Can the Harvey Norman (ASX:HVN) share price push higher in 2021?

Why the Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN) share price could be a hidden bargain with a strong dividend yield in 2020.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd (ASX: HVN) share price has been outperforming this year. Shares in the Aussie retailer are up 4.2% while the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is down 11.8% for the year.

Here's why I think the Harvey Norman share price has further to run in 2021. 

Why the Harvey Norman share price is climbing

Strong earnings has been the key to a surging Harvey Norman share price.

The Aussie retailer reported a record full-year earnings result with $8.46 billion in FY20 sales revenue. Underlying net profit after tax climbed 30.9% to $462.2 million with operating cash flow of $1.1 billion.

That saw the company pay a fully-franked 18 cents per share dividend to be paid on 2 November.

The Harvey Norman share price is yielding a tidy 4.3% right now. That's a pretty good return given the challenges facing many Aussie companies right now.

Why the ASX retail share has further to run

A persistently high Aussie dollar could be good news for the Harvey Norman share price.

The Aussie retailer is a net importer of products. That means a strong domestic currency makes those purchases relatively more cheap and profit margins can be boosted.

I still think there is also further room for sales volumes to grow. Aussies stocked up on home office electronics when the coronavirus pandemic began but I think we could see further investment.

However, a shift in working arrangements could see more housing activity. With more Aussies moving residences, the demand for a suite of electronics could surge.

It's interesting to note that Harvey Norman has started the year strongly in FY21. That includes an uptick in sales for July and August with overseas sales recovering quickly.

Is it all good news?

Harvey Norman still faces some intense competition. That's especially the case with Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) continuing to make big strides.

It's tough to predict what FY21 will hold for the retail sector. Harvey Norman does have a strong online presence which may help mitigate some of the impact from COVID-19 restrictions.

I think the 10.8 price to earnings (P/E) ratio and 4.3% dividend yield still make the Harvey Norman share price worth a look in 2020.

Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Kogan.com ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.
Retail Shares

Up 90%, this ASX 200 retail stock's CEO just sold $500,000 worth

What could this mean?

Read more »

View of a mine site.
Retail Shares

Why buying Wesfarmers shares could provide unique lithium exposure

In the last 12 months, the stock has rallied more than 28%.

Read more »

Photo of two women shopping.
Retail Shares

Why one leading fund manager thinks this fallen ASX All Ords stock is a turnaround buy

This is a bargain stock, according to a leading fundie.

Read more »

a woman wearing fashionable clothes and jewellery checks her phone with a satisfied smile on her face in a luxurous home setting.
Retail Shares

Guess which ASX 200 stock just extended its $580 million buyback

Could this draw investor attention to the stock?

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Retail Shares

Own Wesfarmers shares? Here's why Bunnings' monster profits are raising eyebrows

Bunnings is the jewel in Wesfarmers’ crown. Some people are questioning whether it should sparkle as much as it does.

Read more »

Woman checking out new laptops.
Retail Shares

Harvey Norman shares see red on ASIC case update

This could put the saga to rest.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Retail Shares

Why this investing expert is cashing in some gains on Wesfarmers shares

The ASX 200 stock is up more than 27% over the past 12 months.

Read more »

A woman looks at a tablet device while in the aisles of a hardware style store amid stacked boxes on shelves representing Bunnings and the Wesfarmers share price
Retail Shares

Why today is a big day for Wesfarmers shares

Why is everyone talking about Wesfarmers shares today?

Read more »