Top broker says Transurban (ASX:TCL) share price is a buy

Here's an option for income investors…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Transurban Group (ASX: TCL) share price has been underperforming the market in 2021.

Since the start of the year, the toll road operator's shares have risen 4.5% to $14.32.

This compares to a gain of 12.5% by the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

Two women in a 4WD vehicle with Carbon Revolution wheels drive along laughing with one throwing her arms in the air

Image source: Getty Images

Is the Transurban share price good value?

One leading broker believes the Transurban share price is good value at the current level.

According to a note out of Macquarie, its analysts have retained their outperform rating but trimmed their price target slightly to $14.66.

However, given that the Transurban share price is currently trading at $14.32, the upside potential is reasonably limited.

Nevertheless, Transurban could be a good option for income investors on the search for dividends that could grow in the coming years.

The note reveals that the broker is forecasting dividends per share of 42.3 cents in FY 2022 and then 64.3 cents in FY 2023.

Based on the current Transurban share price, this equates to yields of 3% and 4.5%, respectively, over the next two financial years.

What did the broker say?

Macquarie has revised its earnings forecasts lower to reflect a lengthier than previously expected lockdown. However, it continues to believe that traffic volumes will bounce back quickly once the reopening takes place.

And while it sees downside risk to dividends per share if the reopening takes even longer and also if the company needs to raise capital for its WestConnex acquisition, it believes it is worth sticking with the company.

This is due to Transurban's pipeline of growth projects and the long term benefits of the aforementioned acquisition.

Macquarie isn't alone with its bullish view on the Transurban share price. Last month Ord Minnett put a buy rating and $15.50 price target on its shares. It remains positive due to the strong demand for infrastructure assets.

It commented: "We believe the market value of Transurban's assets remains well ahead of the implied value."

"We believe this supports the underlying thesis on Transurban and is more important than the short-term impact lockdowns are having on traffic and free cash flow," it added.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy right now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

Woman using a pen on a digital stock market chart in an office.
Broker Notes

Could these ASX stocks double by the end of 2026?

These 5 stocks could be undervalued.

Read more »

An investor wearing a dressing gown and holding a cup of coffee in a yellow mug gives a satisfied smile.
Broker Notes

7 ASX 200 shares just upgraded to strong buy ratings

Looking for inspiration after the March sell-off?

Read more »

A couple sitting in their living room and checking their finances.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: CSL, Magellan, and Woodside shares

Do analysts think these blue-chips are in the buy zone? Let's find out.

Read more »

I young woman takes a bite out of a burrito n the street outside a Mexican fast-food establishment.
Broker Notes

Up 32% this week, are Guzman Y Gomez shares a good buy today?

A leading analyst delivers his outlook for Guzman Y Gomez shares.

Read more »

A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, or sell? Bubs, Soul Patts, and Endeavour shares

Experts have reviewed their ratings on these ASX shares.

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Broker Notes

3 ASX shares tipped to grow 100% or more in the next 12 months

These stocks across three sectors could be deeply undervalued, analysts say.

Read more »

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Broker Notes

3 reasons to buy Capstone Copper shares today

A leading analyst expects more outperformance from Capstone Copper’s surging shares. But why?

Read more »