How did the Coles (ASX:COL) share price respond last earnings season?

Coles reports its FY21 earnings tomorrow….

| More on:
a woman ponders products on a supermarket shelf while holding a tin in one hand and holding her chin with the other.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price has had a fairly wild day of trading already this Tuesday, even though it's only lunchtime.

At the time of writing, Coles shares are going for $18.34, down 0.86%. However, soon after open today, Coles shares were up to $18.60 at one point. It seems investors are having some difficulties working out what to do with Coles today.

And perhaps fair enough. This supermarket giant reports its full-year earnings for FY2021 tomorrow morning so I'm sure the anticipation is giving some investors itchy fingers today.

So with Coles' earnings just around the corner, it's probably a good time to check out how the Coles share price reacted to its last earnings report that it delivered back in February of this year.

At that time, Coles reported its half-year update on 17 February and it caused quite a stir at the time. Here's a summary of what Coles reported back then:

  • 8% increase in revenues to $20.57 billion
  • Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) rising 12.1% to $1.02 billion
  • Net profits up 14.5% to $560 million.
  • Rise in interim dividend of 10% to 33 cents per share.

Despite the fact that the numbers above point to a successful half-year for Coles, investors didn't share that view. As we reported at the time, the Coles share price was actually hammered after these results were released, falling 6% by mid-afternoon.

By the next day, the Coles share price had lost more than 10%. 10 days later, it was down 15% from where it was pre-earnings.

So what didn't investors like in this earning report?

What happened to the Coles share price?

Well, it seems a statement from management about the company's future sales really spooked investors 6 months ago. Here's what Coles management said at the time:

Depending on COVID-19, vaccine roll out and efficacy, and other factors, sales in the supermarket sector may moderate significantly or even decline in the second half of FY21 and into FY22. Coles will be cycling elevated sales from COVID-19 in Supermarkets late in the third quarter, for the remainder of the second half, and most of FY22.

That didn't exactly fill investors with confidence and the Coles share price remained under pressure for some time after this earnings report went public. In fact, the Coles share price didn't recover to its early February levels until around a week ago.

So Coles shareholders will no doubt be hoping for a different reaction from the markets when the company delivers its full-year results tomorrow. It will certainly be interesting to see how management sees the current trading environment for Coles in light of the recent country-wide lockdowns.

At the current Coles share price of $18.34, the company has a market capitalisation of $24.4 billion, a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.3 and a trailing dividend yield of 3.3%, fully franked.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended COLESGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A gambler at a casino bets a pile of chips on one number
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Own Star Entertainment shares? 12 things to weigh up before voting on takeover

Let's take a look.

Read more »

A car dealer stands amid a selection of cars parked in a showroom.
Broker Notes

Up 77% in a year, guess how much more upside Macquarie tips for Eagers Automotive shares

Macquarie released its latest analysis on Eagers Automotive fast rising shares this morning.

Read more »

A farmer looks backwards towards his crops.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Elders shares result: The good, the not so good and the interesting, according to Macquarie

It was a mixed half for the agribusiness company. Here's Macquarie's take.

Read more »

Young man sitting at a table in front of a row of pokie machines staring intently at a laptop. looking at the Crown Resorts share price
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Takeover terms found unfair to Star Entertainment shares investors but the 'only lifeline' left

Star has released the independent expert's report into the Bally's takeover deal and set a date for the vote.

Read more »

A warehouse worker is standing next to a shelf and using a digital tablet.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Wesfarmers share price dips amid strategy day for investors

What's ahead for this diversified conglomerate?

Read more »

A man looks a little perplexed as he holds his hand to his head as if thinking about something as he stands in the aisle of a supermarket.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Should I buy Woolworths shares today?

Woolworths shares have gained far less than Coles shares over the past year. Is that about to change?

Read more »

A woman sits at her home computer with baby on her lap, and the winning ticket in her hand.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Which 'enduring high-quality business' has become a forgotten ASX 200 stock?

Fundie says this ASX 200 consumer discretionary stock has been flying under investors' radar.

Read more »

A young man sitting at an outside table uses a card to pay for his online shopping.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why is the Kogan share price crashing 12%?

Profits are down at this ecommerce company during the second half.

Read more »