Broker lists 5 reasons why the Appen share price can rise further in 2020

The Appen Ltd (ASX: APX) share price may have surged ahead of the market over the past year, but there's still room for the stock to advance, at least that's according to one broker.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Appen Ltd (ASX: APX) share price may have surged ahead of the market over the past year, but there's still room for the stock to advance, at least that's according to one broker.

The machine learning and artificial intelligence company raced ahead by 74% in the last 12 months compared to a 21% jump in the S&P/ASX 200 (Index:^AXJO) (ASX:XJO) index.

Top pick among WAAAX

Don't be worried about the stock looking overstretched. Bell Potter rates the stock as its top choice in the tech sector over other high-flyers that make up the WAAAX cohort.

The name is made up of the first letter of high-flying tech stocks. These include WiseTech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC), Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT), Appen, Altium Limited (ASX: ALU) and Xero Limited (ASX: XRO).

Bell Potter spells out five reasons why the Appen share price can move higher this year.

February catalysts

The first will become apparent next month when the reporting season kicks off. Bell Potter believes management will deliver a result that shows that the 2019 financial year was a very good one for the company.

Secondly, Appen is tipped to unveil 2020 guidance that supports consensus expectations of a 30% increase in its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA).

Figure Eight to deliver a "10"

The company's weak link, being the Figure Eight business is also tipped to deliver a turnaround performance, according to Bell Potter.

"Figure Eight had a disappointing start in 2Q2019 but we expect improvement in 2H2019 and further improvement in 2020," said the broker.

China and cash

The fourth reason to buy the stock is China. That market currently contributes less than 5% of group revenue, but Bell Potter believes China will be a much bigger growth driver for Appen in 2020 and beyond.

Lastly, Appen holds more than enough cash to fund growth. This is despite the fact that management is forecast to pay an earn-out of between $35 million and $60 million relating to the acquisition of Figure Eight.

The payment is due in the first half of this calendar year but Bell Potter estimates that Appen will still have a strong cash position after the payment.

Top tech performer

Bell Potter reiterated its "buy" recommendation on Appen with a 12-month price target of $28.75 a share.

In cast you are wondering, the Appen share price isn't the best performing WAAAX stock over the past year. That crown goes to Afterpay with its 133% share price jump.

Xero is next on the leader board with a 103% increase followed by Appen.

Brendon Lau has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Altium, Appen Ltd, WiseTech Global, and Xero. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Technology Shares

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Technology Shares

Why is this ASX fintech stock suddenly crashing 22%?

This stock is having a very bad start to the week. What's going on?

Read more »

Three businesspeople leap high with the CBD in the background.
Technology Shares

Guess which ASX All Ords stock is leaping 12% today

Why is this stock having a strong start to the week? Let's find out.

Read more »

A young man working from home sits at his home office desk holding a cup of tea and looking out the window
Technology Shares

Pro Medicus shares higher on $30m contract win

Good news is lifting this high-flying stock on Monday. Let's dig deeper into it.

Read more »

Robot humanoid using artificial intelligence on a laptop.
Technology Shares

The best ASX AI stock to invest $500 in right now

The team at Morgans thinks this is one of the best ways to invest in AI on the ASX.

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with his eyes closed and a pained expression on his face as he clasps a laptop computer in front of him, seemingly learning of bad news or a poor investment.
Technology Shares

This ASX All Ords stock just crashed 25%! Here's why

Let's find out what is making investors rush to the exits on Thursday.

Read more »

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
Technology Shares

What's going on with Xero shares today?

The tech stock has made an announcement this morning relating to its CEO.

Read more »

Three analysts look at tech options on a wall screen
Technology Shares

Why did this small-cap ASX tech stock just explode 39%?

Investors are piling into the ASX tech stock on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

A woman wearing yellow smiles and drinks coffee while on laptop.
Technology Shares

Investors should put these 2 top ASX tech shares on the watchlist

These tech companies have enormous potential, in my view.

Read more »