Top broker says A2 Milk (ASX:A2M) share price is a buy

One leading broker believes this embattled infant formula company's shares could be in the buy zone…

| More on:
A white and black clock face is shown with three hands saying Time to Buy reflecting Citi's view that it's time to buy ASX 200 banks

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) share price continued its slide on Friday.

The fresh milk and infant formula company's shares ended the day down 1% to $5.73.

This means A2 Milk shares are now down 51% since the start of the year.

Is the A2 Milk share price a bargain buy?

While opinion is admittedly very divided on where the A2 Milk share price is going next, one top broker expects it to rebound higher.

According to a recent note out of Bell Potter, its analysts have retained their buy rating but trimmed their price target on the company's shares to $7.70.

Based on the latest A2 Milk share price, this implies potential upside of 34% over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

While Bell Potter has reduced its earnings estimates materially, it still believes the A2 Milk share price offers value for money. Particularly given the good work the company has done rebalancing its inventory after a disastrous FY 2021.

Commenting on its inventory, the broker said: "We think the market is underestimating the impact that inventory swaps and sales pullbacks [had] on FY21 and while this is unlikely to be recovered in FY22e, it gives a glimpse of the relative FY21 under earn relative to baseline. As YOY comparisons become softer in 2H22e and with inventory positions reduced we would anticipate a resumption of top line growth to ensue."

"Our Buy rating remains unchanged. Sell-in rates materially lagged sell-out rates in 2H21, implying steps to reduce channel inventories have been effective. As revenues more closely align to point of sale trends we would expect top line growth to return, which could well be complemented by internalising supply chain costs in FY23-25e," it added.

Overall, while the last 12 months have been bitterly disappointing for the A2 Milk shareholders, Bell Potter appears cautiously optimistic that it will be a different story over the next 12 months.

Should you invest $1,000 in Brickworks Limited right now?

Before you buy Brickworks Limited shares, consider this:

Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Brickworks Limited wasn't one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 30 April 2025

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended A2 Milk. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Woman checking out new iPads.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Macquarie reveals top ASX stock picks in the consumer sectors

The top broker has revealed its favourite shares in the consumer discretionary and consumer staples sectors.

Read more »

Image from either construction, mining or the oil industry of a friendly worker.
Resources Shares

Broker names 10 ASX mining stocks set to outperform following Macquarie Conference

Twenty-two ASX mining companies presented at the annual Macquarie Conference last week.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Broker Notes

Are Super Retail Group shares a buy, hold, or sell according to Macquarie?

Let's see what the broker is saying about this popular retail stock.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Broker Notes

What does Macquarie think Steadfast shares are worth?

Could big returns be on offer from this blue chip? Let's find out.

Read more »

Broker looking at the share price.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

A man in a blue collared shirt sits at his desk doing a single fist pump as he watches the Appen share price rise on his laptop
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 stocks could rise 30% to 40%

Analysts are tipping these shares to go to the moon. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Man pointing at a blue rising share price graph.
Technology Shares

Up 30% in a month, this ASX 200 tech share is 'a compelling opportunity': expert

Analysts from listed investment company WAM Capital say this ASX 200 tech stock is worth watching.

Read more »