Coles share price hits record high: Is it too late to invest?

The Coles Group Ltd (ASX:COL) share price has just stormed to a record high. Is it too late to buy the supermarket giant's shares?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price continued its positive run and pushed higher again on Wednesday.

The supermarket giant's shares climbed 1.5% to reach a record high of $18.23.

When the Coles share price hit this level, it meant it was up an impressive 21% since the start of the year.

This compares very favourably to the 10% decline by the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) in 2020.

Why is the Coles share price at a record high?

Investors have been buying Coles shares due to its defensive qualities and its positive performance during the pandemic.

The latter was driven by pandemic-induced panic buying and led to Coles reporting stellar sales growth during the second half.

For example, during the third quarter of FY 2020, Coles delivered a 12.4% increase in total sales to $9,226 million. This was driven by a 13.1% lift in Supermarket sales to $8,230 million, a 7.2% increase in Liquor sales to $740 million, and a 4.3% rise in Express sales to $256 million.

Management also revealed that the first four weeks of the fourth quarter had been positive. It notes that there is early evidence of customers changing their habits by purchasing less convenience and impulse products and moving towards more cooking and baking from scratch.

All in all, this appear to have set Coles up to deliver a very strong sales result in FY 2020.

What about its profits?

Although Coles' sales have been growing very strongly, it remains unclear whether its profits have followed suit. Increased staffing and investments in security, cleaning, and safety glass are all expected to weigh on its margins this year.

Nevertheless, I'm quietly confident it will deliver a solid profit result. I estimate a full year net profit after tax in the region of $984 million, which will be an increase of 5% on FY 2019's result.

From this I expect a fully franked full year dividend of 60 cents per share to be declared. This equates to a 3.3% dividend yield based on the current Coles share price.

Should you invest?

Although its shares are at a record high, I would still be a buyer of them if you plan to invest for the long term.

This is because I believe the company is well-positioned to grow its earnings and dividends at a solid rate over the next decade.

And while there are a number of options in the space, I would choose Coles just ahead of rival Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW).

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of COLESGROUP DEF SET and Woolworths Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Record Highs

Man raising both his arms in the air with a piggy bank on his lap, symbolising a record high.
Bank Shares

CBA shares reach new all time high after 4% surge

CBA shares have done it again.

Read more »

Rising gold share price represented by a green arrow on piles of gold block.
Record Highs

This ASX 200 gold stock just surged to new all-time highs! Here's why

Investors just sent the ASX 200 gold miner rocketing to new record highs. But why?

Read more »

Happy couple doing grocery shopping together.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

The Coles share price just hit a new all-time high

Coles shares are making history today.

Read more »

Multi-ethnic people looking at camera sitting at public place screaming, shouting and feeling overjoyed about their windfall, good news or sports victory.
Share Market News

ASX 200 strikes new record high

ASX mining stocks and debuting Sigma-Chemist Warehouse shares are soaring today.

Read more »

A woman wearing a yellow and white striped top and headphones plays excitedly with her phone.
Bank Shares

$167: Have CBA shares become a 'meme stock'?

CBA shares have hit yet another new record high this Thursday.

Read more »

Man pointing at a blue rising share price graph.
Record Highs

This $23 billion ASX 200 stock just rocketed 11% to new all-time highs! Here's why

Investors in this ASX 200 financial share are bidding up the stock today. But why?

Read more »

A young bank customer wearing a yellow jumper smiles as she checks her bank balance on her phone.
Bank Shares

CBA shares: Another day, another new record high

What's behind CBA's latest push into record territory?

Read more »

Man raising both his arms in the air with a piggy bank on his lap, symbolising a record high.
Record Highs

Big news: The ASX 200 Index just hit a new record high

Here's how it happened.

Read more »