Why this broker sees 20% upside in the QBE (ASX:QBE) share price

Is it time to buy this insurance giant's shares?

| More on:
two colleagues high five each other as they sit side by side at a long desk in front of their laptop computers in an office environment.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The QBE Insurance Group Ltd (ASX: QBE) share price has been among the best performers on the ASX 200 this year.

Since the start of 2021, the insurance giant's shares have raced almost 34% higher.

Has the QBE share price peaked?

The good news for anyone that missed out on its gains this year, is that one leading broker still believes the QBE share price can keep climbing.

According to a note out of Morgans, its analysts have an add rating and $13.70 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the current QBE share price of $11.43, this implies potential upside of 20% over the next 12 months.

Another bonus is that Morgans is forecasting a ~65 cents per share dividend in FY 2022. If you add this into the equation, the potential total return increases to over 25%.

Why does Morgans like QBE?

Morgans is bullish on the QBE share price due to its valuation and the company's improving performance.

In respect to the latter, the broker believes QBE's first half result was the best it has delivered in years.

It commented: "QBE Insurance Group's 1H21 NPAT (US$441m) was comfortably ahead of Factset consensus (US$316m), with the 1H21 DPS (A11cps) also above expectations (8cps). Overall, we saw this as a good result, with very strong top-line growth (+20% constant currency), It was QBE's best combined ratio in almost a decade (93.3%), and there was no real negative news."

As for its valuation, the broker believes at under 14x estimated FY 2022 earnings, the QBE share price is great value at present. Particularly given its positive outlook.

Its analysts said: "We see QBE as likely having positive underlying momentum into next year. QBE has been putting through top-line rate increases of around 9%, which should assist margin expansion into FY22. With QBE's balance sheet recently reset, pricing tailwinds evident and the stock relatively inexpensive trading on ~13.5x FY22F PE."

Overall, this could make it worth considering QBE shares this week.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A young woman holds her hand to her mouth in surprise as she reads something on her laptop.
Broker Notes

This beaten down ASX 200 stock could rise 90%

Bell Potter thinks this stock could be dirt cheap after a recent selloff.

Read more »

Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these stocks.

Read more »

A happy young couple lie on a wooden deck using a skateboard for a pillow.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A bland looking man in a brown suit opens his jacket to reveal a red and gold superhero dollar symbol on his chest.
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 20% and 50% in 2025

Analysts are tipping these shares to beat the market this year. Let's see why.

Read more »

a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares.

Read more »

A woman presenting company news to investors looks back at the camera and smiles.
Broker Notes

More of the best ASX stocks to buy in 2025 according to Bell Potter

Let's see why its analysts are so bullish on these stocks this year.

Read more »

A happy male investor turns around on his chair to look at a friend while a laptop runs on his desk showing share price movements
Broker Notes

Goldman Sachs says these ASX 200 shares are buys

Let's see what the broker is saying about these big names.

Read more »

group of friends jump on the beach
Broker Notes

6 ASX All Ords shares lifted to 'strong buy' consensus ratings for the new year

Brokers upgraded these ASX stocks last month.

Read more »