Senex Energy share price surges on positive FY19 numbers

Is Senex Energy Ltd (ASX:SXY) a long-term bargain after today's result?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Growing oil and gas producer Senex Energy Ltd (ASX: SXY) today reported a surge in revenue for the 2019 financial year, supported by a significant increase in production, which has seen the Senex Energy share price rise by 4.76% in morning trade.

Profit for the full year u-turned from a $94 million loss in 2018 to a $3 million profit in FY19, supported by a 34% jump in production and fewer write-downs.

Here are the key numbers you need to know:

Senex Energy Ltd

FY19

% Change

Production

1.2 mmboe

+43%

Total sales revenue

$94m

+34%

Net Profit After tax

$3.3m

n/a

NTA per share

$0.24

+0%

Source: Senex Energy FY19 Appendex 4E

So what?

One of the most important features of today's result is the significant jump in Senex's operating cash flows, which rocketed from just $5.3 million to $44.5 million in FY19.

The cash is eagerly needed to fund the company's capital expenditure program, which chewed through $110 million in the 2019 financial year.

But the cash flow is also a meaningful sign that Senex's years of investment are starting to pay off. Production of gas and gas liquids made up almost all of Senex's growth in production, with the mix of gas products jumping from falling from 11% in FY18 to 36% in FY19.

Outlook for FY20

Senex is working on two key projects: Project Atlas, which is targeting gas production for domestic sales, and Roma North, a subset of land within Senex's Western Surat Gas Project acreage that will sell gas to the giant GLNG project, operated by Santos Ltd (ASX: STO).

Both projects are under development and Senex has another year of high capital expenditure ahead of it in FY20. The company expects to invest around $150 million, but reiterated that it is on track to achieve "a sharp rise in production, cashflow and earnings from FY21" as production ramps up.

Is Senex Energy a buy?

A positive company update last month coincided with a round of insider buying and (to me) shares in Senex look priced at bargain levels, currently trading for 33 cents per share.

Senex has a current enterprise value/2P reserves (EV/2P) ratio of about 3.8, which looks attractive compared to fellow producer Santos, which had a ratio of around 17 at the end of 2018.

If Senex can continue to avoid taking on too much debt and carefully navigate the volatile oil prices though its remaining investment phase, today's share price could be set to continue to rise as production materially increases.

Motley Fool contributor Regan Pearson has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

You can follow him on Twitter @Regan_Invests.

The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

A person smashes a wall with a hammer, sending bricks flying.
Resources Shares

Why did the BHP share price get hammered again in November?

ASX 200 investors sent BHP shares tumbling in November. Let’s find out why.

Read more »

two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Is Fortescue stock a buy for its monstrous 10% dividend yield?

We should always be careful about a high dividend yield on a mining stock.

Read more »

A happy construction worker or miner holds a fistfull of Australian money, indicating a dividends windfall
Resources Shares

Which ASX mining shares make it into the passive income elite globally?

Clue: BHP isn't one of them.

Read more »

Mining worker wearing hard hat and high vis vest holds thumbs up and smiles
Resources Shares

2 of the best ASX 200 mining stocks to buy now

These stocks are highly rated by analysts at Bell Potter. Let's see what the broker is saying about them.

Read more »

Miner holding cash which represents dividends.
Resources Shares

Could a maiden dividend soon be on the cards for this ASX mining stock?

Reinvestment in growth projects has been the company's priority up to this point

Read more »

Man in yellow hard hat looks through binoculars as man in white hard hat stands behind him and points.
Resources Shares

Pilbara Minerals shares: What the AGM revealed and what's next

Investors have plenty to digest, from updates on growth projects to the company's evolving strategy.

Read more »

Female miner in hard hat and safety vest on laptop with mining drill in background.
Resources Shares

Why this expert says it's time to sell Lynas shares

Lynas shares have come under heavy selling pressure in recent weeks.

Read more »

Business people standing at a mine site smiling.
Resources Shares

Forget Fortescue shares and buy this miner

A leading broker expects these two mining shares to trade in opposite directions.

Read more »