Is the Tassal share price a potential outperformer?

Is the Tassal Group Ltd (ASX: TGR) share price an undervalued buy as we prepare for the upcoming August earnings season?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Could salmon be the secret to outperforming the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) this year?

The Tassal Group Limited (ASX: TGR) share price is down 10.1% this year. That means the Aussie salmon producer isn't smoking its ASX 200 peers just yet.

But, is now the perfect chance to snap up Tassal shares for a bargain ahead of the company's August earnings?

What does Tassal do?

Tassal is an Australian seafood producer based in Tasmania. It is the largest producer of Tasmanian grown Atlantic salmon across domestic and international markets.

According to Tassal's FY19 Annual Report, 50.3% of its $551.3 million sales revenue came from the domestic retail market. Domestic wholesale contributed $185.5 (33.6%) million while exports comprised $88.5 million (16.1%).

The group's products fall into four categories: fresh deli, canned, smoked and fresh packaged. 

What do the numbers say?

The Tassal share price has fallen 10.1% this year. The company's shares are trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.8 right now.

It's hard to get comparable companies given Tassal's unique operations and cost structure. However, a 10.8 P/E could suggest the Aussie salmon producer is a good value buy.

The company's February half-year earnings were well-received by investors. In fact, the Tassal share price soared 9% higher on the back of the strong result.

Total salmon sales fell 14.4% with a 0.6% increase in domestic salmon sales offsetting a 45.9% decrease in exports.

The company forecast positive market dynamics for both salmon and prawns back in February. That was all pre-coronavirus but I think there are still some good signs.

Aussie supermarket sales have been strong as highlighted by growth in the Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) updates and share price gains.

There is still plenty of uncertainty around agriculture and aquaculture. However, I think we could see steady demand when Tassal delivers its full-year result in August.

Is the Tassal share price good value?

The Aussie food producer is certainly an interesting company. I like that Tassal is continuing to expand with its strategic investment in De Costi Seafoods.

The company is also looking to diversify away from its salmon-producing roots. That strategy is being largely driven through its investment in the higher-yielding prawn aquaculture industry.

I think Tassal's significant investment in smart-farming could also pave the way to long-term operational efficiency and reduced expenditure.

Foolish takeaway

The numbers suggest that the Tassal share price is reasonably valued. However, I'm not sure the Aussie aquaculture company is a cheap buy.

Much of that potential value will depend on its August full-year earnings and outlook.

Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of COLESGROUP DEF SET. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

Person with thumbs down and a red sad face poster covering the face.
Share Fallers

Why Imricor, Ora Banda, Ventia, and Vulcan shares are dropping today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why CSL, Imricor, Jumbo, and Netwealth shares are falling today

These shares are under pressure on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Share Fallers

Guess which ASX 200 stock is crashing 42% on big news

Big bad news is weighing heavily on this stock today.

Read more »

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Share Fallers

Why Beetaloo, Botanix, Cobram Estate, and Origin Energy shares are falling today

These shares are having a poor session on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

Bored man sitting at his desk with his laptop.
Share Fallers

Why Antipa Minerals, Northern Star, Pilbara Minerals, and Synlait Milk shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

a man weraing a suit sits nervously at his laptop computer biting into his clenched hand with nerves, and perhaps fear.
Share Fallers

Why Evolution Mining, G8 Education, Lottery Corp, and Lynas shares are tumbling today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

Two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen at a mine site.
Gold

Down 50% in a year, time to pounce on this beaten-down ASX 200 gold stock?

A leading expert offers his verdict on this beaten-down ASX 200 gold miner.

Read more »

Three guys in shirts and ties give the thumbs down.
Share Fallers

Why CBA, G8 Education, JB Hi-Fi, and Vault Minerals shares are falling today

These shares are falling on Thursday. But why?

Read more »