How does the Fortescue share price compare to its peers?

The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price has surged higher in 2020 but will it continue to outperform its peers?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price has rocketed 38.15% higher in 2020 (at the time of writing). On paper, that's a significant outperformance compared to the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO), which has fallen 12.09% lower this year.

But how does the Fortescue share price stack up against its fellow Aussie iron ore miners?

Share investor with chess pieces deciding to buy or sell ASX shares

Image source: Getty Images

How does the relative value look?

The first thing about relative valuation is defining an appropriate peer group. According to the Australian Department of Industry, Fortescue is part of the 'Big 4' producers alongside BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) and Brazil-based Vale.

That means BHP and Rio are probably decent comparisons for the Fortescue share price. I've whipped up a quick table of some key metrics to compare the Aussie iron ore miners right now.

  Fortescue BHP Rio Tinto
Market Capitalisation A$46.09 billion A$172.61 billion A$36.71 billion
Net Assets (Feb 2020) US$12.5 billion US$52.4 billion US$45.2 billion
YTD share price change +38.15% -7.56% -3.3%
P/E ratio 6.45 13.76 14.12
Dividend yield 6.68% p.a. 5.81% p.a. 5.75% p.a.

Data source: Google Finance, Table: Author's own

What separates Fortescue from its peers?

Based on the above table, it's easy to see that Fortescue has a couple of things going for it.

While BHP and Rio shares have slumped in 2020, the Fortescue share price is up 38.15% to $14.95 per share at the time of writing.

That's a remarkable recovery, given it was hammered 36.3% in the March bear market from its January 2020 all-time high.

One big factor was the Aussie iron ore miner's strong quarterly result in April. That announcement was highlighted by record third-quarter iron ore shipments of 42.3 million tonnes, up 10% year on year.

However, Fortescue is still trading at a lower P/E ratio than both BHP and Rio. That could mean the Fortescue share price is a good buy right now, but where is it headed in 2020?

What's the outlook for the Fortescue share price?

I think the technical environment remains quite strong for the Aussie iron ore miners. Global iron ore prices have surged in recent months, which bodes well for the August earnings season.

There's also the potential for an Aussie infrastructure boom to boost demand for steel further in 2020.

There are certainly some potential headwinds looming. Frosty relations with China (a major iron ore importer) and a global economic slowdown are two of those.

The Fortescue share price is also approaching its all-time high of $15.25. That could mean it's a risky buy near the top of its trading range.

Personally, I think for a P/E ratio of 6.4 it could be a steal. However, I'll be waiting until the group's August earnings result before buying in.

Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

A man in a hard hat gives a thumbs up as he holds a clipboard in one hand against a blue sky background.
Resources Shares

ASX mining shares have slumped but long-term outlook is positive

The ASX 200 materials sector has slumped 19% since the war in Iran began.

Read more »

Two workers working with a large copper coil in a factory.
Broker Notes

Should you buy this $8 billion ASX 200 copper stock amid surging global demand?

A leading analyst drills into the outlook for this $8 billion ASX copper miner.

Read more »

Cheerful businessman with a mining hat on the table sitting back with his arms behind his head while looking at his laptop's screen.
Resources Shares

4 of the best ASX mining stocks to buy in the current environment

Bell Potter is bullish on these miners. Let's see why.

Read more »

A man wearing a shirt, tie and hard hat sits in an office and marks dates in his diary.
Resources Shares

Buy, hold, sell: Copper, gold, and lithium ASX stocks

These three shares offer exposure to copper, gold, and lithium.

Read more »

An engineer takes a break on a staircase and looks out over a huge open pit coal mine as the sun rises in the background.
Resources Shares

Where to from here for BHP shares after crashing over 20%?

Brokers are split, but they agree that the next share ride will be volatile.

Read more »

Lion roaring in the wild, symbolising a rising Liontown share price.
Broker Notes

Up 117% in a year, should you still buy Liontown shares now?

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on the soaring Liontown share price.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

Which mining minnow is up more than 100% after a former Fortescue exec joined the board?

A top shelf team has joined, and bought into, this junior company.

Read more »

Investor looking at falling ASX share price on computer screen.
Resources Shares

BHP shares crash 21% in March so far: Time to sell up?

The mining giant's shares started the month at an all-time high.

Read more »