Are there buying opportunities among ASX COVID fallen stars?

ASX shares that were favourite buys well during the COVID-19 crash have suffered a reversal of fortunes. The question is whether these fallen angels now represent value.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ASX shares that were favourite buys well during the COVID-19 crash have suffered a reversal of fortunes.

The question is whether these fallen angels now represent value.

The irony shouldn't be lost on investors as these ASX shares have been the antithesis of value given their lofty valuations.

asx shares COVID buy sectors hit by covid represented by man being pinned to ground by covid fist

Image source: Getty Images

Best ASX COVID winners turn losers

Some obvious examples of high flying COVID winners that have dropped out of favour recently include tech darlings like the Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) share price and Altium Limited (ASX: ALU) share price.

You can also add in ASX retailers that have been able to make the most of the pandemic lockdown. These are the Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price, Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price and Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ASX: ABY) share price.

There's heated debate on whether the recent downfall in these ASX shares represent a buying opportunity. But UBS is convinced that at least one of them is a "buy" now.

Swan turns into ugly duckling

This is online beauty products retailer Adore Beauty. The Adore Beauty share price tumbled to its lowest point since its October 2020 IPO on Friday when it closed at $3.68.

Investors got spooked by its latest trading update even though management expected FY21 sales growth of 43% to 47%. This translates to $173 million to $178 million.

But this isn't enough to keep investors onside. UBS acknowledged that the updated guidance implied a 2HFY21 sales figure of between $77 million and $82 million.

That's 3% to 9% below UBS' estimates and between 11% and 16% under consensus forecasts.

Why you should buy this former ASX COVID winner

ASX shares trading on sky-high valuations have no room to disappoint. This is especially so in the current environment when investors are increasingly starting to question if equities have overshot their fundamentals.

UBS does not share these concerns regarding the Adore Beauty share price. If anything, it believes the sell-off is overdone.

"While the slowdown in momentum was more than expected, our medium-term thesis has not changed, with the stock offering an attractive entry point," said UBS.

"It has an opportunity to ride structural tailwinds (online beauty market growing ~26% pa), lift brand awareness and benefit from maturing customer cohorts."

Adore Beauty share price looking attractive

The broker pointed out that the Adore Beauty share price is trading around 45% below its IPO price. It is also cheaper than the Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX: TPW) share price on an enterprise value/sales to growth ratio.

UBS reiterated its "buy" rating on the Adore Beauty share price with a 12-month price target of $5.60 a share.

Brendon Lau has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Kogan.com ltd and Temple & Webster Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. recommends Adore Beauty Group Limited and Altium. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO, Altium, and COLESGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Kogan.com ltd and Temple & Webster Group Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Cheap Shares

A cool young man walking in a laneway holding a takeaway coffee in one hand and his phone in the other reacts with surprise as he reads the latest news on his mobile phone
Cheap Shares

Are '50% off' CSL shares a once-in-a-decade opportunity?

This biotech giant's shares have lost half of their value. Let's see if now is the time to snap them…

Read more »

A young man talks tech on his phone while looking at a laptop with a financial graph superimposed across the image.
Cheap Shares

3 ASX shares to buy before the next market rally

These shares appear well-placed to rebound with the market when sentiment shifts.

Read more »

Three women athletes lie flat on a running track as though they have had a long hard race where they have fought hard but lost the event.
Cheap Shares

3 ASX shares down 25% (or more) to buy right now

Today’s sell-off could be a big buying opportunity if sentiment flips.

Read more »

An older man wearing glasses and a pink shirt sits back on his lounge with his hands behind his head and blowing air out of his cheeks.
Cheap Shares

3 ASX 200 shares down at least 30% to buy now

These ASX shares have fallen sharply, but their long-term outlook may still be intact.

Read more »

Person handing out $100 notes, symbolising ex-dividend date.
Dividend Investing

This is the ASX 300 share offering a 9% dividend yield!

There’s a lot to like about this business for dividends and growth.

Read more »

Young businesswoman sitting in kitchen and working on laptop.
Cheap Shares

Why I'd buy dirt-cheap ASX shares now and aim to hold them for a decade

Many ASX shares have fallen sharply. Here’s how I’m thinking about the opportunity.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Cheap Shares

5 oversold ASX 200 shares to buy according to Wilsons

The broker thinks now is the time to pounce on these shares.

Read more »

A head shot of legendary investor Warren Buffett speaking into a microphone at an event.
Cheap Shares

I'm listening to Warren Buffett and loading up on cheap ASX shares

With several ASX shares trading well below recent highs, this could be one of those moments where long-term investors start…

Read more »