The APA (ASX:APA) share price has gone backwards in 2021 so far. What's next?

APA shares have dropped in 2021. What's next for the energy infrastructure giant?

| More on:
share price up

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The APA Group (ASX: APA) share price has actually dropped in 2021 so far. What could happen next for the business?

APA has been through a bit of volatility this year. The share price has been above $10 earlier in the year and as low as $8.20 at the end of October.

APA shares have dropped by 3% this year, but the business has seen a strong recovery in the last few weeks. Since the end of October 2021, the APA share price has gone up more than 15%.

Takeover attempt

APA has been trying to buy the Australian energy infrastructure business Ausnet Services Ltd (ASX: AST) which is a large electricity transmission business. APA submitted a non-binding indicative offer for AusNet on 21 September 2021.

Management of APA considers the AusNet business to be "highly attractive". But, AusNet has decided to proceed with the bid from Brookfield. While APA said it has received strong support from investors in both AusNet and APA for its proposed acquisition, APA said it will continue to remain "financially disciplined".

Coincidence or not, the APA share price has risen since the date of that announcement.

Basslink debt acquisition

But APA isn't giving up on making deals happen.

A couple of weeks ago, the business announced it had bought an interest in the debt of the business that is the borrowing entity for Basslink Pty Ltd, which owns and operates the 370km high voltage direct current electricity interconnector between Victoria and Tasmania.

Basslink is the only electricity interconnector between Tasmania and Mainland Australia. It provides two-way access to 500MW of electricity and is critical to the export of Tasmanian renewable energy to Australia's mainland.

Basslink Pty Ltd entered into voluntary administration and receivership on 12 November 2021.

APA is interested in buying Basslink from the receivership and managers. The face value of the debt that APA acquired an interest in is approximately $99 million, which was bought at a discount and funded from APA's existing debt facilities.

The acquisition of the debt interest in Basslink provides APA with the opportunity to work with the receivers and managers to put Basslink on a sustainable footing.

If APA is successful in acquiring Basslink, APA will work with Hydro Tasmania, the State of Tasmania, the Australian Energy Regulator and other key stakeholders to convert Basslink to a regulated asset.

APA's strategy is to expand its electricity transmission footprint and invest in renewable energy sources.

Is the APA share price a buy?

Morgans thinks that APA is a buy, with a price target of $9.98. The broker says that APA is benefiting from the fact that its contracts with customers are linked to CPI inflation, so this is helping the business more than the decline in demand because of more expensive gas prices.

The broker thinks APA is going to pay a distribution of $0.55 per share in FY23, which translates to a forward yield of 5.8%.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended APA Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Energy Shares

Oil worker using a smartphone in front of an oil rig.
Energy Shares

ASX 200 energy shares plunge on shock OPEC move

ASX 200 energy shares like Woodside and Santos are tumbling on Monday. Let’s find out why.

Read more »

Female oil worker in front of a pumpjack.
Energy Shares

Should you buy Woodside shares in May?

Is this energy giant a good investment right now?

Read more »

Hand holding out coal in front of a coal mine.
Energy Shares

Down 20% this year, are Whitehaven Coal shares a buy, hold or sell according to Macquarie?

Here’s what’s in store for this Australian independent coal producer.

Read more »

Rocket powering up and symbolising a rising share price.
Energy Shares

Guess which ASX uranium stock could rocket 45%

Big returns could be on offer from this stock. Let's see what Bell Potter is saying.

Read more »

A miner stands in front of an excavator at a mine site.
Energy Shares

3 ASX 200 uranium shares soaring 10%-plus today

What has got investors excited today?

Read more »

An oil worker in front of a pumpjack using a tablet PC.
Energy Shares

Woodside shares higher on 'game-changer' news

Let's see what the energy giant has announced on Tuesday.

Read more »

A Paladin Energy miner wearing a hard hat and protective gear stands in front of a large mining truck and smiles to the camera.
Energy Shares

Paladin Energy shares have surged 32% in 2 days. Macquarie says that's the tip of the iceberg

After a tough year, the future is looking brighter for Paladin Energy shares.

Read more »

An oil worker in front of a pumpjack using a tablet PC.
Energy Shares

Woodside shares storm higher on 'world-class operational performance'

Woodside has started the year in a positive fashion.

Read more »