Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) earnings: What to watch

Analysts expect soaring profits and investors are hoping for big guidance. Can the electric-car company deliver?

| More on:
Tesla stock represented by four tesla electric vehicles parked against mountain backdrop

Image source: Tesla

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

It's been a wild year for Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) shareholders. The stock is up more than 400% year to date. Over the past year, shares are up nearly 800%.

While the growth stock's big gain recently is great for shareholders, it means expectations are high going into the electric-car company's third-quarter earnings report this week. Ahead of the quarterly update on Oct. 21, here's a preview of some of the key areas investors may want to check on. 

Profitability

Sharp revenue growth for Q3 is pretty much already in the bag. A few days after the quarter ended, Tesla said it delivered record quarterly deliveries during the period, with total deliveries rising 43% year over year.

The bigger question about Tesla's financials during the quarter is regarding the company's profitability. Analyst estimates for the automaker's earnings per share (EPS) for the period span a wide range, with the lowest estimate calling for $0.23 per share and the highest for $0.98. The average estimate is notably $0.56, which translates to a 51% jump compared to the year-ago quarter. 

Factory construction progress

Investors will also look to Tesla's quarterly shareholder presentation to get a progress update on the company's ongoing expansion efforts. In Q2, Tesla said it had an annual production capacity at its factory in Fremont, California of 400,000 units for Model 3 and Model Y combined. But management said that this installed capacity would extend to 500,000 units at some point in 2020. Did Tesla achieve this before Q4 started?

Further, Tesla said it was building Model Y production capacity at its factories in Shanghai and Berlin. Look to see whether the automaker completed construction on these important production lines. 

Guidance for vehicle deliveries

Finally, investors will want to see whether Tesla is maintaining its guidance for 500,000 deliveries this year. To deliver 500,000 vehicles in 2020, Tesla would need to deliver more than 181,000 vehicles in Q4 alone. This would imply huge growth both year over year and sequentially, as Tesla delivered about 112,000 and 139,000 vehicles in the fourth quarter of 2019 and the third quarter of 2020, respectively.

Regarding vehicle delivery guidance, investors should also look to see if Tesla provides any commentary on demand for its vehicles. Did Tesla exit Q3 with a record backlog of vehicle orders? Without record orders, Tesla may not maintain full confidence from investors in the company's growth story.

Tesla reports its third-quarter results after market close on Wednesday.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Should you invest $1,000 in Tesla right now?

Before you buy Tesla shares, consider this:

Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Tesla wasn't one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 6 March 2025

Daniel Sparks has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on International Stock News

A man analyses stockmarket graph on his computer.
International Stock News

What Trump's 'liberation day' could mean for the ASX stock market

Strap in for a bumpy ride next week.

Read more »

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares
International Stock News

1 surprising artificial intelligence (AI) stock Warren Buffett owns that investors should buy on the dip

Berkshire does own shares in at least one artificial intelligence (AI)-related company, and given its recent stock sell-off, it looks…

Read more »

A man and a woman sit in front of a laptop looking fascinated and captivated.
International Stock News

3 must-see updates from Nvidia's AI event

If you're a Nvidia shareholder or are considering becoming one, here are three important updates you need to know about.

Read more »

Warren Buffet
International Stock News

Analysts questioned Buffett's bearish investment approach. Now he's lauded for his bold investing moves. 4 investing takeaways you can learn from the Oracle of Omaha.

What can we learn from Buffett?

Read more »

A mature age woman with a groovy short haircut and glasses, sits at her computer, pen in hand thinking about information she is seeing on the screen.
International Stock News

If you bought 1 share of Amazon at its IPO, here's how many shares you would own now

Here's a history of Amazon's stock splits as a publicly traded company.

Read more »

Man smiling at a laptop because of a rising share price.
International Stock News

1 trillion reasons why Nvidia stock is a screaming buy now

Jensen Huang just gave an astonishing outlook into how he projects spending on AI computing.

Read more »

Woman and man calculating a dividend yield.
International Stock News

This artificial intelligence (AI) stock is a "Magnificent Seven" leader. But is it a buy?

Here is what you need to know.

Read more »

Man looks up at apple on his head.
International Stock News

Apple stock has a growth problem. Is it really worth its premium valuation?

Investors are hoping AI will come to rescue the tech giant's underwhelming top line.

Read more »