Are ASX gold shares like Newcrest (ASX:NCM) still good value?

ASX gold shares like Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) have surged in value this year, so is there any reason to buy right now?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

It's hard to know if ASX gold shares like Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) are in the buy zone.

Many of Australia's top gold miners have seen their values surge in 2020 as investors have looked for a safe haven away from the coronavirus pandemic-induced volatility.

So, as markets continue to move, is there still time to buy ASX gold shares?

ASX gold inflation gold bull figurine standing on stock price charts representing rising asx share price

Image source: Getty Images

Why ASX gold shares are still a good buy

It's important to distinguish between strategic and tactical investing. Investors should generally have a long-term view towards investing and portfolio construction.

However, that doesn't mean there can't be short-term deviations from the plan to capitalise on good opportunities.

The Newcrest share price has jumped 9.8% in 2020 while the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has fallen 12.1% lower.

It's even better news for investors in some of the other large ASX gold shares. The Saracen Mineral Holdings Limited (ASX: SAR) share price has surged 56.6% higher this year thanks to strong investor demand.

I'm not personally a big investor in ASX gold shares. However, some pure play shares can provide some benefits within a diversified portfolio.

One is a downside hedge of sorts given gold prices often push higher amid market volatility and bear markets. These stocks could also provide some protection through a higher gold price if we see inflation start to rise in 2021.

I think investors still need to be careful when picking tactical investments, especially at the moment. I personally prefer to buy those with strong cash flow generation like Saracen rather than some of the prospectors.

Foolish takeaway

It's easy to think that ASX gold shares are overvalued in the current market. However, with bond yields at all-time lows and other defensive shares also surging, there aren't a lot of options for downside protection.

I wouldn't say gold is the ultimate defensive share but it may provide some benefits if we enter another bear market or a period of high inflation.

Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

A man leaps from a stack of gold coins to the next, each one higher than the last.
Broker Notes

Why this surging ASX All Ords stock is forecast to rocket another 142%

A leading broker expects this ASX gold stock could more than double investors’ money in the year ahead.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Gold

This ASX gold company has revealed a major boost to production over the next 4 years

A multi-mine strategy will underpin strong growth.

Read more »

Machinery at a mine site.
Gold

3 reasons to buy this ASX gold stock in April

Brokers see total potential return over 25% for the miner.

Read more »

A man wearing 70s clothing and a big gold chain around his neck looks a little bit unsure.
Gold

Newmont shares slip as Cadia update puts investors on alert

Newmont shares soften after an update from a key asset draws investor attention.

Read more »

A group of business people sit dejectedly around a table, each expressing desolation, sadness, and disappointment by holding their head in their hands, casting their gazes down and looking very glum.
Gold

Why this ASX mining high-flyer just dropped 14% in a day

Dateline shares tumble after sentiment shifts on the latest update.

Read more »

Teen standing in a city street smiling and throwing sparkling gold glitter into the air.
Gold

After a 9% decline, is this once high-flying ASX gold mining stock primed for a rebound?

One broker has high hopes for this ASX gold mining stock.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Gold

This ASX gold project developer could more than triple in value: Broker

This company's WA project is coming together nicely.

Read more »

Woman holding gold bar and cheering.
Gold

Up 115% since August, Ora Banda shares leaping higher today on record gold production

Investors are piling into Ora Banda shares today. Here’s what the ASX 200 gold miner just reported.

Read more »