Are there buying opportunities among ASX COVID fallen stars?

ASX shares that were favourite buys well during the COVID-19 crash have suffered a reversal of fortunes. The question is whether these fallen angels now represent value.

| More on:
asx shares COVID buy sectors hit by covid represented by man being pinned to ground by covid fist

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ASX shares that were favourite buys well during the COVID-19 crash have suffered a reversal of fortunes.

The question is whether these fallen angels now represent value.

The irony shouldn't be lost on investors as these ASX shares have been the antithesis of value given their lofty valuations.

Best ASX COVID winners turn losers

Some obvious examples of high flying COVID winners that have dropped out of favour recently include tech darlings like the Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) share price and Altium Limited (ASX: ALU) share price.

You can also add in ASX retailers that have been able to make the most of the pandemic lockdown. These are the Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price, Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price and Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ASX: ABY) share price.

There's heated debate on whether the recent downfall in these ASX shares represent a buying opportunity. But UBS is convinced that at least one of them is a "buy" now.

Swan turns into ugly duckling

This is online beauty products retailer Adore Beauty. The Adore Beauty share price tumbled to its lowest point since its October 2020 IPO on Friday when it closed at $3.68.

Investors got spooked by its latest trading update even though management expected FY21 sales growth of 43% to 47%. This translates to $173 million to $178 million.

But this isn't enough to keep investors onside. UBS acknowledged that the updated guidance implied a 2HFY21 sales figure of between $77 million and $82 million.

That's 3% to 9% below UBS' estimates and between 11% and 16% under consensus forecasts.

Why you should buy this former ASX COVID winner

ASX shares trading on sky-high valuations have no room to disappoint. This is especially so in the current environment when investors are increasingly starting to question if equities have overshot their fundamentals.

UBS does not share these concerns regarding the Adore Beauty share price. If anything, it believes the sell-off is overdone.

"While the slowdown in momentum was more than expected, our medium-term thesis has not changed, with the stock offering an attractive entry point," said UBS.

"It has an opportunity to ride structural tailwinds (online beauty market growing ~26% pa), lift brand awareness and benefit from maturing customer cohorts."

Adore Beauty share price looking attractive

The broker pointed out that the Adore Beauty share price is trading around 45% below its IPO price. It is also cheaper than the Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX: TPW) share price on an enterprise value/sales to growth ratio.

UBS reiterated its "buy" rating on the Adore Beauty share price with a 12-month price target of $5.60 a share.

Brendon Lau has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Kogan.com ltd and Temple & Webster Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. recommends Adore Beauty Group Limited and Altium. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO, Altium, and COLESGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Kogan.com ltd and Temple & Webster Group Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Cheap Shares

A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.
Cheap Shares

Here are 2 cheap ASX 100 stocks to consider buying in July

These shares are unloved by the market right now...

Read more »

Smiling couple looking at a phone at a bargain opportunity.
Cheap Shares

I think these 2 cheap ASX shares are buys for value investors in July

Here’s why these stocks look like bargains to me…

Read more »

Cheerful boyfriend showing mobile phone to girlfriend in dining room. They are spending leisure time together at home and planning their financial future.
Cheap Shares

This ASX dividend share could be the biggest bargain you can buy

This business is both really cheap and offers big dividends.

Read more »

An Australian farmer wearing a beaten-up akubra hat and work shirt leans on a fence with livestock in the background and a blue sky above.
Cheap Shares

1 stellar Australian stock down 43% from all-time high to buy and hold forever

There are plenty of reasons to like this Australian stock.

Read more »

A woman is excited as she reads the latest rumour on her phone.
Cheap Shares

3 popular ASX stocks that look dirt cheap right now

Let's see which shares analysts think are being undervalued by the market.

Read more »

Two excited woman pointing out a bargain opportunity on a laptop.
Cheap Shares

I think these 2 cheap ASX shares are buys for value investors

I think these stocks are too cheap to ignore.

Read more »

A man looks surprised as a woman whispers in his ear.
Cheap Shares

Recent dip buyers won big: 3 ASX shares that could repeat the feat

Analysts think these cheap shares could bounce back strongly.

Read more »

A man pulls a shocked expression with mouth wide open as he holds up his laptop.
Cheap Shares

2 ASX shares the market may be undervaluing right now

Bell Potter has good things to say about these cheap stocks.

Read more »