Should you wait for a market crash to invest, or just use dollar-cost averaging?

Is dollar-cost averaging (DCA) the best strategy for investing in ASX shares? Let's look at the pros and cons of a DCA strategy today

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is a popular method of investing in ASX shares. It involves investing a set amount of capital at a determined time period, say $100 every week or $1,000 a month, and sticking to it, regardless of what is happening in the markets.

By capturing the various fluctuations of the market over a given time, dollar-cost averaging can give you an 'average' of the overall market's performance, thus eliminating the risk of making a large purchase at a suboptimal price.

But using a DCA strategy does have its fair share of critics. By definition, this strategy discourages trying to time a buy. Thus, if you follow a DCA, you might be unable to capitalise on a market crash by buying large amounts of shares at historically low prices: that is, 'buy low, sell high'.

So is a DCA strategy a good idea, or something that you should avoid?

Dollar-cost averaging: pros and cons

In my view, DCAs are best suited to investors who struggle with the emotional burdens that investing can bring. Everyone knows the best time to buy anything is when it is 'on sale'. And that's exactly what usually happens in a market crash.

For example, the market viewed mining giant BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) as worth more than $41 a share back in February. In the midst of the March share market crash, the market at one point decided BHP was worth only $25.20. Today (at the time of writing), it has revised that valuation back up at $38.28. Clearly, there was some irrational selling going on, as one company (especially one as large as BHP) cannot possibly be truly worth 50% more today than it was just 5 months ago.

Now, we all know the best time to buy BHP shares in 2020 was on the day they were trading at $25.20. But in the heat of the moment, it is extremely difficult for many investors to pull the trigger when there is fear and panic all around (as there was back in March). "What if it drops lower from here and I lose even more money?" they might ask. Or, "What if I can get another 10% off tomorrow?" Remember, a market's lowest point is only painfully obvious in hindsight.

It's precisely because of these emotional roadblocks that many investors will be better off with a DCA. It simply takes this emotional pressure out of the game.

Foolish takeaway

So which is the best strategy? Dollar-cost averaging, or stockpiling your funds until the market tanks?

Well, it really depends on your temperament as an investor. You can always try a 'hybrid approach' of setting aside 10%, 20% or 30% of your portfolio in cash to be put to work during a market crash, and employing a DCA strategy when you hit that threshold for the rest of the time.

There is no right answer here, just what works best for you.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on How to invest

A young well-dressed couple at a luxury resort celebrate successful life choices.
How to invest

No savings at 50? I'd use Warren Buffett's methods to get rich and retire early

This simple strategy could be key to retiring rich even if starting late in life.

Read more »

Happy young couple saving money in piggy bank.
How to invest

How I'd build a winning portfolio by investing in top ASX shares now

Let's see what steps you could take to build a winning portfolio.

Read more »

Happy young couple doing road trip in tropical city.
How to invest

How to make $50,000 passive income a year from ASX shares

Here is how you can generate income each year without lifting a finger.

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
How to invest

$20k invested in these ASX 200 shares 10 years ago is worth…

Let's see how these stocks have performed since back in 2014.

Read more »

A young well-dressed couple at a luxury resort celebrate successful life choices.
How to invest

How to build a million-dollar portfolio with ASX shares

These are the steps to take to build a seven-figure investment portfolio.

Read more »

Hands reaching high for a trophy with a sunset in the background.
How to invest

I'm taking Warren Buffett's advice for when ASX shares are at record highs

Would the Oracle of Omaha continue to buy shares when the market is at a record high?

Read more »

Beautiful young couple enjoying in shopping, symbolising passive income.
How to invest

If an investor puts $500 per month in an ASX shares portfolio, here's what they could have in 10 years

Harnessing the power of compounding can bring you great wealth...

Read more »

Man holding fifty Australian Dollar banknote in his hands, symbolising dividends, symbolising dividends.
How to invest

How much would I need in an ASX share portfolio to earn $500 a month?

Want a monthly income boost? Here's one way you could do it.

Read more »