Is the coronavirus outbreak an opportunity to buy sold-off ASX shares?

Here are 2 ASX stocks that have been sold-off on heightened coronavirus fears and could potentially be long-term buying opportunity.  

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak has thrown global markets into turmoil. Amid the increasing volatility, investors have been quick to panic sell their stocks and take profits. Apart from the tragic toll on human life, global markets have been sold off on growing investor concerns on how the coronavirus outbreak could impact global growth. Reuters reports that, as the epicentre, China's growth is expected to slow to 4.5% for the first quarter of 2020, which is its lowest pace of growth since the GFC.

Despite the doom and gloom, selling on the back of the coronavirus outbreak could present great long-term buying opportunities. A recent article in the Australian Financial Review shed some light on the ripple effect of coronavirus on global growth. In the medium-term, analysts have advocated that disease outbreaks have a negligible impact on economic activity.

Here are 2 ASX stocks that have been sold-off on heightened coronavirus fears and could potentially be long-term buying opportunity.  

Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE)

Treasury Wine relies heavily on demand from the Chinese wine market, generating more than 40% of its total profits from Asia. As a result, the company's share price has tanked more than 36% since the end of January.

Yesterday, the Australian winemaker downgraded its full-year profit guidance for the second time in a month. Treasury cited in a market release that "consumption across discretionary categories in China has been significantly impacted through February and this impact on consumption is expected to be sustained to at least through March."

Despite delivering a strong performance into the Chinese New Year, Treasury has seen a marked decline in consumption in China and management are yet to fully determine the complete financial impact of the coronavirus outbreak.

Corporate Travel Management Ltd (ASX: CTD)

Corporate Travel has also been impacted by the coronavirus outbreak, with the company's share price down more than 26% since the end of January.

The travel specialist highlighted the negative impact of coronavirus on its performance by downgrading its guidance for the second half. Corporate Travel revised its guidance for underlying FY20 earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation to be between $125 to $150 million, down 16% from the prior corresponding period.

The forecasted downgrade in earnings is the result of numerous data points indicating that coronavirus will have a material impact on travel demand for the next few months. Despite this, analysts are optimistic that the coronavirus outbreak will have a one-off impact on Corporate Travel.

Should you buy?

In my opinion, selling on the coronavirus outbreak could present investors with great long-term buying opportunities. However, this does not meant investors should bust out of the blocks and buy up everything that is oversold.  The analogy of 'catching a falling knife' applies to such situations.

The World Health Organization remains cautious on the future of the coronavirus outbreak. I think a prudent strategy would be to keep these stocks on a watchlist and wait for the situation to resolve and let positive price action dictate before making an investment decision.

Motley Fool contributor Nikhil Gangaram has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Corporate Travel Management Limited and Treasury Wine Estates Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Woman in celebratory fist move looking at phone
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A young man pointing up looking amazed, indicating a surging share price movement for an ASX company
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 20% to almost 30%

Analysts are tipping these shares to deliver big returns over the next 12 months.

Read more »

A young woman carefully adds a rock to the top of a pile of balanced river rocks.
Share Market News

Here's how the ASX 200 market sectors stacked up last week

Energy and utilities stocks led the way last week with 4%-plus gains.

Read more »

Animation of a man measuring a percentage sign, symbolising rising interest rates.
Share Market News

Here's when Westpac says the RBA will now cut interest rates

Will borrowers need to wait until the middle of next year for relief? Let's find out.

Read more »

Boys making faces and flexing.
Opinions

3 ASX 300 shares to buy and hold for the long run

I believe these stocks have loads of growth potential.

Read more »

Young girl drinking milk showing off muscles.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a great end to the trading week for ASX investors today.

Read more »

Hands reaching high for a trophy with a sunset in the background.
Record Highs

The ASX 200 Index is on its way to another all-time high today. Here's why

These blue chip stocks are driving the index towards a new record today...

Read more »

Group of friends trading stocks on their phones. symbolising the 3 most traded ASX 200 shares today
Share Market News

3 ASX mining stocks topping the most-traded list in October

Chinese stimulus news and company announcements likely contributed to the higher trading activity.

Read more »