The Blackmores share price has been crushed in 2019: Is it time to buy?

The Blackmores Limited (ASX:BKL) share price has crashed 42% lower in 2019. Is this a buying opportunity?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The market may be finishing the week on a high, but the same cannot be said for the Blackmores Limited (ASX: BKL) share price.

In afternoon trade the health supplements company's shares are down 1% to $72.27. This means the company's shares have now lost over 42% of their value since the start of the year.

Why has the Blackmores share price been crushed in 2019?

Investors have been hitting the sell button ever since the company released its half year results back in February.

Due largely to weakness in the key China market, Blackmores fell well short of the market's expectations for both its half year result and its full year guidance.

Unfortunately, its performance in China has continued to deteriorate since then, leading to the company's full year results also disappointing the market.

In FY 2019 sales in the China segment (key export accounts and in-country sales) were down 15% to $122 million due partly to changes in e-commerce laws. Whereas segment EBIT dropped by a massive 40% due to increased investments in its brand and the expansion of its in-country capabilities.

This ultimately led to Blackmores reporting a 1% increase in full year revenue to $610 million and a 24% decline in full year net profit after tax to $53 million.

It gets worse. Management has warned that trading conditions in China are expected to remain weak during the first half of the new financial year. As a result, it expects its first half result to be down on the first half of FY 2019.

Should you buy the dip?

With earnings per share coming in at 309.2 cents in FY 2019, Blackmores' shares are currently changing hands at 23x trailing earnings.

Whilst this is starting to look a lot more attractive than it was a few months ago, I do have concerns that the China issues could drag its earnings per share even lower in FY 2020. This could potentially make Blackmores a value trap today.

In light of this, I would suggest investors wait for its half year results before considering an investment.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Blackmores Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of A2 Milk. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Freedom Foods Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why EML, GQG Partners, IGO, and Integrated Research shares are sinking today

In afternoon trade, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to record a strong gain. At the time of…

Read more »

A woman with short brown hair and wearing a yellow top looks at the camera with a puzzled and shocked look on her face as the Westpac share price goes down for no reason today
Share Fallers

Why Bellevue Gold, Mesoblast, Pilbara Minerals, and Wesfarmers shares are dropping today

These shares are ending the week deep in the red. What's going on?

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why AGL, CBA, Deep Yellow, and Megaport shares are sinking today

These shares are falling more than most today. What's going on?

Read more »

A wide-eyed man peers out from a small gap in his black zipped jumper conveying fear over the weak Zip share price
BNPL shares

Why did the Zip share price just crash 9%?

Investors seem to be singling Zip out for punishment today...

Read more »

a woman holds her hands to her temples as she sits in front of a computer screen with a concerned look on her face.
Share Fallers

Why Capricorn Metals, Insignia, Sayona Mining, and Southern Cross Gold shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

Three guys in shirts and ties give the thumbs down.
Share Fallers

Why Data#3, Elders, Karoon Energy, and Tyro shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough session on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

A man in a suit looks sad as oil is spilled from a barrel.
Energy Shares

This $1 billion ASX 200 energy stock is diving 7%! Here's why

This ASX energy company is taking a beating on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Technology Shares

Why did the Appen share price crash 15% today?

Appen shares remain up more than 250% this year.

Read more »