Will the Reserve Bank cut the cash rate again in October?

Westpac Banking Corp (ASX:WBC) is expecting the Reserve Bank to cut the cash rate on Budget Day. How should you respond?

| More on:
wondering about asx share price represented by man surrounded by question marks

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

According to the latest Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) Weekly economic report, the banking giant expects the Reserve Bank to cut the cash rate on 6 October.

Chief Economist Bill Evans commented: "In a speech on Tuesday, the Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank gave a fairly clear hint that the Board is set to cut the cash rate and other key policy rates at its October Board meeting."

This is despite the meeting falling on the same day as the Federal Budget.

Mr Evans explained: "The prospect of the RBA 'sitting back' to assess the Budget, which has been seen as the 'norm' in previous years is not appropriate for these unique times."

"We now expect the RBA to cut the overnight cash rate to 10 basis points; to adopt a 10 basis point three year bond target; and to adjust the rate on any new drawdowns of the Term Funding Facility to 10 basis points. All these rates are currently set at 25 basis points, which the Governor has generally described as the effective lower bound for the cash rate," he added.

When will rates increase again?

If Westpac's forecasts prove accurate, it will be some time before the cash rate is heading higher again.

The bank is currently forecasting that the cash rate will remain on hold at 0.1% until at least June 2022, which is where its forecast period ends.

In light of this, I think it could be upwards of five years until rates are back to "normal" levels.

As a result, I continue to believe the share market will be the best place to generate an income over the coming years.

But which dividend shares should you buy? Two of my favourite options for income investors are commercial property company and Bunnings landlord BWP Trust (ASX: BWP) and agricultural property company Rural Funds Group (ASX: RFF).

As well as offering generous yields at present, I believe both companies have the potential to grow their earnings and distributions at a solid rate over the 2020s.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro owns shares of Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended RURALFUNDS STAPLED. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why EML, GQG Partners, IGO, and Integrated Research shares are sinking today

In afternoon trade, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to record a strong gain. At the time of…

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Share Gainers

Why EOS, News Corp, Polynovo, and Pro Medicus shares are roaring higher today

These shares are starting the week positively. But why?

Read more »

A couple stares at the tv in shock, one holding the remote up ready to press.
Mergers & Acquisitions

Telstra share price climbs amid $3.4b Foxtel sale

Who is buying the Foxtel business? Let's find out.

Read more »

A young man pointing up looking amazed, indicating a surging share price movement for an ASX company
Share Market News

Brokers say these ASX 200 growth stocks could rise 50% to 70%

Analysts think these shares could be dirt cheap and destined to generate big returns.

Read more »

Two people having a meeting using a laptop and tablet to discuss Seven West Media's balance sheet
Broker Notes

Why these ASX shares could be top SMSF options in 2025

Analysts are bullish on these high-quality shares. Let's find out why.

Read more »

The words short selling in red against a black background
Share Market News

These are the 10 most shorted ASX shares

Let's see which shares short sellers are targeting this week.

Read more »

Smiling man with phone in wheelchair watching stocks and trends on computer
Share Market News

5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

A good start to the week is expected for Aussie investors. Here's what to watch.

Read more »

A businessman compares the growth trajectory of property versus shares.
Opinions

What's the outlook for shares vs. property in 2025?

The experts have put out their new year predictions...

Read more »