Why the Harvey Norman (ASX:HVN) share price just hit a decade-high

The Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX:HVN) share price has just stormed to a record high. Is it too late to invest?

| More on:
jump in asx share price represented by man jumping in the air in celebration

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Australian share market may be dropping lower today but that hasn't stopped the Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN) share price from continuing its ascent.

In afternoon trade the retail giant's shares are up 1% to a decade-high of $5.68.

This latest gain means the Harvey Norman share price is now up almost 19% since the start of 2021.

Why is the Harvey Norman share price at a decade-high?

Investors have been fighting to get hold of the company's shares in recent months due to a very strong sales update in November and recent positive updates from its rivals. This has sparked hopes of a blockbuster half year result later this month.

In respect to its November update, the retailer revealed aggregated sales revenue growth of 28.2% between 1 July and 21 November compared to the prior corresponding period.

Management advised that this was driven by strong same store sales growth across almost all regions and particularly in the ANZ market.

Australian franchisees delivered a 30.4% increase in comparable store sales, whereas its New Zealand stores reported a 20.4% lift in comparable store sales. This includes stores that were temporarily closed due to COVID-19.

Pleasingly, thanks to margin expansion, Harvey Norman's unaudited profit before tax grew 160.1% between 1 July and 31 October.

What is expected for the first half?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts are expecting Harvey Norman to deliver sales of $2,294.8 million and earnings before interest and tax of $634.7 million.

This represents a 26.2% and 105.8% increase, respectively, compared to the first half of FY 2020.

On the bottom line, Goldman expects its net profit after tax to increase 117.8% to $432.1 million. This is forecast to lead to an interim dividend of 20 cents per share, up 233.3% year on year.

Is it too late to buy Harvey Norman shares?

Goldman Sachs currently has a buy rating on the company's shares.

However, it is worth noting that the recent rise in the Harvey Norman share price means it is now trading well ahead of the broker's price target of $4.90.

One broker that still sees upside for the company's shares is Macquarie. Last week it put an outperform rating and $6.00 price target on Harvey Norman shares.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on 52-Week Highs

Hands reaching high for a trophy with a sunset in the background.
52-Week Highs

4 ASX All Ords shares smashing new 52-week highs today

Do you own any of these lucky shares?

Read more »

Person pointing at an increasing blue graph which represents a rising share price.
52-Week Highs

5 ASX All Ords shares starting the new year at 52-week highs

What a way to start 2025...

Read more »

A beautiful ocean vista is shown with a woman whose back is to the camera holding her arms up in triumph as she stands at the top of a rock feeling thrilled that ASX 200 shares are reaching multi-year high prices today
52-Week Highs

3 ASX 300 shares smashing new highs while the market dives

These three shares are running hot amid a market meltdown.

Read more »

Three hikers lift their arms in jubilation as they reach a rocky peak overlooking a sensational view of water and mountains with a blue sky surrounding them.
52-Week Highs

3 blue chip ASX 200 shares smashing new highs on Wednesday

These names are finishing the year strongly.

Read more »

Ten smiling business people wave to the camera after receiving some winning company news.
ETFs

10 red-hot ASX ETFs that smashed new highs today

Do you own any of these lucky exchange-traded funds?

Read more »

Two kids stare open-mouthed at what's under their bed.
52-Week Highs

5 under-the-radar ASX 200 shares smashing new highs today

These shares are bucking the market big time.

Read more »

A piggy bank on the cloud in the blue sky symbolising a record high share price.
52-Week Highs

10 ASX 200 shares smashing new highs while the market sinks

Do you own any of these market-defying stocks?

Read more »

A woman looks up at a plane flying in the sky with arms outstretched as the Flight Centre share price surges
Travel Shares

Why the Qantas share price can keep flying to new highs

Qantas shares' new record highs are forecast to be broken in 2025 by this top broker.

Read more »