 (vs. A$7.00 prior) and maintain our Buy rating on WEB."

Morgans agrees and notes that Webjet's shares are trading on attractive post-recovery multiples.

It said: "WEB's share price has been weak this month as concerns around rising COVID cases and lockdowns in Europe have weighed on the sector. Following forecast changes, our blended valuation has risen to $6.60. With 16.4%  [now 24%] upside to our new price target, we move to an Add rating. Based on our forecasts, WEB is trading on an FY24 recovery year PE of 17.9x which is at a discount to its five-year average PE (pre-COVID) of 20.6x."

Time will tell whether it is the brokers or the short sellers that make the right call on the Webjet share price.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Webjet Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Two happy and excited friends in euphoria holding a smartphone, after winning in a bet.
Broker Notes

3 ASX shares upgraded by Morgans to buy ratings

Let's see why the broker has turned positive on these shares.

Read more »

Successful group of people applauding in a business meeting and looking very happy.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to buy these shares.

Read more »

Wooden blocks spelling rebound with coins on top.
Broker Notes

Can Life360 shares recover from the AI fuelled sell-off?

A leading expert looks into the AI-driven pressure hitting Life360 shares.

Read more »

An engineer takes a break on a staircase and looks out over a huge open pit coal mine as the sun rises in the background.
Broker Notes

Up 49% in a year, should you buy BHP shares for their 'stability and income'?

A leading expert delivers his forecast for BHP’s fast-rising shares.

Read more »

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Pro Medicus, Life360, A2 Milk shares

Expert analysts reveal their latest recommendations on 3 ASX 200 stocks.

Read more »

A woman sits in a cafe wearing a polka dotted shirt and holding a latte in one hand while reading something on a laptop that is sitting on the table in front of her
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Goodman Group, BHP, Westpac shares

ASX 200 shares are in the red for a fifth consecutive session amid stalled peace talks between the US and…

Read more »

Business man marking Sell on board and underlining it
Broker Notes

Experts name 3 ASX 200 shares to sell now

Let's see which shares are being tipped as sells this week.

Read more »

A man and a woman sit in front of a laptop looking fascinated and captivated.
Broker Notes

What is Morgans' updated view on Bank of Queensland and PLS shares?

These ASX 200 stocks are performing very differently this year.

Read more »