What happened to the NextDC (ASX:NXT) share price in November?

How did the NextDC Ltd (ASX: NXT) share price go from being a leading ASX200 tech stock to underperforming all its peers?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

sdf

The Nextdc Ltd (ASX: NXT) share price seemed to be the gift that keeps on giving. Its share price only slumped 23% from peak to trough during the initial March sell-off to a low of $6.59 before running to a record all-time high of $14 in early November. 

However, its success came to a halt in the latter half of November. The NextDC share price is down 15% this month. This compares to the 10% gain for the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) and 0.62% increase for the S&P/ASX All Technology Index (ASX: XTX) sector.

Growth to value rotation 

ASX data centre companies trade at eye watering valuations despite low double digit revenue growth. NextDC boasts a market capitalisation of $5 billion but in FY20 delivered $205.2 million, $104.6 million earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) and a net loss after tax of $45.2 million. Trading at 24 times FY20 revenue places the company in a similar valuation bracket as Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P)

The recent rotation from growth and tech stocks to value and cyclical stocks such as banks, travel and resources is likely to blame for weakness in the NextDC share price. But even then, the company is underperforming the broader information technology sector. 

Buy now, pay later style valuations

Data centres have been able to maintain premium valuations due to the increasing relevancy of cloud and anticipated long term growth for the sector. In the NextDC annual general meeting held on 13 November, the company noted that global investment in public cloud services and infrastructure will more than double from 2019 to 2023. The COVID-19 pandemic has pushed the digital transformation initiatives for many organisations to adapt to the new ways of doing business. 

Despite the excitement and sustained growth expected for the cloud sector, NextDC's growth can appear lacklustre at face value. In FY20 its revenue from data centres increased 18% to $200.8 million and underlying EBITDA increased 23% to $19.5 million. This compares to many ASX 200 tech shares such as Altium Limited (ASX: ALU) and WiseTech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC) that deliver revenue growth in the range of 20-40%. 

Megaport Ltd (ASX: MP1) slumped on quarterly results 

Despite earnings growth that may appear to be lacklustre at face value, the NextDC share price has been able to hold up well during earnings updates. 

Its rival Megaport, on the other hand, experienced a sharp sell off after its quarterly update. On 21 October, the company highlighted that revenue for the quarter had only increased 2% quarter-on-quarter to $17.3 million. Its shares fell as much as 15% on the day. 

Lina Lim has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Altium and MEGAPORT FPO. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended MEGAPORT FPO. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

a man looks down at his phone with a look of happy surprise on his face as though he is thrilled with good news.
Broker Notes

3 of the best ASX stocks to buy now with $2,500

These shares are highly rated by the team at Bell Potter.

Read more »

Man smiling on top of rocks with mountains in the background.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Investors were in a nervous mood today.

Read more »

A man in suit and tie is smug about his suitcase bursting with cash.
Broker Notes

2 big-name ASX 200 shares brokers rate as top buys

Let's see which shares could be in the buy zone right now.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Block, Catalyst Metals, Coronado Global, and Pilbara Minerals shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

Three happy office workers cheer as they read about good financial news on a laptop.
Share Gainers

Why Beach Energy, Boss Energy, Cochlear, and Light & Wonder shares are pushing higher

These shares are having a good time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.
Mergers & Acquisitions

Guess which ASX 300 stock is jumping 7% on merger news

This struggling company could be close to merging with a rival.

Read more »

a man in hard hat and high visibility vest talks into a walky-talky device in the foreground of a freight train at a railway yard.
Share Market News

What does the new BHP contract means for Aurizon shares?

This broker sees upside based on a new deal between Aurizon Holdings and BHP. 

Read more »