Why the IAG share price could slump lower today

The Insurance Australia Group (ASX: IAG) share price is on watch after slashing its dividend and FY 2020 insurance margin guidance.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Insurance Australia Group Ltd (ASX: IAG) share price is on watch today after its half-year profit slumped 43.4% lower.

What did IAG report today?

The IAG share price will be one to watch after its net profit after tax for the period ended 31 December 2019 fell 43.4% to $283 million.

The group's Gross Written Premium (GWP) climbed 1.4% higher to $5,962 million while insurance profit edged 1.0% higher to $501 million.

This figure was in line with IAG's full-year guidance of "low single-digit" growth but well down on the 4.1% growth seen in 1H FY 2019. On a like for like basis, IAG's GWP growth came in at ~2.5% for the half-year. There was 0% growth from its Australian operations but 6.3% from its New Zealand segment.

The Aussie insurer's reported insurance margin slumped 20 basis points (bps) lower to 13.5% but climbed 70 bps on an underlying basis to 16.9%. 

One factor that could put the IAG share price under pressure was a further downgrade of its FY 2020 margin guidance range. The Aussie insurer lowered its guidance range to between 14.5% and 16.5% on 24 January due to recent hailstorms. However, subsequent heavy rain events have seen the insurer lower this range by a further 200 bps to between 12.5% and 14.5% today.

IAG is now estimating total net perils of $850 million due to a combination of bushfires, hailstorms and heavy rain.

Despite the fall in statutory net profit, IAG reported a 19.3% increase in diluted cash earnings per share (EPS) to 16.0 cents.

The Aussie insurer is also forecasting an FY 2020 loss of up to $50 million (pre-tax) from its fee income.

The IAG share price is also under the microscope after slashing its dividend by 16.7% to 10.0 cents per share.

On the regulatory capital side, IAG's common equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio fell 3 bps to 1.15 times.

Foolish takeaway

It's been a busy start to the year for Australia's largest general insurer, with natural disaster events now causing two downgrades to its insurance margin.

The IAG share price could slump lower today following the FY 2020 guidance downgrade and 16.7% dividend cut.

Motley Fool contributor Kenneth Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Insurance Australia Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

a man weraing a suit sits nervously at his laptop computer biting into his clenched hand with nerves, and perhaps fear.
Share Fallers

Why Catapult, DroneShield, Lendlease, and Weebit Nano shares are sinking today

These shares are starting the year in the red. What's happening?

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Share Fallers

These were the 5 worst performing ASX 200 shares in 2024

Why did investors sell off these shares last year? Let's find out.

Read more »

a business man in a suit holds his hand over his eyes as he bows his head in a defeated post suggesting regret and remorse.
Share Fallers

Why AVITA Medical, Life360, Newmont, and St Barbara shares are falling today

These shares are ending the year in the red. Let's see what is going on.

Read more »

a man weraing a suit sits nervously at his laptop computer biting into his clenched hand with nerves, and perhaps fear.
Share Fallers

Why APA Group, Block, Empire Energy, and Transurban shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Share Fallers

Why Cettire, Digico, KMD, and WiseTech shares are falling today

These shares are out of form on Friday. But why?

Read more »

Three guys in shirts and ties give the thumbs down.
Share Fallers

Why Charter Hall Retail, DroneShield, FBR, and St Barbara shares are tumbling today

These shares are having a tough time on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why EML, GQG Partners, IGO, and Integrated Research shares are sinking today

In afternoon trade, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to record a strong gain. At the time of…

Read more »

A woman with short brown hair and wearing a yellow top looks at the camera with a puzzled and shocked look on her face as the Westpac share price goes down for no reason today
Share Fallers

Why Bellevue Gold, Mesoblast, Pilbara Minerals, and Wesfarmers shares are dropping today

These shares are ending the week deep in the red. What's going on?

Read more »