Santos share price slumps as interim dividend slashed

Whipsawing oil prices take a heavy toll on Santos Ltd (ASX:STO) earnings. But is the outlook for production good news for investors?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) share price slumped as much as 4.8% in early trading today as the company revealed the heavy toll whipsawing oil prices has taken on first half earnings.

Oil and gas producers have battled through an especially rough 6 months as the COVID-19 pandemic exploded. Lower demand for land and air transport sent West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude plunging from US$61 per barrel at the start of January, to an unprecedented -US$40 per barrel in April as investors panicked and dumped oil options. Since then WTI has crawled its way back to US$42 per barrel in August, but the damage to Santos has been clear.

How did Santos perform in the first half of 2020?

Santos announced it generated sales revenue of US$1.7 billion in the first half of 2020, 16% lower than the same period last year.

It was an especially disappointing outcome for investors given record production of oil and gas to 38.5 million barrels of oil equivalent (mmboe), a 4% increase on the same time last year.

Significantly lower oil and LNG prices meant that the average realised oil price Santos received was down -34% to US$48 per barrel, while the average realised LNG price dropped 14% to US$8.57 per million British Thermal Units (mmBtu).

Disappointingly, after massively writing down the value of some of its oil and gas assets to the tune of over US$750 million, Santos reported a loss of US$289 million for the 6 months.

Will Santos still pay a dividend?

Yes, Santos will still pay a dividend, but it will be a big drop on the same time last year. Santos announced it will pay a fully franked interim dividend of US 2.1 cents per share, down 65% on the far more enticing US 6.0 cents per share dividend paid last year.

This is in keeping with the company's 'sustainable' dividend policy, which targets a range of 10% to 30% payout of free cash flow.

If you've been watching Santos shares for its dividend, you'll need to move quick! Shares go ex-dividend on 25 August 2020. This is the date when shares start selling without the value of its dividend payment.

What's the outlook for Santos for the rest of 2020?

For the second half of the financial year Santos is turning up the heat on production. The company is estimating production of between 44.5 million and 49.5 million barrels of oil equivalent in the second half, which suggests a total of up to 88 mmboe. Year-on-year this would be production growth of up to 16.5%.

This is good news for investors as it sneaks in above the guidance Santos provided in their 2019 annual report of producing 79–87 mmboe in 2019.

Still, it will take a strong, sustained recovery in energy prices for Santos investors to have a result to really cheer about in the second half of the year.

At the time of writing, the Santos share price is down 3.57% to $5.67 per share.

Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

Scott just revealed what he believes could be the 'five best ASX stocks' for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 30 April 2025

Motley Fool contributor Regan Pearson has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

You can follow him on Twitter @Regan_Invests.

The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Man standing on rock next to turquoise salt lagoon.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

The ASX 200 finally had a green session this hump day.

Read more »

gaming asx share price rise represented by slot machine paying jackpot
Broker Notes

What does Macquarie expect from Aristocrat Leisure shares when it reports on 14 May?

Here's what the broker is expecting from this gaming technology company next week.

Read more »

Man pointing at a blue rising share price graph.
Share Gainers

Guess which ASX 300 stock just rocketed 17%!

Investors are sending the ASX 300 stock soaring higher on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why Aurizon, JB Hi-FI, Nuix, and Platinum shares are tumbling today

These shares are falling on hump day. But why?

Read more »

A young woman wearing overalls and a yellow t-shirt kicks one leg in the air showing excitement over the latest ASX 200 shares to hit 52-week highs
Share Gainers

Why Firefly, Kelsian, NAB, and Zip shares are roaring higher today

These shares are having a good time on hump day. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A man and woman sit at a desk staring intently at a laptop screen with papers next to them.
Opinions

Where I'd invest $5,000 in ASX 300 shares right now

These stocks look like excellent investments today.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Goldman Sachs says these ASX 200 stocks are strong buys

The broker is feeling very bullish about these stocks. But why?

Read more »