Why the Kogan share price can beat weak Aussie retail data

The Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price continues to climb higher even as weak retail sales data hurts its competitors' share prices.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price has been surging higher in 2019 towards its current $7.11 per share level.

Making the company's success even more impressive has been the difficult environment facing Aussie retail in the last 12 to 18 months.

Weak Aussie retail data hit competitor JB Hi-Fi Ltd (ASX: JBH) hard in yesterday's trade in a mixed day for the ASX 200.

The JB Hi-Fi share price fell 2.18% yesterday on the weak retail news but the Kogan share price remained immune from the news.

So, what's the difference between the two and why can Kogan weather the retail storm in 2020?

Why the Kogan share price is still going strong

Part of Kogan's success can be put down to its online-only business model which cuts costs and reduces the reliance for foot traffic.

According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, seasonally adjusted sales rose by 0.2% while volumes were flat.

I can't see any real reason why JB Hi-Fi shares would be hit harder than the likes of Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd (ASX: HVN). I'd see this as more of a chance for the market to readjust the JB Hi-Fi share price from its lofty levels.

Despite the bleak retail news, however, the Kogan share price continued to climb higher on Monday and is up 107.06% this year.

Kogan's diversification certainly helps in times like these as it has branched out into travel, consumer credit, insurance and many other fields.

Kogan looks to be modelling itself on an Amazon.com Inc-type conglomerate play and the Kogan share price proving its success thus far.

Is there still time to buy?

While Kogan shares have been surging higher this year, they are quite expensive at the moment. The Kogan share price is sitting at $7.11 per share which is 39x the company's earnings.

Given the company's 52-week high is $7.50 per share, I think I'd be sitting tight until February rather than jumping on the momentum train right now.

Motley Fool contributor Kenneth Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Kogan.com ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.
Retail Shares

Up 90%, this ASX 200 retail stock's CEO just sold $500,000 worth

What could this mean?

Read more »

View of a mine site.
Retail Shares

Why buying Wesfarmers shares could provide unique lithium exposure

In the last 12 months, the stock has rallied more than 28%.

Read more »

Photo of two women shopping.
Retail Shares

Why one leading fund manager thinks this fallen ASX All Ords stock is a turnaround buy

This is a bargain stock, according to a leading fundie.

Read more »

a woman wearing fashionable clothes and jewellery checks her phone with a satisfied smile on her face in a luxurous home setting.
Retail Shares

Guess which ASX 200 stock just extended its $580 million buyback

Could this draw investor attention to the stock?

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Retail Shares

Own Wesfarmers shares? Here's why Bunnings' monster profits are raising eyebrows

Bunnings is the jewel in Wesfarmers’ crown. Some people are questioning whether it should sparkle as much as it does.

Read more »

Woman checking out new laptops.
Retail Shares

Harvey Norman shares see red on ASIC case update

This could put the saga to rest.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Retail Shares

Why this investing expert is cashing in some gains on Wesfarmers shares

The ASX 200 stock is up more than 27% over the past 12 months.

Read more »

A woman looks at a tablet device while in the aisles of a hardware style store amid stacked boxes on shelves representing Bunnings and the Wesfarmers share price
Retail Shares

Why today is a big day for Wesfarmers shares

Why is everyone talking about Wesfarmers shares today?

Read more »