The Blackmores share price has been crushed in 2019: Is it time to buy?

The Blackmores Limited (ASX:BKL) share price has crashed 42% lower in 2019. Is this a buying opportunity?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The market may be finishing the week on a high, but the same cannot be said for the Blackmores Limited (ASX: BKL) share price.

In afternoon trade the health supplements company's shares are down 1% to $72.27. This means the company's shares have now lost over 42% of their value since the start of the year.

Why has the Blackmores share price been crushed in 2019?

Investors have been hitting the sell button ever since the company released its half year results back in February.

Due largely to weakness in the key China market, Blackmores fell well short of the market's expectations for both its half year result and its full year guidance.

Unfortunately, its performance in China has continued to deteriorate since then, leading to the company's full year results also disappointing the market.

In FY 2019 sales in the China segment (key export accounts and in-country sales) were down 15% to $122 million due partly to changes in e-commerce laws. Whereas segment EBIT dropped by a massive 40% due to increased investments in its brand and the expansion of its in-country capabilities.

This ultimately led to Blackmores reporting a 1% increase in full year revenue to $610 million and a 24% decline in full year net profit after tax to $53 million.

It gets worse. Management has warned that trading conditions in China are expected to remain weak during the first half of the new financial year. As a result, it expects its first half result to be down on the first half of FY 2019.

Should you buy the dip?

With earnings per share coming in at 309.2 cents in FY 2019, Blackmores' shares are currently changing hands at 23x trailing earnings.

Whilst this is starting to look a lot more attractive than it was a few months ago, I do have concerns that the China issues could drag its earnings per share even lower in FY 2020. This could potentially make Blackmores a value trap today.

In light of this, I would suggest investors wait for its half year results before considering an investment.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Blackmores Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of A2 Milk. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Freedom Foods Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Healthcare Shares

This ASX All Ords share is diving 18% as inflation pain draws blood

This healthcare company delivered a trading update at its annual general meeting today.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Healius, Opthea, Peninsula Energy, and Wildcat shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough finish to the week. But why?

Read more »

A worried man holds his head and look at his computer.
Share Fallers

Why Graincorp, Light & Wonder, Orica, and Wildcat shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough time on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

A man with his back to the camera holds his hands to his head as he looks to a jagged red line trending sharply downward representing the ASX tech share sell-off today
Share Fallers

Why Insignia, Light & Wonder, Mineral Resources, and Nuix shares are sinking today

These shares are having a difficult time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Endeavour, Global Data Centre, OFX, and Paladin Energy shares are dropping today

Why are these shares under pressure today? Let's find out.

Read more »

A man sits wide-eyed at a desk with a laptop open and holds one hand to his forehead with an extremely worried look on his face as he reads news of the Bitcoin price falling today on his mobile phone
Share Fallers

ASX 200 uranium stock alert: Paladin Energy shares just crashed 29%!

Paladin Energy shares are under intense selling pressure on Tuesday.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Champion Iron, Endeavour, Infomedia, and Resolute Mining shares are sinking today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Arcadium Lithium, Block, Jumbo, and Mineral Resources shares

These shares are ending the week in the red. Why are investors selling them?

Read more »