Why the Harvey Norman (ASX:HVN) share price just hit a decade-high

The Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX:HVN) share price has just stormed to a record high. Is it too late to invest?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Australian share market may be dropping lower today but that hasn't stopped the Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN) share price from continuing its ascent.

In afternoon trade the retail giant's shares are up 1% to a decade-high of $5.68.

This latest gain means the Harvey Norman share price is now up almost 19% since the start of 2021.

jump in asx share price represented by man jumping in the air in celebration

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the Harvey Norman share price at a decade-high?

Investors have been fighting to get hold of the company's shares in recent months due to a very strong sales update in November and recent positive updates from its rivals. This has sparked hopes of a blockbuster half year result later this month.

In respect to its November update, the retailer revealed aggregated sales revenue growth of 28.2% between 1 July and 21 November compared to the prior corresponding period.

Management advised that this was driven by strong same store sales growth across almost all regions and particularly in the ANZ market.

Australian franchisees delivered a 30.4% increase in comparable store sales, whereas its New Zealand stores reported a 20.4% lift in comparable store sales. This includes stores that were temporarily closed due to COVID-19.

Pleasingly, thanks to margin expansion, Harvey Norman's unaudited profit before tax grew 160.1% between 1 July and 31 October.

What is expected for the first half?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts are expecting Harvey Norman to deliver sales of $2,294.8 million and earnings before interest and tax of $634.7 million.

This represents a 26.2% and 105.8% increase, respectively, compared to the first half of FY 2020.

On the bottom line, Goldman expects its net profit after tax to increase 117.8% to $432.1 million. This is forecast to lead to an interim dividend of 20 cents per share, up 233.3% year on year.

Is it too late to buy Harvey Norman shares?

Goldman Sachs currently has a buy rating on the company's shares.

However, it is worth noting that the recent rise in the Harvey Norman share price means it is now trading well ahead of the broker's price target of $4.90.

One broker that still sees upside for the company's shares is Macquarie. Last week it put an outperform rating and $6.00 price target on Harvey Norman shares.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on 52-Week Highs

A kid and his grandad high five after a fun game of basketball.
52-Week Highs

Telstra just hit a 10-year high. Has this ASX income giant still got more to give?

Telstra’s breakout to a multi-year high is turning heads.

Read more »

Two friends giving each other a high five at the top pf a hill.
52-Week Highs

Are these ASX shares hitting 52-week highs still worth buying?

Is there any more upside for these stocks?

Read more »

A business person directs a pointed finger upwards on a rising arrow on a bar graph.
Energy Shares

5 ASX 200 energy shares smash multi-year highs after oil price spike

The ASX 200 Energy Index reached a two-year high of 11,071.80 points on Thursday.

Read more »

A young woman with her mouth open and her hands out showing surprise and delight as uranium share prices skyrocket
52-Week Highs

7 ASX All Ords shares finish earnings season on a 52-week high

The ASX All Ords Index reached a record high on the final day of earnings season.

Read more »

A beautiful ocean vista is shown with a woman whose back is to the camera holding her arms up in triumph as she stands at the top of a rock feeling thrilled that ASX 200 shares are reaching multi-year high prices today
52-Week Highs

5 ASX 200 stocks including NAB, Woodside and BHP shares charging to new 52-week plus highs today

Investors just sent NAB, BHP, Woodside and these two top ASX 200 stocks to new multi-year highs. But why?

Read more »

A graphic showing a businessman running up a white upwards rising arrow symbolising the soaring Magellan share price today
52-Week Highs

Woodside and these ASX 200 stocks just hit new 52-week highs

It's been a wonderful day for these shares.

Read more »

A woman wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks to the sky with her hand to her chin, contemplating buying ASX shares.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, or sell? 3 ASX 200 shares at record highs

These three ASX 200 shares reached new record highs in early trading on Tuesday.

Read more »

a man in a business suit looks at a map of the world above a line up of oil barrels with a red arrow heading upwards above them, indicting rising oil prices.
Energy Shares

Why did the Woodside share price just hit an 18-month high?

Geopolitical tensions are pushing up oil prices today.

Read more »