Why did the CSL (ASX:CSL) share price have such a lousy month in September?

The "September effect" strikes again.

| More on:
Three workers are not pleased, seeing the lousy news on a computer.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) share price took a dive late last month, after touching a year-to-date high of $312.99. While the global biotech didn't release any market-sensitive news, investors appeared to be selling due to the "September effect".

At yesterday's market close, CSL shares closed 0.23% lower to $286.67. This puts them within sight of a 3-month low of $273.01.

What's weighing down CSL shares?

The "September effect" refers to historically underperforming market returns that occur in the United States and other world economies. In fact, the September effect has seen the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJX: .DJI) dip 0.7% on average from 1950 to 2020, while, since 1971, the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQ: .IXIC) generally dips 0.6% around this time.

Whilst there is no single cause, analysts blame seasonal rebalancing, tax-loss harvesting by mutual funds, and market psychology.

In local markets, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has sunk 3.65% in a month, at its lowest level since June. This has undoubtedly put pressure on the CSL share price, as investors pulled money out to limit potential further losses.

CSL previously noted in its full-year results that it sees FY22 as a transitional year. This reflects strong demand for its portfolio of therapies and vaccines, offset by plasma collection headwinds.

A number of brokers rated the company's shares following CSL's FY21 scorecard.

Multinational investment firm Goldman Sachs cut its price target by 1% to $302, while Morgans had a more bullish outlook. The latter raised its 12-month view by 7.7% to $324.40. Based on the current share price, this implies an upside of around 13% on Morgan's assessment.

CSL share price summary

When looking from this time last year, the CSL share price has moved in circles, registering nil gains. The same can be said for 2021 year to date, where the company has failed to live up to its traditional expectations.

CSL commands a market capitalisation of $130.62 billion, making it the second-largest company on the ASX.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras owns shares of CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Healthcare Shares

Female pharmacist smiles with a digital tablet.
Healthcare Shares

Are Wesfarmers or Sigma shares a better buy in the pharmacy arena?

These two stocks are both leaders in the industry.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Healthcare Shares

Down 20%, is the NIB share price undervalued?

Here's what Goldman Sachs is saying about this blue chip stock.

Read more »

four excited doctors with their hands in the air
Healthcare Shares

Sigma Healthcare shares rocket 39% on Chemist Warehouse merger approval

The ACCC doesn't believe the company's merger with Chemist Warehouse will lessen competition.

Read more »

Doctor doing a telemedicine using laptop at a medical clinic
Healthcare Shares

ASX 200 healthcare stock rockets on $75 million news

This marks another positive step for the company.

Read more »

Male doctor in a lab coat working at laptop looking serious.
Healthcare Shares

CSL shares are in the red for 2024. Are they a buy?

Meanwhile, the broader market has extended to new highs this year.

Read more »

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.
Share Market News

Guess which ASX 300 stock is jumping 11% on big news

Big news is giving this stock an even bigger lift on Tuesday. What's happening?

Read more »

Two lab workers fist pump each other.
Healthcare Shares

Guess which ASX 200 healthcare stock is starting the week with a bang on big news!

What is getting investors excited today? Let's find out.

Read more »

Doctor doing a telemedicine using laptop at a medical clinic
Healthcare Shares

3 small-cap ASX healthcare shares 'with strong prospects'

Fund manager IML discusses why these 3 ASX healthcare shares are likely to rise in value.

Read more »