The Kogan (ASX:KGN) share price was a lockdown winner, so what's going on now?

Investors are treating the Kogan share price quite differently in lockdowns this year, compared to company's boom-time days of 2020.

| More on:
asx share price falling lower represented by investor wearing paper bag on head with sad face

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price was one of only a few winners amid the first COVID-19 lockdowns. But now, while half of Australia is locked inside the home perimeters, it's flopping.

The online retailer's shares have fallen 15.9% over the last month, despite people in Sydney, Victoria, and South Australia locking down to avoid the Delta strain. Right now, Kogan shares have closed at $10.79, down another 1.9% today.

Let's take a look at how the Kogan share price moved last time Australia faced large numbers of COVID-19 cases.

Flashback to 2020

Last year, Kogan was spruiked as one of only a few ASX shares to benefit from the global pandemic.

The Kogan share price gained 279% between 20 March 2020 and 10 July 2020 – going from $4.56 to a whopping $17.29. And it didn't stop there.

The online retailer's shares reached their highest point ever in late 2020, when they hit $25.57 during intraday trade.

The gains were driven by record sales in March 2020 as many Australians worked, studied, socialised, and, of course, shopped online.

Kogan sales broke more records in April 2020 and it received 126,000 new active customers in May.

The multitude of positive news sent the Kogan share price soaring in 2020, but the same can't be said for 2021.

What's up with the Kogan share price now?

The Kogan share price is failing to gain the same traction it enjoyed during lockdowns in 2020.

This was highlighted last Wednesday, when Kogan released a business update.

Much of the update was positive, with Kogan reported earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) of $61.1 million for the 2021 financial year.

However, that figure is just 23.1% higher than Kogan's EBITDA of the 2020 financial year. While it's still a gain, it suggests Kogan's growth is slowing.

Additionally, the company's inventory issues dug into its profits during the second half of the financial year. Thankfully, the issues have now been solved

Finally, as the Australian Financial Review reported, Kogan is the ASX's fourth most shorted stock. According to the publication, "most of the reasons investors are shorting were reinforced by Wednesday's update".

Kogan share price snapshot

All eyes were on the Kogan share price during 2020 but it now appears the market has lost interest.

Right now, the company's shares are 44% lower than they were at the start of 2021. They have also fallen 36% since this time last year.

The company has a market capitalisation of around $1.1 billion, with approximately 106 million shares outstanding.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A person in the dark background of a casino gambling room places his hands either side of a large pile of casino chips.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

How will the latest news from Star Entertainment affect your ASX shares?

The casino operator's biggest shareholder will subscribe for a third of Bally's $300 million takeover offer.

Read more »

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why Macquarie forecasts a 92% upside for this beaten down ASX 200 stock

Macquarie expects a BIG turnaround for this ASX 200 stock in the months ahead.

Read more »

A photo of a young couple who are purchasing fruits and vegetables at a market shop.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Should I buy Coles shares today amid the Trump tariff market tantrum?

Coles shares have smashed the benchmark returns over the past year. Can this continue?

Read more »

A gambler at a casino bets a pile of chips on one number
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Own Star Entertainment shares? Here are the takeover details and when you'll get to vote

Star Entertainment has released details of the takeover deal with US casino giant Bally's.

Read more »

A happy investor sits at his desk in front of his laptop and does the mexican wave with his arms to celebrate the returns from his ASX dividend shares
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Guzman Y Gomez shares storm higher on very big news

Some big news has been released by this fast food company today.

Read more »

tick, approval, business person with device and tick of approval in background
Opinions

The Warren Buffett seal of approval: If the stock market closed for 10 years, I'd happily own this quality ASX 200 stock

I’d be happy to hold this ASX 200 stock for 10-plus years, in line with Warren Buffett’s advice.

Read more »

businesswoman holds hand out to shake
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Star Casino accepts $250 million takeover from new US owner

What does this mean for the casino operator?

Read more »

A man in a supermarket strikes an unlikely pose while pushing a trolley, lifting both legs sideways off the ground and looking mildly rattled with a wide-mouthed expression.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Supermarket resilience: why were Coles and Woolworths shares up last week?

Not even a market selloff could stop these shares from charging higher.

Read more »