Why did the Zip (ASX:Z1P) share price have such a lousy month in October?

We investigate why this ASX BNPL share had a challenging October.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

As it turns out, not too many ASX shares enjoyed a great month over October. The broad S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) went backwards by around 0.1%, with ASX resources and banking shares dragging on the ASX 200.

One ASX 200 share that was particularly disappointing for investors was the Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P) share price.

Zip shares certainly had a month to forget. This buy now, pay later (BNPL) company started October at a price of $7.06 a share. But it ended up finishing the month at just $6.50 last Friday. That's a slide of 7.93%. Ouch.

So, what went so wrong for Zip over October?

A boy with sad eyes pulls the zip over his mouth and nose while doing up a large jacket where the collar stands up at head height.

Image source: Getty Images

Zip share price falls despite record quarterly update

Well, the centrepiece of Zip's month was the first quarter update the company posted on 18 October. In this update, Zip told the markets that it managed to bring in a record quarterly revenue of $126.8 million, up 89% year on year. Its quarterly transaction volume also broke records, coming in at $1.9 billion, up 101% year on year.

The company now has a customer base of 8 million, up 82%. While the number of merchants using its platform also continues to skyrocket, hitting 55,200 over the quarter, up 71%.

Despite an initial share price pop of roughly 5% when this update was released, investor sentiment cooled off very quickly in the days that followed. By Wednesday last week, the Zip share price was back below where it was on the day before this quarterly update was released.

Brokers and short sellers send some tough love for BNPL

This may have been spurred by some negative broker coverage of Zip that week. As my Fool colleague James covered last Tuesday, broker UBS evidently wasn't impressed with Zip's update. UBS has retained a 'sell' rating on Zip with a 12-month share price target of $5.40. That implies a potential 12-month downside of close to 15% on today's pricing.

UBS pointed out that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is planning on removing the 'no surcharge rule' for BNPL products. The broker reckons this is an "incremental negative" for Zip Co.

As we covered last month, the RBA has indeed changed its tune on the no surcharge rule. This prevent retailers from directly passing on the higher transaction costs of BNPL payment methods to consumers.

The RBA now won't stand in the way of merchants wanting to apply a surcharge to BNPL transactions if they so wish. This, the RBA believes, will "promote competition and efficiency in the Australian payments system".

Investors remain sceptical about the Zip share price. As the Fool covered last week, Zip shares remain in the top 10 most shorted ASX shares on the market.

All of these factors may have assisted in making Zip's October one to forget. Investors in this BNPL company will no doubt be hoping for a better November.

At the current Zip share price of $6.29, the company has a market capitalisation of $3.6 billion.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on BNPL shares

Happy woman shopping online.
BNPL shares

Up another 9%, how much higher can Zip shares go?

Zip is up 36% in the past 5 days and some experts think it can still double in value.

Read more »

A young woman looks happily at her phone in one hand with a selection of retail shopping bags in her other hand.
BNPL shares

$10,000 invested in Zip shares one month ago is now worth…

Zip shares have come roaring back in recent weeks, smashing short sellers and delighting stockholders.

Read more »

A young man sitting at an outside table uses a card to pay for his online shopping.
BNPL shares

Why are Zip shares rocketing 24% today?

This buy now pay later provider released a strong update this morning.

Read more »

A man in a suit looks surprised as he looks through binoculars.
BNPL shares

Why are Zip shares flying 9% higher today?

Find out what brokers are tipping for Zip shares over the next year.

Read more »

A boy with sad eyes pulls the zip over his mouth and nose while doing up a large jacket where the collar stands up at head height.
BNPL shares

Zip shares plunge again after yesterday's 19% surge. Here's what changed

Zip shares tumble as ceasefire hopes fade and volatility returns.

Read more »

Man with a hand on his head looks at a red stock market chart showing a falling share price.
BNPL shares

Are Zip Co shares a buy right now?

Down 40% in 2026, is now the time to buy Zip Co shares?

Read more »

A man clenches his fists with glee having seen the share price go up on the computer screen in front of him.
BNPL shares

Are Zip shares still a buy after soaring 20%

Zip shares are now 67% higher than this time 12 months ago.

Read more »

Happy woman in purple clothes looking at ASX share price on mobile phone.
Broker Notes

Down 50% in 2026, Zip shares are 'one of the most compelling value opportunities on the ASX'

Blackwattle portfolio managers Robert Hawkesford and Daniel Broeren provide their assessment of this ASX financial stock.

Read more »