Is the Goodman (ASX:GMG) share price a good buy?

Is the Goodman share price heading higher?

| More on:
a small child holds his chin with his head on the side in a serious thinking pose against a background of graphic question marks and a yellow lightbulb.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Goodman Group (ASX: GMG) share price was a comparatively positive performer on Tuesday.

The integrated property company's shares ended the day a fraction higher at $23.89.

This compares to a 0.7% decline by the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

Where next for the Goodman share price?

Following today's performance, the Goodman share price is up 23% in 2021. While this is more than double the return of the ASX 200, a number of leading brokers believe it can keep rising.

One of those is Citi. A note this month reveals that its analysts have retained their buy rating and lifted their price target on the company's shares to $27.50.

Based on the current Goodman share price, this implies potential upside of over 15% for investors over the next 12 months. The broker is also forecasting a 1.3% dividend yield at current prices.

Why is Citi bullish?

Citi was impressed with Goodman's performance during the first quarter of FY 2022. It was also pleased to see management upgrade its full year guidance to at least 15% earnings per share growth.

However, the broker feels Goodman is being conservative with this guidance and is tipping the company to outperform it.

In addition, Citi notes that the Goodman share price is trading on lower multiples than some of its peer despite its stronger growth.

The broker commented: "GMG (Buy-rated) has today upgraded FY22 EPS guidance by 5% and now expects Operating EPS growth to be "in excess of 15%" or an implied EPS of >75.4c (c. 1% ahead of Citi's ingoing estimate of 74.8c and 1.5% ahead of Visible Alpha consensus 74.4c)."

"We believe the upgrade was driven by a mix of factors. Our EPS estimates rise 3% in FY22 and 5- 6% thereafter, with our TP rising ~6% to $27.50. We continue to see upside to FY22 guidance and now forecast FY22 EPS of 76.9c (+17% growth), 2% ahead of guidance. Importantly, our 3 year EPS CAGR lifts 200bps to ~16%, reflecting higher asset values, and development activity. We retain our Buy call with GMG now trading at ~30x FY22E PE, -3% to -25% below global peers, despite higher growth."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Goldman Sachs says this ASX 200 share is dirt cheap

The broker sees big returns on the cards for buyers of this stock.

Read more »

Three people in a corporate office pour over a tablet, ready to invest.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face. as he raises his hands up to his face in response to the high fluctuations in the Galileo share price today
Broker Notes

Goldman Sachs says this ASX 200 share could rocket almost 100%!

Let's see why the broker is so bullish on this cheap stock.

Read more »

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 30% to 70%

Analysts think these shares could be destined to deliver big returns over the next 12 months.

Read more »

a man looks down at his phone with a look of happy surprise on his face as though he is thrilled with good news.
Broker Notes

3 more of the very best ASX shares to buy now

Bell Potter rates these blue chips very highly. Here's why.

Read more »

Man presses green buy button and red sell button on a graph.
Broker Notes

5 top ASX 200 stocks that brokers rate as buys after the market selloff

These stocks could be top buys for investors looking to add to their portfolio.

Read more »

Health professional putting on gloves.
Healthcare Shares

How will Ansell shares navigate tariffs according to Macquarie?

The next two years could be a challenging period for the PPE company.

Read more »

Three people in a corporate office pour over a tablet, ready to invest.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »