Why China's property sector had a huge impact on ASX iron ore miners: expert

Here's a look into why iron ore miners have been struggling and what this fundie is buying…

| More on:
asx iron ore share price crash represented by meteor speeding through space

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Investors of ASX-listed iron ore miners have been left battered and bruised after an unceremonious fall in the commodity's price. In the space of four months, the spot price of the steel-making material has tumbled nearly 60%. Unsurprisingly, the implosion has left the share prices of Aussie iron ore producers in its wake.

Despite this, one Sydney-based fund manager is seeing it as an opportune time. In its October report, the managers of the Perennial Value Australian Shares Trust discussed the factors weighing on ASX iron ore miners, and how they're positioning the fund looking forward.

So, what is behind Perennial Partner's shifting sentiment?

What's been weighing on ASX iron ore miners?

Firstly, the Perennial Value Australian Shares Trust had a challenging month in October. While the S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index delivered a 0.1% increase month-on-month, the value-orientated fund went 0.3% backwards. Notable detractors for the fund included Smartgroup Corporation Ltd (ASX: SIQ) and Star Entertainment Group Ltd (ASX: SGR).

However, iron ore miners were of particular interest to the fund during the month. A continued weakening from US$115 per tonne to US$105 per tonne played out in October.

According to Perennial, this downwards pressure was the fault of continued slowing in the Chinese property sector. Simultaneously, lingering steelmaking restrictions imposed by the Chinese government stifled demand. These combined created a strong headwind for ASX-listed iron ore miners.

A big component of the China property woes has been the Evergrande saga. The giant real estate developer has been dancing with debtors as interest repayments come due. Meanwhile, Evergrande is not the only developer financially struggling. The industry as a whole in China is seemingly on its knees.

Unfortunately, the data is damning for iron ore producers. In a statement from the treasurer of Australia, Josh Frydenberg, China's property sector accounts for half of the country's steel production. Therefore, any weakness in construction traces back to a weakness in iron ore prices.

How is Perennial playing the sector?

Even though the current environment may seem bleak, Perennial Partners have been reducing its underweight position in the likes of BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG), and Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO).

Previously, the fund had moved to an underweight rating when iron ore prices were being considered unsustainably high. However, the Aussie fund believes the share prices of these companies have now fallen to attractive levels.

With an increased position in ASX iron ore miners, the fund finished October with an overweight exposure to the materials sector relative to the index.

Motley Fool contributor Mitchell Lawler owns shares of SMARTGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended SMARTGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Resources Shares

Image from either construction, mining or the oil industry of a friendly worker.
Resources Shares

Overinvested in BHP shares? Here are 2 alternative ASX mining stocks to buy

Let’s dig into some other mining opportunities.

Read more »

A smiling miner wearing a high vis vest and yellow hardhat and working for Superior Resources does the thumbs up in front of an open pit copper mine, indicating positive news for the company's share price today following a significant copper discovery
Resources Shares

Are these ASX mining shares the place to invest for 2025?

This expert reckons investors should avoid the biggest miners on the ASX.

Read more »

two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Mineral Resources shares on watch before AGM on Thursday

Investors will be on high alert.

Read more »

A happy boy with his dad dabs like a hero while his father checks his phone.
Resources Shares

Buy 5,000 shares of this top ASX dividend stock for $100 per month in passive income

I think this little-known ASX share is worth exploring for its dividend potential.

Read more »

Two miners standing together.
Resources Shares

BHP share price stepping higher as Brazilian court rules on 2015 dam disaster

BHP responded this morning to news reports of the Brazilian court ruling.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Here's a fund manager's bull case for Mineral Resources shares

It’s a rough time for this stock. Let’s dig into whether it’s an opportunity.

Read more »

Australian notes and coins symbolising dividends.
Resources Shares

The BHP dividend doesn't attract me – Here's why

I’m steering clear of BHP as a passive income stock for a few reasons.

Read more »

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Resources Shares

The Mineral Resources share price just slumped another 7%. Here's why

Investors are bidding down Mineral Resources shares on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »