Is the A2 Milk (ASX:A2M) share price a buy after the selloff?

Is it time to buy A2 Milk shares?

| More on:
A woman with black afro hair and wearing a white t-shirt shrugs and purses her lips

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) share price is having a better day on Thursday.

In afternoon trade, the infant formula company's shares are edging 0.5% higher to $6.06.

This follows another selloff on Wednesday which saw the A2 Milk share price plunge 12%.

Is the A2 Milk share price selloff a buying opportunity?

One leading broker that has held firm with its positive view on the A2 Milk share price is Bell Potter.

This morning the broker retained its buy rating and $7.70 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the current A2 Milk share price, this implies potential upside of almost 28% over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say about A2 Milk's update?

Bell Potter notes that there were a number of takeaways from the company's investor update.

One of those was the company's medium term target of growing its revenue to NZ$2 billion in the next ~5 years.

It commented: "A2M has a medium term risk adjusted revenue target of ~NZ$2.0Bn with EBITDA margins in the teens and scope to lift to low-mid 20's subject to mix and market share gains. Major drivers of this growth are: (1) a 50% recovery of the FY20-21 fall in English label IMF sales; (2) a ~NZ$400m uplift in China label sales from MBS expansion and higher sell through rates in mature stores; and (3) China nutritionals product portfolio and regional expansion."

Bell Potter also notes that the company is continuing to try and make things work in the US market. Though, it doesn't appear supportive of this.

The broker said: "Volumes up in Australia and down in the US. At face value we see the continued commitment to remain in the US a negative. The strategy has been augmented a number of times since entry and to date has failed to generate any semblance of a pathway to profitability. We would have expected a move to licence the brand (like in NZ) and remove a ~NZ$30m EBITDA loss would be received positively."

Staying buy rated

Nevertheless, Bell Potter saw enough in the update to remain positive on the A2 Milk share price.

It concluded: "There is no change to our Buy rating. The key to A2M is how much English label sales recover in 2H22e-1H23e and the extent to which A2M can expand its MBS distribution touchpoints. If A2M can deliver on just these two aspects of its strategy, then we would see a pathway to ~NZ$1.7-1.9Bn revenue and ~NZ$300-350m EBITDA business, with upside if it can back integrate processing into MVM and reduce US losses."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended A2 Milk. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Market News

Woman in celebratory fist move looking at phone
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A young man pointing up looking amazed, indicating a surging share price movement for an ASX company
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 20% to almost 30%

Analysts are tipping these shares to deliver big returns over the next 12 months.

Read more »

A young woman carefully adds a rock to the top of a pile of balanced river rocks.
Share Market News

Here's how the ASX 200 market sectors stacked up last week

Energy and utilities stocks led the way last week with 4%-plus gains.

Read more »

Animation of a man measuring a percentage sign, symbolising rising interest rates.
Share Market News

Here's when Westpac says the RBA will now cut interest rates

Will borrowers need to wait until the middle of next year for relief? Let's find out.

Read more »

Boys making faces and flexing.
Opinions

3 ASX 300 shares to buy and hold for the long run

I believe these stocks have loads of growth potential.

Read more »

Young girl drinking milk showing off muscles.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a great end to the trading week for ASX investors today.

Read more »

Hands reaching high for a trophy with a sunset in the background.
Record Highs

The ASX 200 Index is on its way to another all-time high today. Here's why

These blue chip stocks are driving the index towards a new record today...

Read more »

Group of friends trading stocks on their phones. symbolising the 3 most traded ASX 200 shares today
Share Market News

3 ASX mining stocks topping the most-traded list in October

Chinese stimulus news and company announcements likely contributed to the higher trading activity.

Read more »