Leading broker downgrades a2 Milk (ASX:A2M) shares

The A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX:A2M) share price is dropping lower again after being downgraded by a leading broker…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) share price has come under pressure again on Wednesday and is dropping lower.

In afternoon trade, the infant formula and fresh milk company's shares are down 1.5% to $10.42.

This latest decline means the a2 Milk share price is now down 48% from its 52-week high.

Why is the a2 Milk share price under pressure?

The a2 Milk share price has fallen heavily since the release of a disappointing update last month.

That update revealed that the company has experienced a significant decline in sales in the important daigou channel. So much so, it was forced to downgrade both its first half and full year guidance.

In respect to the latter, a2 Milk now expects revenue to be in the range of NZ$1.4 billion to NZ$1.55 billion in FY 2021. The mid point of this guidance range is down 18% to 22.3% from its previous guidance range and down 15% from FY 2020's revenue of NZ$1.73 billion

And with the company's margins suffering because of this, the company was forced to downgrade its earnings guidance.

It now expects an earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) margin of 26% to 29% for FY 2021. This is down from 31% previously.

Based on the mid point of both guidance ranges, this represents EBITDA of NZ$405.6 million in FY 2021. This would be down a sizeable 26.2% from FY 2020's EBITDA of $549.7 million.

That's old news, why are its shares down today?

Given that this guidance downgrade happened last month, investors may be wondering why its shares are underperforming today.

Well, today's decline appears to be attributable to a bullish broker changing its mind on the stock.

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have downgraded a2 Milk's shares to a neutral rating and cut the price target on them to $12.09.

The broker has downgraded its estimates to reflect the update and suspects that its shares could underperform until its earnings momentum begins to recover.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended A2 Milk. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Fallers

Disappointed man with his head on his hand looking at a falling share price his a laptop.
Share Fallers

Why APA, Flight Centre, Reece, and Transurban shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough finish to the week. But why?

Read more »

Frustrated and shocked business woman reading bad news online from phone.
Share Fallers

Why Bannerman Energy, Life360, Strike Energy, and Xero shares are tumbling today

These shares are under pressure on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

Cheerful boyfriend showing mobile phone to girlfriend in dining room. They are spending leisure time together at home and planning their financial future.
Share Fallers

Why DroneShield, Neuren, Paradigm, and Pilbara Minerals shares are roaring higher today

These shares are having a strong session on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Betr, Develop Global, Northern Star, and Paragon Care shares are dropping today

These shares are having a tough time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why APA, DroneShield, EOS, and Woodside shares are tumbling today

These shares are missing out on the good times on Tuesday.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why Adairs, ANZ, Aurelia Metals, and Pilbara Minerals shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough start to the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why ANZ, Clarity, IGO, and Pilbara Minerals shares are dropping today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

Three guys in shirts and ties give the thumbs down.
Share Fallers

Why Aurelia Metals, Centuria Office, Meeka Metals, and Resolute shares are tumbling today

These shares are having a tough time on Thursday. Let's find out why.

Read more »