The Redbubble (ASX:RBL) share price rocketed 25% higher today: Is it a buy?

The Redbubble Ltd (ASX:RBL) share price has been on fire on Thursday. Is it too late to buy this ecommerce star?

| More on:
asx share price increase represented by golden dollar sign rocketing out from white domes of lithium

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Redbubble Ltd (ASX: RBL) share price has been an exceptionally strong performer on Thursday.

At one stage today the ecommerce company's shares were up a massive 25% to a record high of $6.02.

In afternoon trade the Redbubble share price has given back a good portion of these gains but is still up a sizeable 8% to $5.20.

Why is the Redbubble share price on fire on Thursday?

Investors have been fighting to get hold of Redbubble's shares following the release of an impressive first quarter update.

That update revealed that Redbubble's strong growth has continued into FY 2021, with Marketplace Revenue growing 116% over the prior corresponding period to $147.5 million.

Pleasingly, margin expansion led to its gross profit growing at an even quicker rate of 149% to $64.5 million.

But perhaps best of all, was that Redbubble delivered first quarter earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) of $22.1 million. This compares to a loss before interest and tax of $1.5 million a year earlier.

How did this compare with expectations?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, Redbubble delivered quarterly revenue in line with its expectations.

It commented: "Marketplace revenue (product & shipping) for the Redbubble Group (Redbubble & TeePublic marketplaces) in 1Q21 was A$147.5mn, up 116% on pcp (+122% in cc.) and in line with our expectation of A$146.8mn."

One metric which is outpacing the broker's forecasts is its gross profit margin.

"Gross profit margin for Redbubble Group was 43.7% in 1Q21, versus 37.8% in 1Q20 and 41.6% in 4Q20. This is currently materially ahead of our FY21E expectation of 39.2%," Goldman explained.

This ultimately led to its EBIT margin also tracking significantly ahead of Goldman Sachs' expectations for a margin of 9.6% in FY 2021.

It said: "Redbubble Group 1Q21 operating EBIT was A$24.8mn, up from A$0.0mn in 1Q20. This excludes A$2.7mn in other income/ expenses in 1Q21. Operating EBIT margin was 16.8% (for context, 4Q20 was 4.7% and GSe FY21E 9.6%)."

Is Redbubble a buy?

While Goldman Sachs has retained its buy rating and $5.20 price target on its shares, I suspect it will revisit its valuation in the near term.

One thing the broker will no doubt be weighing up when reassessing its valuation is the sustainability of its margins, which are being positively impacted by heightened sales of fashionable face masks during the pandemic.

Goldman commented: "We would expect the market to focus on the sustainability of the strength on GP Margin and the contribution that face masks may be making to its revenues (noting that in its August update, face masks were around 28% of revenues in July)."

If it believes these strong margins are sustainable, I suspect a price target increase could be coming.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Growth Shares

Sports fans looking at smart phone representing surging pointsbet share price
Growth Shares

Up 111% in six months, this soaring ASX share is backed to keep rising

One fund manager thinks this ASX growth share can continue its phoenix performance.

Read more »

a happy investor with a wide smile points to a graph that shows an upward trending share price
Growth Shares

These ASX growth shares are being tipped to smash the market

Returns of 14% to 68% could be on the cards for buyers of these shares according to brokers.

Read more »

A young male ASX investor raises his clenched fists in excitement because of rising ASX share prices today
Growth Shares

These ASX 200 growth shares could rise 50% to 70%

Analysts are predicting these stocks to rise materially from current levels.

Read more »

A young boy sits on his father's shoulders as they flex their muscles at sunrise on a beach
Growth Shares

2 ASX 300 growth shares with 'strong momentum' this fund manager says are buys

These two stocks have plenty of growth potential, according to experts.

Read more »

Rocket going up above mountains, symbolising a record high.
Growth Shares

2 high-growth ASX shares to buy now

Analysts at Bell Potter think these shares would be great picks for growth investors.

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Growth Shares

These ASX 200 growth stocks could rise 30% to 100%

Analysts think these shares are dirt cheap at current levels and have put buy ratings on them.

Read more »

Young woman using computer laptop smiling in love showing heart symbol and shape with hands. as she switches from a big telco to Aussie Broadband which is capturing more market share
Growth Shares

Goldman Sachs loves these ASX 200 growth shares: Do you own them?

Why is the broker bullish on them? Let's find out.

Read more »

Happy work colleagues give each other a fist pump.
Growth Shares

2 super ASX growth shares to buy for huge returns

Analysts are feeling bullish about these shares. Let's see what they are saying about them.

Read more »