Why the IAG share price could slump lower today

The Insurance Australia Group (ASX: IAG) share price is on watch after slashing its dividend and FY 2020 insurance margin guidance.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Insurance Australia Group Ltd (ASX: IAG) share price is on watch today after its half-year profit slumped 43.4% lower.

What did IAG report today?

The IAG share price will be one to watch after its net profit after tax for the period ended 31 December 2019 fell 43.4% to $283 million.

The group's Gross Written Premium (GWP) climbed 1.4% higher to $5,962 million while insurance profit edged 1.0% higher to $501 million.

This figure was in line with IAG's full-year guidance of "low single-digit" growth but well down on the 4.1% growth seen in 1H FY 2019. On a like for like basis, IAG's GWP growth came in at ~2.5% for the half-year. There was 0% growth from its Australian operations but 6.3% from its New Zealand segment.

The Aussie insurer's reported insurance margin slumped 20 basis points (bps) lower to 13.5% but climbed 70 bps on an underlying basis to 16.9%. 

One factor that could put the IAG share price under pressure was a further downgrade of its FY 2020 margin guidance range. The Aussie insurer lowered its guidance range to between 14.5% and 16.5% on 24 January due to recent hailstorms. However, subsequent heavy rain events have seen the insurer lower this range by a further 200 bps to between 12.5% and 14.5% today.

IAG is now estimating total net perils of $850 million due to a combination of bushfires, hailstorms and heavy rain.

Despite the fall in statutory net profit, IAG reported a 19.3% increase in diluted cash earnings per share (EPS) to 16.0 cents.

The Aussie insurer is also forecasting an FY 2020 loss of up to $50 million (pre-tax) from its fee income.

The IAG share price is also under the microscope after slashing its dividend by 16.7% to 10.0 cents per share.

On the regulatory capital side, IAG's common equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio fell 3 bps to 1.15 times.

Foolish takeaway

It's been a busy start to the year for Australia's largest general insurer, with natural disaster events now causing two downgrades to its insurance margin.

The IAG share price could slump lower today following the FY 2020 guidance downgrade and 16.7% dividend cut.

Motley Fool contributor Kenneth Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Insurance Australia Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

A man in a business suit looks at a gold phone with his head in an exploding cloud of gold dust.
Gold

Newmont stock has plunged 17% in March. Here's why

This war has had an unusual effect on the price of gold.

Read more »

a woman looks exhausted and overwhelmed as she slumps forward into her hand while looking at her laptop screen.
Share Fallers

Why Regis Resources, Strike Energy, Telix, and Virgin Australia shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why CAR Group, Immutep, Northern Star, and Syrah Resources shares are sinking today

These shares are ending the week in the red? Here's why.

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why EOS, GQG, Liontown, and Temple & Webster shares are tumbling today

These shares are struggling on Thursday. Let's find out what's going on.

Read more »

Person with thumbs down and a red sad face poster covering the face.
Share Fallers

Why Breville, Forrestania Resources, GQG Partners, and WiseTech shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Share Fallers

Why Coles, Pantoro Gold, Seek, and Woodside shares are falling today

These shares are under pressure on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

A young woman with long brown hair opens her green eyes and mouth widely, expressing surprise.
Financial Shares

Why did the Helia share price just crash 19%?

The ASX 200 is in recovery mode today, so why are Helia shares tanking?

Read more »

A man stands before a chalk board with line drawings of paper planes with various curling flight trajectories and paths.
Travel Shares

Nosedive: Why did Qantas shares crash 9% today?

Qantas stock is losing altitude fast this Monday.

Read more »