Is it too late to buy ASX gold shares like St Barbara?

As gold prices hit a new record high above A$2,700 per ounce, is it too late to buy ASX shares like St Barbara Ltd (ASX: SBM)?

| More on:
finger reaching out to press gold button entitled 2021

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ASX gold shares. They're quickly becoming the gift that keeps on giving in 2020.

Much of the success for ASX gold shares like St Barbara Ltd (ASX: SBM) is due to the coronavirus pandemic.

The global and domestic viral outbreaks have spooked investors and crimped economic growth. Faced with the prospect of a removed government safety net and higher unemployment, investors have flocked to gold as a safe-haven asset.

That fear has pushed global gold prices to an all-time high as of Tuesday. Gold was trading at US$1,963 (A$2,745) per ounce which is good news for ASX gold shares.

But does the soaring gold price mean it's too late to join the party in 2020?

Should you buy ASX gold shares?

Let's look at how some of the big Aussie gold miners have performed on the ASX in 2020.

The St Barbara share price is up 28.6% in 2020 and is trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.59.

It's been a similar story for fellow miner Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) this year. The Northern Star share price has rocketed 36.8% higher but trades at a higher P/E ratio of 50.5.

Then there's Saracen Mineral Holdings Limited (ASX: SAR). The Saracen Mineral share price has surged 86.4% and trades at a P/E ratio of 46.2.

This has proven to be the pick of the ASX gold shares so far this year. I do like the Saracen business as it churns out consistent cash flow versus the speculation involved in many other (smaller) ASX companies.

Saracen boasts a market capitalisation of $6.84 billion compared to St Barbara ($2.48 billion) and Northern Star ($11.53 billion).

Saracen is also a 50% owner of the Super Pit gold mine in Kalgoorlie, Western Australia alongside Northern Star.

Given the surge in gold prices over recent months, that November 2019 transaction looks like an absolute steal.

What results can we expect in August?

I'm expecting some strong earnings figures from the ASX gold miners in their August results.

Given the gold price surged in March, I think that leaves a full quarter of potential sales at those higher prices.

That's good news for investors who are hoping for some strong dividends to go with the recent capital gains.

Is it too late to buy ASX gold shares?

The current uncertainty and market volatility could continue for some time, so I don't think it's too late to buy ASX gold shares.

In saying that, I don't think it's wise to start investing with a short-term mindset.

ASX gold shares can have their place in a well-diversified portfolio and as a tactical hedge. However, I think the long-term portfolio fit still needs to make sense before buying.

Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

Man drawing illustration of a big fish eating a little fish representing a takeover or acquisition.
Gold

Guess which buy-rated ASX gold stock is 'a likely takeover target'

Bell Potter thinks that this gold stock could deliver big returns.

Read more »

Gold bars and Australian dollar notes.
Gold

Down 21% in a month, should you buy Newmont shares before they trade ex-dividend?

This gold stock has been battered by the markets.

Read more »

A man slumps crankily over his morning coffee as it pours with rain outside.
Gold

Why is this ASX 300 stock crashing 32% on Monday?

Let's find out why investors are hitting the panic button this morning.

Read more »

A few gold nullets sit on an old-fashioned gold scale representing ASX gold shares
Gold

Are ASX gold shares still worth buying after the US election?

We discuss some expert opinions on where gold is heading to next.

Read more »

Gold nugget with a red arrow going down.
Gold

ASX 200 gold shares dive on US election result

Gold shares are going wild this Thursday.

Read more »

Calculator and gold bars on Australian dollars, symbolising dividends.
Gold

2 of the best ASX gold stocks you could buy now

Bell Potter is bullish on these gold stocks. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A man slumps crankily over his morning coffee as it pours with rain outside.
Gold

Why is this ASX gold share crashing 22% today?

Let's find out why this gold miner is down in the dumps on Tuesday.

Read more »

Gold bars with a share price chart in the background.
Gold

Why ASX 200 gold stocks look 'undervalued' heading into 2025

The ASX Gold Index is up 37% in a year, but gold stocks are still looking undervalued.

Read more »