What this leading broker thinks about Afterpay (ASX:APT) and Zip (ASX:Z1P) shares in July

The Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P) share price was out of form on Monday. The buy now pay later (BNPL) …

| More on:
young woman reviewing financial reports at desk with multiple computer screens

Image Source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P) share price was out of form on Monday.

The buy now pay later (BNPL) provider's shares dropped 1% to $8.23.

Why did the Zip share price drop?

The weakness in the Zip share price on Monday appears to have been driven by the release of a mixed broker note out of Citi.

Although the broker has retained its buy rating on the company's shares, it has cut its price target down by 6% to $10.25. It made the move to reflect a weaker than expected performance in June.

Nevertheless, based on the current Zip share price, this downgraded price target still implies potential upside of almost 25% over the next 12 months.

What did Citi say?

According to the note, the broker's industry research shows that most BNPL players achieved improvements in website visits and app downloads in June.

However, it estimates that Zip's key QuadPay business had a relatively subdued month, with website visits falling 4% month on month and app downloads increasing by a modest 3%. Citi expects this to lead to new customer additions of 600,000 during the fourth quarter.

In addition to this, the broker is expecting Zip's costs to increase and has lowered its cash earnings estimates notably to reflect this.

What about Afterpay?

Citi still prefers Zip over Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT).

The note reveals that the broker has retained its neutral rating and trimmed its price target on Afterpay's shares to $125.00.

While Afterpay had a comparatively stronger month in June, with app downloads increasing 12%, Citi has warned that this may not be from new users.

The broker suspects that a good number of these downloads could be from existing customers that have been encouraged to download the app via in-app promotions. As a result, the broker has lowered its US active customer forecast to 10.5 million at the end of FY 2021.

So with the Afterpay share price trading at $118.64, it hasn't seen enough to warrant a change to its neutral rating at this point.

Should you invest $1,000 in Bhp Group right now?

Before you buy Bhp Group shares, consider this:

Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Bhp Group wasn't one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 30 April 2025

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended AFTERPAY T FPO and ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Man pointing at a blue rising share price graph.
Technology Shares

Up 30% in a month, this ASX 200 tech share is 'a compelling opportunity': expert

Analysts from listed investment company WAM Capital say this ASX 200 tech stock is worth watching.

Read more »

An executive in a suit smooths his hair and laughs as he looks at his laptop feeling surprised and delighted.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

View of a mine site.
Broker Notes

How much upside does Macquarie tip for Deterra Royalties shares?

Deterra Royalties offers ASX investors a different way to invest in global mining.

Read more »

Woman with $50 notes in her hand thinking, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Broker reveals outlook for ASX dividend shares amid volatile market

Peter Gardner from Plato Investment Management tells ASX investors where to look for dividend income this year.

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face. as he raises his hands up to his face in response to the high fluctuations in the Galileo share price today
Broker Notes

Leading broker puts buy rating on Zip shares

Big returns could be on offer for investors according to its analysts.

Read more »

gaming asx share price rise represented by slot machine paying jackpot
Broker Notes

What does Macquarie expect from Aristocrat Leisure shares when it reports on 14 May?

Here's what the broker is expecting from this gaming technology company next week.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Goldman Sachs says these ASX 200 stocks are strong buys

The broker is feeling very bullish about these stocks. But why?

Read more »