The Fortescue (ASX:FMG) share price fell 11.5% last time the company reported

Could history repeat itself?

| More on:
white arrow dropping down representing the 10 most shorted shares on the ASX

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price has collapsed around 15% since the beginning of the year. This comes as the fourth largest iron ore miner has experienced a declining spot price of the steel making ingredient.

At Friday's market close, Fortescue shares finished the day flat at $20. It's worth noting that its shares have fallen off a cliff after hitting a record high of $26.58 in late July.

What happened to Fortescue shares last earnings season?

During the time when Fortescue reported its half-year results for FY21, its shares plummeted 11.5% within two weeks.

Initially, investors were excited about the company's performance, as it highlighted a 44% increase in revenue and a strong dividend payout. Furthermore, shipments, earnings and operating cash flow surpassed any half year in Fortescue's history.

Fortescue CEO, Elizabeth Gaines commented:

Fortescue's performance for the first half of FY21 has been outstanding, and we are very proud of the whole team who have delivered our best half year operating and financial results since the Company was established.

However, this was quickly forgotten as attention turned to Chinese tariffs and restrictions on Australian goods. Investors appeared to be concerned that China may focus on the country's largest export market, and were rightly so. In response, the spot price of iron ore tanked, shedding 6.1% of its value to US$163.60 a tonne.

Only late in March, the Fortescue share price rebounded, following a strong uplift in the steel making ingredient spot price.

Is the Fotrescue share price a buy?

A recent broker note released by Bell Potter cut its outlook on Fortescue shares by 8.4% to $22.03. Goldman Sachs also reduced its rating by 2.9% to a more bearish $19.90.

Based on today's closing Fortescue share price, this is in line with the Goldman Sachs broker estimate.

Fortescue commands a market capitalisation of roughly $61.5 billion, with more than 3 billion shares on its books.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Resources Shares

A man with a wide, eager smile on his face holds up three fingers.
Resources Shares

3 reasons to buy this surging ASX All Ords mining stock today

A leading broker expects this Aussie mining share could surge 26% and begin paying dividends.

Read more »

A smiling woman holds up an apple with a laptop open on her desk.
Resources Shares

Rare earths shares charge as Apple weighs in

Tech giant commits to $500 million deal with MP Materials.

Read more »

Three miners wearing hard hats and high vis vests take a break on site at a mine as the Fortescue share price drops in FY22
Resources Shares

Why Infratil, Iluka Resources, Lynas Rare Earths shares are jumping higher today

These three ASX 200 shares are gaining ground today.

Read more »

Ecstatic woman looking at her phone outside with her fist pumped.
Resources Shares

Guess which ASX mining share is jumping 10% on big news

This miner is having a good session on Wednesday. What's going on?

Read more »

A young woman sits with her hand to her chin staring off to the side thinking about her investments.
Resources Shares

Should I switch my ASX 200 banking stocks for ASX 200 miners before earnings season?

The ASX 200 Index is dominated by Australia's bank and materials/mining sectors, which together account for around half of the…

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Does Wilson Asset Management prefer Rio Tinto or BHP shares?

Which miner is in favour?

Read more »

Two smiling men in high visibility vests and yellow hardhats stand side by side with a large mound of earth and mining equipment behind them smiling as the Carnaby Resources share price rises today
Resources Shares

Macquarie tips this ASX 200 resources stock to soar nearly 40%

Big returns could be on offer here according to the broker.

Read more »

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Resources Shares

Bell Potter says this ASX 200 mining stock can rise ~30%

Let's see why this miner could be destined to deliver big returns over the next 12 months.

Read more »