Why this top broker says the Cochlear (ASX:COH) share price is heading lower

Are Cochlear's shares overvalued?

| More on:
young woman reviewing financial reports at desk with multiple computer screens

Image Source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Cochlear Limited (ASX: COH) share price is back on form on Tuesday.

In afternoon trade, the hearing solutions company's shares are up 1% to $213.25.

This means the Cochlear share price is now up 12% in 2021.

Where next for the Cochlear share price?

Unfortunately, one leading broker is calling time on the Cochlear share price gains.

According to a recent note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have retained their sell rating and $197.00 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the current Cochlear share price, this implies potential downside of almost 8% for its shares over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

While Goldman Sachs expects trading conditions to improve given the vaccine rollout, it does have concerns that demand could take longer to recover. This is due to a combination of cochlear implant surgeries being highly elective and potential hesitancy from older patients.

Goldman said: "Although improving vaccination rates against a challenging comparator should set up COH for a relatively stronger period, implant surgeries are highly elective. Although COH is a high-quality operator, leveraged to a recovery in procedure volumes, it is possible there is some persistent hesitancy amongst a proportion of its target market in DMs (aged 70+)."

In addition, although the broker is a fan of the company, it doesn't see enough value in the Cochlear share price to change its recommendation to something more positive at this point.

"Whilst there are many reasons to like the stock, at current valuation, we continue to see better value elsewhere across our coverage (COH 29.7x 2022E EV/EBITDA for +3% FY19-22E NPAT CAGR). We are Sell-rated on COH with a 12m TP of A$197 based on our target NTM EV/EBITDA multiple of 26.2x," Goldman explained.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended Cochlear Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Cochlear Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A cool young man walking in a laneway holding a takeaway coffee in one hand and his phone in the other reacts with surprise as he reads the latest news on his mobile phone
Broker Notes

This ASX 200 share is one of 'the highest quality businesses on the ASX'

Let's see which stock analysts at Wilsons rate incredibly highly right now.

Read more »

Young woman in yellow striped top with laptop raises arm in victory
Broker Notes

Buy this ASX 300 stock for 20% upside and a 6% yield

Analysts at Bell Potter think investors should be buying this stock before it's too late.

Read more »

young woman reviewing financial reports at desk with multiple computer screens
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these stocks.

Read more »

Woman in celebratory fist move looking at phone
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A young man pointing up looking amazed, indicating a surging share price movement for an ASX company
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 20% to almost 30%

Analysts are tipping these shares to deliver big returns over the next 12 months.

Read more »

Two people tired and resting after sports race.
Broker Notes

Fundie rates 2 ASX 200 stocks in short-term pain but with long-term gain potential

Blackwattle Investment Partners sees these 2 ASX 200 stocks as worthy of a buy and hold strategy.

Read more »

Two smiling work colleagues discuss an investment or business plan at their office.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face. as he raises his hands up to his face in response to the high fluctuations in the Galileo share price today
Broker Notes

Guess which beaten down ASX share is rocketing 11% today

Why are investors buying this beaten down stock? Let's find out.

Read more »