This surprising ASX tech share refuses to dive: analyst

One software stock has been resilient in the face of an industry-wide sell-off this year. And it still looks good, says this fund manager.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Technology shares have taken a pummelling in recent months, but some have weathered the storm better than others.

Growth stocks that rely on low interest rates for high valuations have been punished by the market over the past 6 months. Investors have been shifting to value shares that are more likely to be resilient to rising inflation.

Wilson Asset Management portfolio manager Oscar Oberg said this year had been a time of reckoning for high-flying ASX tech shares.

"We've really been able to differentiate the winners and losers in the technology sector," he told a Wilson video.

"For a number of years, if you were a company that had 'pay' at the end of your name, you seem to get a huge re-rating, and you trade at 20 times sales. It does feel like those days are coming to an end." 

Some of those deflated tech stocks include Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT), which has fallen almost 40% from its 53-week highs; and Appen Ltd (ASX: APX), which is down nearly 70% from highs.

But not every high-flying tech stock has been absolutely hammered.

Cloud upload icon on smartphone screen representing digital investment and online trading solutions.

Digital cloud upload symbol illustrating modern online investing via Fool Australia platform.

Why has Xero been so resilient?

One business that surprised Oberg with its resilience during the tech sell-off is cloud accounting software provider Xero Limited (ASX: XRO).

Its shares closed Tuesday at $132.01, not ridiculously far from $148.46 at the start of the year. The current price is also only 16% below the 53-week high of $157.99.

Oberg credited multiple factors in the New Zealand business for its success in retaining its valuation.

"It's got such a high level of recurring revenues, it's a SaaS [software-as-a-service]-based business, and it has very low levels of churn."

Looking ahead, Oberg viewed Xero's future favourably.

"Really confident around their market share growth they can get in the United Kingdom, Australia and the US over time."

Oberg isn't the only one who likes Xero for those reasons. On Tuesday, brokers at Goldman Sachs had a buy rating with a price target of $153, with a forecast that the Kiwi monster has potential for decades of strong revenue growth.

"Xero is still only scratching at the surface of its overall market opportunity," The Motley Fool's James Mickleboro reported.

"In FY 2021, the company reported an 18% increase in revenue to NZ$848.8 million, which was driven by a 20% increase in subscribers to 2.74 million. This compares to the cloud accounting subscriber total addressable market of 45 million."

Xero is one of the largest technology companies listed on the ASX. It started life on the NZX and was dual-listed until 2018.

Tony Yoo owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO, Appen Ltd, and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended AFTERPAY T FPO, Appen Ltd, and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended AFTERPAY T FPO, Appen Ltd, and Xero. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Technology Shares

A female soldier flies a drone using hand-held controls.
Technology Shares

Elsight shares climb on rising defence demand. Can the rally continue?

Elsight shares are charging higher after the company expanded its leadership team.

Read more »

Young woman thinking with laptop open.
Dividend Investing

Are Telstra shares a buy for their 'dependable dividends'

A leading investment expert offers his outlook for Telstra shares.

Read more »

Happy man and woman looking at the share price on a tablet.
Technology Shares

3 excellent Australian tech stocks to buy before they rebound

Analysts have put buy ratings on these fallen stars.

Read more »

A young male investor wearing a white business shirt screams in frustration with his hands grasping his hair after ASX 200 shares fell rapidly today and appear to be heading into a stock market crash
Technology Shares

Life360 shares crashed 18% this week: Is this a once-in-a-lifetime buying opportunity?

The stock is now 63% below its all-time high in October last year.

Read more »

A mother and her young son are lying on the floor of their lounge sharing a tech device.
Technology Shares

Why Life360 shares could rise 100%

Big returns could be on offer with this stock according to Bell Potter.

Read more »

Server Room Interior
Technology Shares

Dicker Data shares fall to a 7-month low. Is this a bargain buy?

The Dicker Data share price is now at its lowest level since August 2025. Time to buy?

Read more »

A silhouette of a soldier flying a drone at sunset.
AI Stocks

$10,000 invested in DroneShield shares 12 months ago is now worth…

Defence shares are firmly in the spotlight.

Read more »

A business person directs a pointed finger upwards on a rising arrow on a bar graph.
Growth Shares

3 ASX 200 shares tipped to climb 130% (or more) in the next 12 months

Analysts are bullish about the outlook for these shares.

Read more »