Is the Goodman (ASX:GMG) share price a good buy?

Is the Goodman share price heading higher?

| More on:
a small child holds his chin with his head on the side in a serious thinking pose against a background of graphic question marks and a yellow lightbulb.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Goodman Group (ASX: GMG) share price was a comparatively positive performer on Tuesday.

The integrated property company's shares ended the day a fraction higher at $23.89.

This compares to a 0.7% decline by the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

Where next for the Goodman share price?

Following today's performance, the Goodman share price is up 23% in 2021. While this is more than double the return of the ASX 200, a number of leading brokers believe it can keep rising.

One of those is Citi. A note this month reveals that its analysts have retained their buy rating and lifted their price target on the company's shares to $27.50.

Based on the current Goodman share price, this implies potential upside of over 15% for investors over the next 12 months. The broker is also forecasting a 1.3% dividend yield at current prices.

Why is Citi bullish?

Citi was impressed with Goodman's performance during the first quarter of FY 2022. It was also pleased to see management upgrade its full year guidance to at least 15% earnings per share growth.

However, the broker feels Goodman is being conservative with this guidance and is tipping the company to outperform it.

In addition, Citi notes that the Goodman share price is trading on lower multiples than some of its peer despite its stronger growth.

The broker commented: "GMG (Buy-rated) has today upgraded FY22 EPS guidance by 5% and now expects Operating EPS growth to be "in excess of 15%" or an implied EPS of >75.4c (c. 1% ahead of Citi's ingoing estimate of 74.8c and 1.5% ahead of Visible Alpha consensus 74.4c)."

"We believe the upgrade was driven by a mix of factors. Our EPS estimates rise 3% in FY22 and 5- 6% thereafter, with our TP rising ~6% to $27.50. We continue to see upside to FY22 guidance and now forecast FY22 EPS of 76.9c (+17% growth), 2% ahead of guidance. Importantly, our 3 year EPS CAGR lifts 200bps to ~16%, reflecting higher asset values, and development activity. We retain our Buy call with GMG now trading at ~30x FY22E PE, -3% to -25% below global peers, despite higher growth."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Two smiling work colleagues discuss an investment or business plan at their office.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares.

Read more »

Two brokers analysing stocks.
Broker Notes

Goldman Sachs says this ASX 200 stock is a buy with 25%+ upside

Let's see why the broker is bullish on this name right now.

Read more »

Happy man holding Australian dollar notes, representing dividends.
Broker Notes

Why this cheap ASX All Ords stock could rise 50% and pay an 11% dividend yield

Goldman Sachs thinks that big returns could be coming for buyers of this stock.

Read more »

Woman using a pen on a digital stock market chart in an office.
Broker Notes

CSL stock: Buy, hold, or sell in 2025?

Let's see what analysts are saying about this blue chip giant at the start of the year.

Read more »

a woman holds a facebook like thumbs up sign high above her head. She has a very happy smile on her face.
Broker Notes

Goldman Sachs says this ASX 200 stock is a top buy in January

The broker is forecasting some big returns for investors this year.

Read more »

A man working in the stock exchange.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys right now.

Read more »

A group of businesspeople clapping.
Broker Notes

2 of the best ASX 200 shares to buy in the Asia-Pacific

Goldman Sachs is speaking very highly about these stocks this month.

Read more »

Excited group of friends sitting on sofa watching sports on TV and celebrating.
Broker Notes

4 ASX 200 shares just upgraded for 2025 by top brokers

Leading brokers are forecasting strong performance in 2025 from these four ASX 200 companies.

Read more »