Is the Mirvac share price in the buy zone?

Could the Mirvac Group (ASX: MGR) share price be a great value buy amongst the Australian real estate investment trusts?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Mirvac Group (ASX: MGR) share price has climbed 38.18% in 2019 thanks largely to strong earnings and a property market rebound.

However, is it the best Australian real estate investment trust (REIT) on the market right now?

a woman

Why 2019 has been good for Mirvac

One tailwind for the Mirvac share price has been the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest cuts in 2019.

The RBA has slashed rates by 75 basis points (bps) to 0.75% and is tipped to cut them even further before year-end.

Cheap credit has induced borrowers to increase their lending and spend more on the already-hot Aussie property market.

For a residential developer like Mirvac, I'd expect these rates cuts to flow through to earnings in February next year.

The Mirvac share price climbed higher after its latest result delivered a fourth-consecutive $1 billion net profit.

Operating profit climbed 4% year-on-year (YoY) to $631 million with a return on capital invested (ROIC) of 10.1% for the year.

The rebounding property market helped boost Mirvac's investment portfolio to $516 million with further growth prospects.

Are Mirvac shares good value?

Mirvac shares are currently trading at $3.14 per share having climbed 42.73% since the start of January.

Mirvac's 3.69% per annum distribution yield is quite competitive even amongst the high-yielding REIT sector.

For context, Scentre Group (ASX: SCG) is netting 4.91% per annum and Charter Hall Long WALE REIT (ASX: CLW) a tidy 4.71%. However, I think Mirvac's strong full-year result and potential residential growth is worth the lower yield.

The Mirvac share price has also climbed higher than Scentre Group or Charter Hall Long WALE REIT in 2019.

There are a number of compelling A-REIT buys at the moment, but I think Mirvac shares appear to be good value.

Foolish takeaway

The Mirvac share price has bucked the trend of REITs failing to deliver strong capital growth in recent years.

With the RBA set to lower rates further, Mirvac's significant residential property exposure could be a great buy in 2020.

Motley Fool contributor Kenneth Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Scentre Group. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on REITs

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
REITs

Charter Hall Group secures $1.2bn property mandate from institutional client

Charter Hall Group has secured a $1.2 billion property mandate, strengthening its leadership in funds management.

Read more »

Magnifying glass in front of an open newspaper with paper houses.
REITs

A 7.4% yield but down 25%! Is it time for me to buy this ASX REIT to earn passive income?

This business now offers a distribution yield well over 7%.

Read more »

a man sits on a ridge high above a large city full of high rise buildings as though he is thinking, contemplating the vista below.
REITs

2 ASX REITs I'd buy today for passive income

Commercial property is a great place to look for investment income and stability.

Read more »

A smiling woman puts fuel into her car at a petrol pump.
REITs

An exciting REIT for real estate investors to add to their watchlist

Have you heard of this ASX REIT?

Read more »

Two kids are selling big ideas from a lemonade stand on the side of the road for cheap!
REITs

Can a massive share buyback save the Dexus stock price?

Dexus investors have been waiting a long time.

Read more »

A mature aged man with grey hair and glasses holds a fan of Australian hundred dollar bills up against his mouth and looks skywards with his eyes as though he is thinking what he might do with the cash.
Dividend Investing

I'd buy 7,844 shares of this ASX stock to aim for $2,000 annual passive income

This business is providing very pleasing distributions…

Read more »

REIT written with images circling it and a man touching it.
Earnings Results

Income investors are watching these 3 ASX REIT results. Here's the details

Arena leads the way as the other 2 ASX REITs play defence.

Read more »

A service station attendant crosses his arms and smiles towards the camera with a backdrop of petrol bowsers and a drive-through facility.
REITs

Broker tips 16% upside for this ASX REIT

This REIT, which owns service stations and retail assets, could be positioned for growth in 2026.

Read more »