ASX energy stocks on watch as Aussie renewables supply ramps up

What could a slowdown in Aussie renewable investment mean for some of the top renewables stocks on the ASX like Mercury NZ Ltd (ASX: MCY)?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

It's worth watching some of the top ASX renewables stocks this morning after an Australian Financial Review (AFR) article was published this morning, questioning the end of the Aussie renewables boom.

What was in the AFR article this morning?

According to the AFR article, an increase in solar generation capabilities saw renewables account for 30% of Australia's midday power supply for the majority of June.

This, in turn, caused depressed wholesale power prices and increased pressure on coal-fired generators unable to ramp down their operations for logistical reasons.

However, underlying this trend is also the potential that increased generation of energy from renewable sources could mean a scaling back of investment in wind and solar that has been booming in both the public and private sector of late.

According to the AFR, new figures to be released on Wednesday by the Green Energy Markets analytics group will show that total solar power generation doubled in June compared with 2 years prior.

This saw the share of midday energy used climb above 30 percent for 20 out of 30 days in June, which is the first time ever this has occurred in winter.

The AFR article also said that the Clean Energy Finance Corporation (CEFC) will announce $1.5 billion of committed capital to new clean energy investments in the 2019 financial year across 30 transactions worth $6.3 billion.

The article also noted that Federal Energy Minister Angus Taylor has expressed concerns about the sudden influx of renewables projects, particularly given his goal of bringing wholesale power down below $70 per megawatt-hour.

What does this all mean for the ASX renewables stocks?

While many of the ASX energy companies have seen their share prices soar so far this year, the looming threat of oversupply and potential regulatory intervention could see some share price volatility this morning.

The Mercury NZ Ltd (ASX: MCY) share price is up 29% so far this year on strong operational expansion and margin control, while majority investor and fellow renewables group Infratil Ltd (ASX: IFT) has also seen its share price surge 29% higher.

Amongst the broader energy companies, the AGL Energy Ltd (ASX: AGL) and Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG) share prices are up 3.3% and 24.4% so far this year, respectively.

I'd personally be waiting until after the August reporting season to see what sort of pipeline these companies have planned for FY20 and beyond, while also keeping an eye on average pricing trends within their results releases.

While the renewables investment boom may be slowing, there's still no reason why investing in some of these groups with long-term, strategic portfolio planning around renewables can't be a profitable 'buy-and-hold' investment strategy for growth-seeking Fools.

Motley Fool contributor Kenneth Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

A smiling woman holds up an apple with a laptop open on her desk.
Resources Shares

Rare earths shares charge as Apple weighs in

Tech giant commits to $500 million deal with MP Materials.

Read more »

Three miners wearing hard hats and high vis vests take a break on site at a mine as the Fortescue share price drops in FY22
Resources Shares

Why Infratil, Iluka Resources, Lynas Rare Earths shares are jumping higher today

These three ASX 200 shares are gaining ground today.

Read more »

Ecstatic woman looking at her phone outside with her fist pumped.
Resources Shares

Guess which ASX mining share is jumping 10% on big news

This miner is having a good session on Wednesday. What's going on?

Read more »

A young woman sits with her hand to her chin staring off to the side thinking about her investments.
Resources Shares

Should I switch my ASX 200 banking stocks for ASX 200 miners before earnings season?

The ASX 200 Index is dominated by Australia's bank and materials/mining sectors, which together account for around half of the…

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Does Wilson Asset Management prefer Rio Tinto or BHP shares?

Which miner is in favour?

Read more »

Two smiling men in high visibility vests and yellow hardhats stand side by side with a large mound of earth and mining equipment behind them smiling as the Carnaby Resources share price rises today
Resources Shares

Macquarie tips this ASX 200 resources stock to soar nearly 40%

Big returns could be on offer here according to the broker.

Read more »

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Resources Shares

Bell Potter says this ASX 200 mining stock can rise ~30%

Let's see why this miner could be destined to deliver big returns over the next 12 months.

Read more »

Man with rocket wings which have flames coming out of them.
Resources Shares

Up 23% today, why Macquarie forecasts this ASX 200 mining stock could rocket another 33%

Macquarie forecasts more outsized gains to come for this surging ASX 200 mining stock.

Read more »