Why the Harvey Norman (ASX:HVN) share price just hit a decade-high

The Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX:HVN) share price has just stormed to a record high. Is it too late to invest?

| More on:
jump in asx share price represented by man jumping in the air in celebration

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Australian share market may be dropping lower today but that hasn't stopped the Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN) share price from continuing its ascent.

In afternoon trade the retail giant's shares are up 1% to a decade-high of $5.68.

This latest gain means the Harvey Norman share price is now up almost 19% since the start of 2021.

Why is the Harvey Norman share price at a decade-high?

Investors have been fighting to get hold of the company's shares in recent months due to a very strong sales update in November and recent positive updates from its rivals. This has sparked hopes of a blockbuster half year result later this month.

In respect to its November update, the retailer revealed aggregated sales revenue growth of 28.2% between 1 July and 21 November compared to the prior corresponding period.

Management advised that this was driven by strong same store sales growth across almost all regions and particularly in the ANZ market.

Australian franchisees delivered a 30.4% increase in comparable store sales, whereas its New Zealand stores reported a 20.4% lift in comparable store sales. This includes stores that were temporarily closed due to COVID-19.

Pleasingly, thanks to margin expansion, Harvey Norman's unaudited profit before tax grew 160.1% between 1 July and 31 October.

What is expected for the first half?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts are expecting Harvey Norman to deliver sales of $2,294.8 million and earnings before interest and tax of $634.7 million.

This represents a 26.2% and 105.8% increase, respectively, compared to the first half of FY 2020.

On the bottom line, Goldman expects its net profit after tax to increase 117.8% to $432.1 million. This is forecast to lead to an interim dividend of 20 cents per share, up 233.3% year on year.

Is it too late to buy Harvey Norman shares?

Goldman Sachs currently has a buy rating on the company's shares.

However, it is worth noting that the recent rise in the Harvey Norman share price means it is now trading well ahead of the broker's price target of $4.90.

One broker that still sees upside for the company's shares is Macquarie. Last week it put an outperform rating and $6.00 price target on Harvey Norman shares.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on 52-Week Highs

Man raising both his arms in the air with a piggy bank on his lap, symbolising a record high.
52-Week Highs

12 non-bank ASX 200 shares smashing new 52-week highs today

Do you own any of these stocks at 52-week highs today?

Read more »

A cloud with a blue arrow pointing upwards through its middle symbolising a rising asx share price
52-Week Highs

7 ASX 200 shares smashing new highs on Tuesday

Here's why these companies are hitting new 52-week highs on Tuesday.

Read more »

Hands reaching high for a trophy with a sunset in the background.
52-Week Highs

6 ASX 200 shares smashing new highs while the market dives today

Do you own any of these lucky ASX 200 stocks?

Read more »

A woman wearing a top of gold coins and large gold hoop earrings and a heavy gold bracelet stands amid a shower of gold coins with her mouth open wide and an excited look on her face.
Gold

14 ASX gold stocks unearthing fresh 52-week highs today

Do you own any of these hot gold miners?

Read more »

An older female ASX investor holds a gangster-style fist pump pose showing off gold rings with dollar signs on them.
52-Week Highs

These 16 ASX 200 shares are hitting new 52-week highs today even as the market sinks

Do you own any of these lucky stocks?

Read more »

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Gold

Why this $9.6 billion ASX 200 gold stock is smashing the market today

This gold miner has hit a 52-week high on Wednesday. What's going on?

Read more »

Excited group of friends sitting on sofa watching sports on TV and celebrating.
ETFs

4 ASX ETFs that hit new 52-week highs today

These ETFs provide exposure to the gold price and companies in emerging markets.

Read more »

Two happy scientists analysing test results.
52-Week Highs

3 ASX All Ords health care shares that reached 52-week peaks today

These health care companies finished the week on a positive note.

Read more »