Why Graincorp's share price jumped when earnings crashed

A big crash in full-year earnings didn't stop the Graincorp Ltd (ASX: GNC) share price from jumping higher this morning. Here's why…

a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

A big crash in full-year earnings didn't stop the Graincorp Ltd (ASX: GNC) share price from jumping higher this morning.

Shares in the grain handler added 1.2% to $7.52 when the S&P/ASX 200 (Index:^AXJO) (ASX:XJO) index is struggling to hold at breakeven.

Other agriculture-related companies are turning in mixed performances as well. The Incitec Pivot Ltd (ASX: IPL) share price gained 0.9% to $3.52 while the Nufarm Limited (ASX: NUF) share price dropped 0.7% to $6.16 at the time of writing.

Big earnings loss due to drought

Coming back to Graincorp, management reported an underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation of $69 million for the financial year ended September 30, 2019. This represents a 74% drop from FY18.

Its bottom line also fell off a cliff. Underlying net profit turned into a loss of $82 million in FY19 compared to a positive $71 million figure in the previous year.

It's a good thing the news didn't come as a surprise. Management provided guidance previously and that explains why the Graincorp share price is sitting at the bottom of its 52-week trading range.

Value investors harvesting stock

The lack of more bad news in today's results is prompting bargain hunters to jump back into the stock after its 17% plunge since the start of this calendar year.

But that's not the only thing that's luring back buyers. Management said it was pushing ahead with the spin-off of its Malt business into a separate ASX-listed entity via a scheme of arrangement, which will be sent to shareholders in 2020.

Demergers are usually a good way to excite investors. We saw a strong share price response with Iluka Resources Limited (ASX: ILU) when it announced a similar move for its iron ore royalty business.

Another success story is the Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) and Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) separation.

Demerger to increase shareholder value

Graincorp's Malt business is a bright spot for the group. Malt sales increased in the second half thanks to demand from craft beer and distilling customers.

"GrainCorp progressed its malt capacity expansion projects in Scotland, including an upgrade of Bairds Malt's Arbroath facility and construction of a new malting plant at Inverness," said the company in an ASX statement.

"The expansion will bring Bairds' total annual capacity to over 300,000 tonnes."

Companies usually divest troublesome parts of their business. Graincorp is doing it the other way around. Regardless, management believes this will be good for shareholders and will unlock significant value.

Graincorp gave a bullish outlook for the Malt division but noted that weather forecasts are predicting below average winter crop yields for 2020. Good thing its crop protection insurance will kick in.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of Nufarm Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Wesfarmers Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Gainers

Person pointing at an increasing blue graph which represents a rising share price.
Share Gainers

Why Liberty, Lovisa, Novonix, and SG Fleet shares are storming higher today

These shares are starting the week strongly. But why? Let's find out.

Read more »

Young girl drinking milk showing off muscles.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a great end to the trading week for ASX investors today.

Read more »

A man sits thoughtfully on the couch with a laptop on his lap.
Share Gainers

3 ASX 200 stocks smashing the benchmark this week

These three ASX 200 stocks are leading the charge this week. Here’s how.

Read more »

A young woman holding her phone smiles broadly and looks excited, after receiving good news.
Share Gainers

Why A2 Milk, EOS, GQG, and Mineral Resources shares are racing higher today

These shares are ending the week strongly. But why?

Read more »

A man wearing a red jacket and mountain hiking clothes stands at the top of a mountain peak and looks out over countless mountain ranges.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was another disappointing day for ASX investors this Thursday.

Read more »

two men smiling with a laptop in front of them, symbolising a rising share price.
Share Gainers

Why Pinnacle, PWR, Race Oncology, and Vulcan shares are flying today

These shares are having a good session on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

A beautiful woman holds up one finger with one hand and has her hand on her waist with the other as she smiles widely as though she is very pleased about something.
Share Gainers

Why Boss Energy, Emeco, Mineral Resources, and Plenti shares are pushing higher today

These shares are having a good time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

Three small children reach up to hold a toy rocket high above their heads in a green field with a blue sky above them.
Share Gainers

3 ASX 300 shares going gangbusters on Wednesday

Investors are bidding up these three ASX 300 shares today. But why?

Read more »