Why is the Kogan (ASX:KGN) share price jumping 5% today?

Christmas cheer is reaching into retail shares like Kogan.

| More on:
A young woman does her Christmas shopping online in her lounge room at home with a Christmas tree in the background.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price is rebounding on Wednesday from its recent 19-month low.

At the time of writing, the online retailer's shares are swapping hands for $8.03, up 5.38%. This comes after a prolonged period of downward pressure on the company's shares as it contends with a slowdown in sales.

The reprieve for Kogan shares follows a strong session for US-listed e-commerce companies overnight. In addition, ASX investors could be eyeing off businesses set to benefit from a Christmas spending spree.

Why are Kogan shares rallying on the ASX today?

The market is looking more fondly upon the ASX-listed Kogan share price today as it marches upwards. While there are no new announcements from the company today, investors could be getting excited about a potentially happy holiday period.

As my colleague Brendon covered yesterday, the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) released the results of its latest consumer survey. According to the CommBank Household Spending Intentions Index, retail spending intentions increased 9.6% in November compared to the previous month.

Additionally, CBA noted the strong gain in November suggests a strong Christmas shopping period. Fuelling this year's silly season is excessive household savings, which the major bank pegs at an estimated $240 billion.

This further solidifies forecasts for pre-Christmas spending as published by the Australian Retailers Association and Roy Morgan. The joint report indicated pre-Christmas retail sales were likely to hit $58.8 billion. This figure is in line with the previous year. However, it represents an 11.3% increase compared to pre-pandemic spending.

For ASX-listed Kogan, shareholders will be hoping the excess household savings will go towards bringing down the company's high inventory levels. The unpredictability in supply and demand has bullied the Kogan share price since February this year.

While the company noted it had resolved inventory pressures in its October update, it remains elevated from historical levels. The damage to the bottom line over the last year has led to Kogan being removed from the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO). This change will be effective from opening trade on 20 December 2021.

Motley Fool contributor Mitchell Lawler owns shares of Kogan.com Ltd and Commonwealth Bank of Australia. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Retail Shares

A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.
Retail Shares

Up 90%, this ASX 200 retail stock's CEO just sold $500,000 worth

What could this mean?

Read more »

View of a mine site.
Retail Shares

Why buying Wesfarmers shares could provide unique lithium exposure

In the last 12 months, the stock has rallied more than 28%.

Read more »

Photo of two women shopping.
Retail Shares

Why one leading fund manager thinks this fallen ASX All Ords stock is a turnaround buy

This is a bargain stock, according to a leading fundie.

Read more »

a woman wearing fashionable clothes and jewellery checks her phone with a satisfied smile on her face in a luxurous home setting.
Retail Shares

Guess which ASX 200 stock just extended its $580 million buyback

Could this draw investor attention to the stock?

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Retail Shares

Own Wesfarmers shares? Here's why Bunnings' monster profits are raising eyebrows

Bunnings is the jewel in Wesfarmers’ crown. Some people are questioning whether it should sparkle as much as it does.

Read more »

Woman checking out new laptops.
Retail Shares

Harvey Norman shares see red on ASIC case update

This could put the saga to rest.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Retail Shares

Why this investing expert is cashing in some gains on Wesfarmers shares

The ASX 200 stock is up more than 27% over the past 12 months.

Read more »

A woman looks at a tablet device while in the aisles of a hardware style store amid stacked boxes on shelves representing Bunnings and the Wesfarmers share price
Retail Shares

Why today is a big day for Wesfarmers shares

Why is everyone talking about Wesfarmers shares today?

Read more »