The Santos (ASX:STO) share price is down 6% this month. What's next?

Can the company's shares rebound?

| More on:
sad looking petroleum worker standing next to oil drill

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) share price has been an underperformer compared to the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO). The energy producers' shares are down 6% this month alone versus the ASX 200 which is up almost 2%.

And today is no different, with the company's shares further sliding, down 1.15% to $6.04

What is going on with Santos shares?

It seems the Santos share price can't catch a break after the company reported its half-year results on 17 August.

Santos reported revenue of US$2.04 billion, up 22% over the prior corresponding period (US$1.17 billion). The strong performance was driven by record production of 47.3 mmboe (million barrels of oil equivalent) and record sales volumes of 53.8 mmboe.

This came despite lower average LNG (liquified natural gas) prices due to the company fulfilling long-term offtake contracts.

Overall, Santos' bottom line came to a net profit after tax of $354 million. A massive swing of $643 million compared to a net loss after tax of $289 million achieved in H1 FY20. Santos attributed the turnaround to the lower after-tax impairment loss of $6 million, compared to the $526 million recorded in FY20.

However, while its FY21 results were solid, the company has recently been hit by damming allegations.

Just last week, media reports surfaced that Santos is being taken to the Federal Court over misleading and deceptive statements.

The Australasian Centre for Corporate Responsibility (ACCR) says that Santos is claiming to be a clean energy producer. In addition, the activist group disputed the fact that Santos has a pathway to achieve net zero emissions by 2040.

This carries weight given Santos seeks to expand production capacity at its Barossa gas/LNG project and Dorado oil field development. The ACCR argues it's near impossible to not produce more emissions when expanding operations.

Santos is yet to formally respond to the accusations by the ACCR. It did say however it would not be appropriate to comment on matters before the court.

So, what's the outlook for the FY21 full year for Santos?

Court cases aside, Santos is maintaining its sales volume guidance of between 100 mmboe to 105 mmboe.

Production guidance on the other hand is forecasted to be in the range of 87 mmboe to 91 mmboe. The lower second-half production volumes are due to the 25% sell-down in Bayu-Undan and DLNG which was completed in April.

Furthermore, the Santos and Oil Search Ltd (ASX: OSH) merger process is currently underway. Exclusive mutual due diligence is being conducted with a binding merger implementation deed targeted for September, and scheme vote by November.

Santos share price summary

It's been a disappointing year for Santos shareholders, with the company's share price down 4% this year. When factoring in the last 12 months, Santos shares are up around 6%, representing mediocre gains.

Based on valuation grounds, Santos commands a market capitalisation of roughly $12.5 billion, with approximately 2 billion shares on issue.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Energy Shares

Cropped shot of a mature businessman brainstorming and setting financial goals with notes on a glass wall.
Energy Shares

Is it time to sell this ASX 200 uranium share amid 'ongoing challenges'?

The ASX 200 uranium producer’s latest production update is a red flag for this fundie.

Read more »

A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate
Energy Shares

Guess which ASX uranium stock just scored a buy rating from a leading broker

Bell Potter has good things to say about this uranium developer and its high-grade project.

Read more »

An oil worker in front of a pumpjack using a tablet PC.
Energy Shares

Are Woodside shares the number one pick in the energy sector?

One leading broker thinks that the energy giant is the best option for investors right now.

Read more »

A young woman carefully adds a rock to the top of a pile of balanced river rocks.
Share Market News

Here's how the ASX 200 market sectors stacked up last week

Energy and utilities stocks led the way last week with 4%-plus gains.

Read more »

A male oil and gas mechanic wearing a white hardhat walks along a steel platform above a series of gas pipes in a gas plant
Dividend Investing

Should I buy Santos shares for dividend income?

Santos shares have been steadily upping their dividends since 2020.

Read more »

Focused man entrepreneur with glasses working, looking at laptop screen thinking about something intently while sitting in the office.
Energy Shares

Are Santos shares a screaming buy?

Goldman Sachs thinks now could be a good time to buy this energy stock.

Read more »

A young woman lifts her red glasses with one hand as she takes a closer look at news about interest rates rising and one expert's surprising recommendation as to which ASX shares to buy
Energy Shares

What is getting investors excited about this ASX 200 uranium stock today?

There's a good reason why this share is charging higher on Wednesday.

Read more »

Businessman studying a high technology holographic stock market chart.
Energy Shares

Is this stock the 'best placed' of the ASX uranium shares?

This fund manager thinks so.

Read more »