Computershare share price drops lower on guidance downgrade

The Computershare Limited (ASX:CPU) share price is trading lower on Wednesday after downgrading its guidance for FY 2020 and warning about FY 2021…

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Computershare Limited (ASX: CPU) share price has come under pressure on Wednesday morning.

At the time of writing the transfer agency and share registration company's shares are down 1% to $11.70.

Why is the Computershare share price tumbling lower?

Investors have been selling the company's shares after it downgraded its earnings guidance for FY 2020 and warned about FY 2021.

Last month when Computershare released its half year results, it reiterated guidance for management earnings per share to be down 5% in FY 2020. This guidance assumed margin income revenue down 8% to 10% year on year.

However, although the company anticipated interest rate cuts in both Australia and the UK during the second half, it was caught off guard by 50 basis point cuts in the United States and Canada.

Furthermore, interest rate expectations for the remainder of FY 2020 have fallen in the markets where the company has material balances.

After applying today's yield curves in these markets, the company now expects margin income revenue for FY 2020 to be around $185 million. This is a year on year decline of 24.5% on FY 2019's margin income revenue of $245 million.

As a result, the company has downgraded its FY 2020 management earnings per share to be around 15% lower year on year.

What about FY 2021?

Whilst this downgrade was disappointing, unfortunately management expects things to get worse in FY 2021.

It notes that its term deposits are providing some insulation from the impact of lower interest rates in FY 2020.

However, in FY 2021, these term deposits are due to roll off and the annualised effect of lower interest rates will be fully felt. As a result, it expects margin income revenue to fall to be around $115 million in FY 2021.

This will be a decline of almost 38% from the $185 million it expects to record in FY 2020 and is likely to weigh heavily on its management earnings per share.

Stuart Irving, CEO said, "Trading results for the group were strong in January and February with Management EPS growth of 8% versus the PCP. This gave us confidence in achieving the guidance for the year which we gave in February. However, we are now being impacted by recent interest rate changes and are therefore revising earnings guidance for FY20. We remain focused on strengthening our core business lines and continuing to deliver great outcomes for customers in challenging conditions."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Healthcare Shares

This ASX All Ords share is diving 18% as inflation pain draws blood

This healthcare company delivered a trading update at its annual general meeting today.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Healius, Opthea, Peninsula Energy, and Wildcat shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough finish to the week. But why?

Read more »

A worried man holds his head and look at his computer.
Share Fallers

Why Graincorp, Light & Wonder, Orica, and Wildcat shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough time on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

A man with his back to the camera holds his hands to his head as he looks to a jagged red line trending sharply downward representing the ASX tech share sell-off today
Share Fallers

Why Insignia, Light & Wonder, Mineral Resources, and Nuix shares are sinking today

These shares are having a difficult time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Endeavour, Global Data Centre, OFX, and Paladin Energy shares are dropping today

Why are these shares under pressure today? Let's find out.

Read more »

A man sits wide-eyed at a desk with a laptop open and holds one hand to his forehead with an extremely worried look on his face as he reads news of the Bitcoin price falling today on his mobile phone
Share Fallers

ASX 200 uranium stock alert: Paladin Energy shares just crashed 29%!

Paladin Energy shares are under intense selling pressure on Tuesday.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Champion Iron, Endeavour, Infomedia, and Resolute Mining shares are sinking today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Arcadium Lithium, Block, Jumbo, and Mineral Resources shares

These shares are ending the week in the red. Why are investors selling them?

Read more »