The Redbubble (ASX:RBL) share price rocketed 25% higher today: Is it a buy?

The Redbubble Ltd (ASX:RBL) share price has been on fire on Thursday. Is it too late to buy this ecommerce star?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Redbubble Ltd (ASX: RBL) share price has been an exceptionally strong performer on Thursday.

At one stage today the ecommerce company's shares were up a massive 25% to a record high of $6.02.

In afternoon trade the Redbubble share price has given back a good portion of these gains but is still up a sizeable 8% to $5.20.

asx share price increase represented by golden dollar sign rocketing out from white domes of lithium

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the Redbubble share price on fire on Thursday?

Investors have been fighting to get hold of Redbubble's shares following the release of an impressive first quarter update.

That update revealed that Redbubble's strong growth has continued into FY 2021, with Marketplace Revenue growing 116% over the prior corresponding period to $147.5 million.

Pleasingly, margin expansion led to its gross profit growing at an even quicker rate of 149% to $64.5 million.

But perhaps best of all, was that Redbubble delivered first quarter earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) of $22.1 million. This compares to a loss before interest and tax of $1.5 million a year earlier.

How did this compare with expectations?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, Redbubble delivered quarterly revenue in line with its expectations.

It commented: "Marketplace revenue (product & shipping) for the Redbubble Group (Redbubble & TeePublic marketplaces) in 1Q21 was A$147.5mn, up 116% on pcp (+122% in cc.) and in line with our expectation of A$146.8mn."

One metric which is outpacing the broker's forecasts is its gross profit margin.

"Gross profit margin for Redbubble Group was 43.7% in 1Q21, versus 37.8% in 1Q20 and 41.6% in 4Q20. This is currently materially ahead of our FY21E expectation of 39.2%," Goldman explained.

This ultimately led to its EBIT margin also tracking significantly ahead of Goldman Sachs' expectations for a margin of 9.6% in FY 2021.

It said: "Redbubble Group 1Q21 operating EBIT was A$24.8mn, up from A$0.0mn in 1Q20. This excludes A$2.7mn in other income/ expenses in 1Q21. Operating EBIT margin was 16.8% (for context, 4Q20 was 4.7% and GSe FY21E 9.6%)."

Is Redbubble a buy?

While Goldman Sachs has retained its buy rating and $5.20 price target on its shares, I suspect it will revisit its valuation in the near term.

One thing the broker will no doubt be weighing up when reassessing its valuation is the sustainability of its margins, which are being positively impacted by heightened sales of fashionable face masks during the pandemic.

Goldman commented: "We would expect the market to focus on the sustainability of the strength on GP Margin and the contribution that face masks may be making to its revenues (noting that in its August update, face masks were around 28% of revenues in July)."

If it believes these strong margins are sustainable, I suspect a price target increase could be coming.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Growth Shares

A young man talks tech on his phone while looking at a laptop with a financial graph superimposed across the image.
Growth Shares

3 ASX growth shares to buy with $10,000

Looking to add some growth shares to your portfolio? Here are three that brokers rate as buys.

Read more »

Two smiling work colleagues discuss an investment at their office.
Growth Shares

3 ASX 300 shares that could be much bigger in 5 years

Big returns could be on offer from these shares according to analysts.

Read more »

Two brokers analysing the share price with the woman pointing at the screen and man talking on a phone.
Growth Shares

3 ASX shares tipped to grow 75% or more in the next 12 month!

These businesses may be significantly undervalued.

Read more »

A woman looks excited as she holds Australian dollars in the air.
Growth Shares

2 undervalued ASX shares to buy that experts think could deliver strong returns

A fund manager thinks these ASX shares could deliver great returns.

Read more »

A young man punches the air in delight as he reacts to great news on his mobile phone.
Growth Shares

5 ASX growth shares to buy and hold for 5 years

These shares could be destined for bright futures.

Read more »

A woman with a magnifying glass adjusts her glasses as she holds the glass to her computer screen and peers closely at it.
Growth Shares

3 ASX shares below $5 with huge potential

Some of the most interesting ASX shares are not the biggest, but those still early in their growth journey.

Read more »

A graphic of a pink rocket taking off above an increasing chart.
Growth Shares

This could be the best ASX 300 stock buy today!

This seems like a great time to invest.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Growth Shares

Where to invest $10,000 in ASX shares in April

Wondering where to invest? Here are three picks to consider.

Read more »