Is Santos the best ASX 200 energy share?

Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) had a $1.39 billion acquisition as the oil price fell off a cliff. The company's actions have made it the best ASX 200 energy share.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Last year, S&P/ASX 200 Index (INDEXASX: XJO) energy share Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) announced an agreement to purchase the Australian west LNG assets of ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP). For US$1.39 billion, the company would acquire an estimated ~16% earnings per share accretion in 2020.

But then everything went wrong. Santos has been buffeted on both sides during the past 2 months through no fault of its own. The pandemic has effectively killed off demand while the Saudi-Russian oil price war has created a supply glut. A perfect storm that would have killed off a less well-managed company.

Nevertheless, Santos is well placed to weather this storm. It has used the current crisis to drive a transformative action plan. 

A disciplined ASX energy share

On 23 March 2020, Santos announced a $550 million (38%) reduction in 2020 capital expenditure. Santos also announced a $50 million reduction in 2020 cash production costs and is targeting a free cash break-even point of US$25/bbl. For a large scale capital intensive company, this is an outstanding effort. 

Even with the strains of coronavirus, Santos has produced the highest Cooper Basin gas production in 9 years. The company also generated $265 million of free cash flow in Q1 of CY2020. 

Strong balance sheet

The company is carrying more than US$3 billion in liquidity. This comprises US$1.15 billion in cold hard cash and US$1.9 billion in committed yet undrawn debt facilities.

In a wise tactical move, Santos unloaded a 25% stake in the Darwin LNG facility and the Bayu-Undan gas field to South Korean energy group SK E&S. It also has a letter of intent signed to sell-down a 12.5% interest in Barossa to JERA. This will allow Santos to pay for the ConocoPhillips acquisition in cash and $750 million 2-year debt.

Santos has also managed to sustain consistent pricing amid these turbulent times. The company has ~70% of volumes tied to prices via fixed price domestic gas sales, and oil hedged at an average floor price of US$39/bbl.

Add to this Santos has full control over current capital expenditure decisions with all major capital projects yet to take final investment decisions.

Foolish takeaway

The oil and gas sectors remain the blood of nations. For this reason, they remain the main industry globally to be protected by private armies. Oil and gas are likely to stay that way for the foreseeable future until genuine scalable alternatives emerge in the energy markets.

While the oil price is low now, it will rise again over time. Santos is, in my view, the best-placed ASX energy share to emerge from the pandemic structurally stronger than it was in January 2020. Its share price remains 41% down year-to-date.

Motley Fool contributor Daryl Mather has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

Following a key approval, one broker tips 80% upside for this ASX rare earths stock

There could be massive gains to be made.

Read more »

Two workers on site discuss the next stage of this civil engineering job.
Resources Shares

This ASX mining stock just jumped. Here's what's driving the move today

Nickel Industries shares are in the green today.

Read more »

A business person directs a pointed finger upwards on a rising arrow on a bar graph.
Broker Notes

Why this buy-rated ASX mining share is tipped to surge 112%

A leading broker expects this ASX mining share to more than double investors’ money in a year.

Read more »

A woman in high visibility clothing and a hard hat stands in front of an aluminium smelter.
Resources Shares

Rio Tinto just locked in a major deal. Here's why investors are buying today

Rio Tinto shares rise after announcing a major aluminium deal.

Read more »

Three miners wearing hard hats and high vis vests take a break on site at a mine as the Fortescue share price drops in FY22
Resources Shares

Are these 3 ASX 200 mining shares a buy, hold, or sell?

What changes have the experts made to their ratings and price targets since the war in Iran began?

Read more »

A man in a hard hat gives a thumbs up as he holds a clipboard in one hand against a blue sky background.
Resources Shares

ASX mining shares have slumped but long-term outlook is positive

The ASX 200 materials sector has slumped 19% since the war in Iran began.

Read more »

Two workers working with a large copper coil in a factory.
Broker Notes

Should you buy this $8 billion ASX 200 copper stock amid surging global demand?

A leading analyst drills into the outlook for this $8 billion ASX copper miner.

Read more »

Cheerful businessman with a mining hat on the table sitting back with his arms behind his head while looking at his laptop's screen.
Resources Shares

4 of the best ASX mining stocks to buy in the current environment

Bell Potter is bullish on these miners. Let's see why.

Read more »